Tariffs Did Not Cause U.S.Trade Deficits – Ep.  361

Tariffs Did Not Cause U.S.Trade Deficits – Ep. 361

Market Movers: Singapore Summit
We've got a lot of potentially market-moving events going on this week; we've got the Summit which I think is getting underway this evening with North Korea's President Kim Jong Un and President Trump meeting in Singapore.
No Market Move Expected on Rate Hike
We've got the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting beginning tomorrow, it's a 2-day meeting ending on Wednesday. The odds of a rate hike are 100%! So in all probability there will be a rate hike. Eventually the Fed is going to reverse course and that will come as a surprise; odds are the surprise won't happen on Wednesday. Right now we are at one and a half to one and three quarters, so the next hike will be one and three quarters to two. I think what might surprise the markets, is if the Fed dials back expectations for later hikes. A lot of people are still looking for 2 more hikes this year in addition to the one we will get on Wednesday. They may indicate that they are closer to the end of their rate-hiking cycle. Maybe they will dial back their anticipated "Quantitative Tightening". I don't think the Fed is going to deliver much at all in the way of Quantitative Tightening but they may indicate to the markets that they're not going to do as much as what the the markets believe. But in any event, given a 100% probability of a hike this time, the hike itself will not move markets at all.
What If They Don't Hike?
If the Fed does not hike, that would provide a big boost to gold and a big drop in the dollar. If they do not hike, that would be an indication that there may not be as many future hikes. But, again, if you look at how gold has traded in the past, if you look at how gold has traded in this cycle, it has generally been bullish for gold, if not the very day, then within the next few days.

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Episoder(1084)

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 11

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 11

Episode 11 Synopsis: Where is the Apology? Preview of the Michael Brown Grand Jury case does not support liberal media's narrative. * The officer knew that Michael Brown had just robbed a convenience store. * The bullets entered Michael Brown from front as he was approaching the officer. * Blood evidence on Michael Brown indicates he was moving toward the officer. * Wounds in upper arm indicate he did not have his arms in the air. * Michael Brown was shot in his thumb at extremely close range. * A majority of eyewitnesses support the officer's testimony Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Nov 201438min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 10

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 10

Episode 10 Synopsis Hillary's Fractured Economic Theory: * Raising the minimum wage will create jobs. * Businesses don't create jobs; the government creates jobs. * Regan Economics "failed spectacularly". * Clinton's economy was based on "arithmetic", not a bubble. Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

31 Okt 201420min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 9

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 9

Episode 9 Synopsis * Deflation Spin Cycle: Peter debunks recent articles "redefining" deflation. * QE Infinity: Brandeis economics professor predicts the Fed doesn't need an exit strategy. Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

29 Okt 201421min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 8

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 8

This week, we're releasing a series of podcasts to get current information out on a more basis. We appreciate your feedback on this new format. Episode 8 Segment 1: * Contrary to GDP number, consumers are still struggling. Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Okt 201413min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 7

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 7

Episode 7 Synopsis * More deflation/inflation propaganda * The Fed prefers inflation because at least they know how to fight it * Money printing in Venezuela* Bloomberg warns Yellen not to follow Sweden's example * Obamacare premiums going up after the election* Mark Cuban's plan to limit student loans * Wells Fargo employee demands $10,000 raise for himself and other employees * British Minister under fire for suggesting intellectually disabled should be able to work for less than minimum wage * News about QE4 * Yellen ironically speaks up on wealth inequality Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Okt 20142h 12min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 6

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 6

Episode 6 Synopsis * Big downside moves in global equity markets * U.S. stock market trends * Gold moves upward * U.S. Dollar weakness * A detailed analysis of this month's FOMC minutes * Share buybacks and other artificial boots to the stock market * More Obamacare blowbacks against the job market and employee healthcare * The straight story on misleading reports on the economy * How California labor law put a vineyard out of business * Interview with Paypal co-founder Peter Thiel in his new book Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Okt 20142h 20min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 5

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 5

Episode 5 Synopsis: * Debunking Ned Davis' predictions on gold * Chicago Fed president Charles Evans hints that the Fed can't raise interest rates * Alan Greenspan gives Fed a pass on CNBC * Brokerage houses hit by FINRA arbritation results * Eurozone low inflation 'scare' * Collapse in Fannie and Freddie stock * The numbers behind the weekly economic data Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Okt 20142h 24min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 4

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 4

Episode 4 Synopsis * Launch of the iPhone 6 * Surprising employment arbitration results * Housing market rolls over * Hotel minimum wage * World Bank head claims that QE works Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Sep 20142h 23min

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