The Confidence Bubble Has Popped – Ep. 415

The Confidence Bubble Has Popped – Ep. 415

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FAANG's Took a Big Bite Out of the Market
Another Monday, another big down day for the U.S. stock market, it is turning out to be one hell of a quarter; not all of the declines happening in October. But as I said earlier, it doesn't have to be in October for the market to crash. Today wasn't a Black Monday; certainly the percentage decline wasn't out of the ordinary. Although the FAANG stocks, in particular, there was a big bite taken out of those stocks, and it wasn't just the bite that was taken out of the Apple, which was some of the news that precipitated today's decline. A big down day nonetheless.
NASDAQ Having one of the Worst Quarters Ever
The Dow Jones down just shy of 400 points - 395, or 1.5%. On the lows, we were down better than 500 points. The Russell 2000 closed down just over 30 points - that's a 2% point drop. But the big drop was the NASDAQ - down 219 points, just over 3%, pretty close to the lows of the day. The NASDAQ is now down 12.5% so far this quarter - probably one of the worst quarters ever.

I think the only thing that may slow down the decline is if the Fed skips the December rate hike. Although, even that may not be enough. If the Fed doesn't hike in December, the markets might get worried that the Fed knows something and that the economy is much weaker and therefore earnings will be much weaker, so, to me, i think if the market's going to get a stay of execution from the Fed, it's actually going to have to be a rate cut.
Homebuilder Sentiment Lower Than Expected
There are plenty of other data points that are coming out, both corporate news and news about the overall economy, In particular, today, that I think weighed heavily on the markets. The first one being the Homebuilder Sentiment for November. That came out at 10am. So the markets were already trading based on another piece of news which I will get to. Last month, Homebuilder Sentiment's number was at 68. Now anything above 50 is supposedly O.K. It still means they're optimistic. And the consensus was for Homebuilder Sentiment to stay at 68. Instead, it plunged all the way down to 60. In fact, the range of forecasts went from a low of 66 to a high of 69. That drop, from what I've read, that is bigger than any drop we've had during any month of the last bust that led to the 2008 Financial Crisis. We've never seen a rate of decline like this. Obviously that scared the market. This is just one of the first sentiment indicators that is giving way. Obviously, home sales are imploding so you might expect builders to be a little bit nervous about this, even though they are still somewhat optimistic. But remember, this whole rally is built on confidence and the confidence is going to start going everywhere, In addition to the Homebuilders, you're going to see business confidence, particularly small business confidence, which was at a record high.
Apple Now in a Bear Market
But there was some other particularly bad news that came in before the opening bell, and that one was from Apple. They said they will be cutting production because of lower sales. That decision trickles down, effecting a lot of companies who count on those orders from Apple. The price of Apple is down by 4% on the day. But if you now look at the total drop - just over 20% - and that means the way Wall Street scores it, Apple is now in a bear market.
Facebook Led the Market Down
Of course, not just Apple, the FAANG's in general, the market took a bite out of those guys today. Facebook leading the market down - down another 5.5% on the day. That brings the total decline for this bear market to 40%. In second place is NETFLIX, that was down 5.5%, today so pretty much neck and neck with Facebook. But since its peak, NETFLIX is down 36%. Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Episoder(1085)

Bitcoin Tops $100K on Expected Government Bailout - Ep 997

Bitcoin Tops $100K on Expected Government Bailout - Ep 997

Discusses market's record highs, job report boosts, consumer sentiment post-Trump election, Bitcoin surge, and upcoming economic challenges.- Get 15% off OneSkin with the code GOLD at https://oneskin.co- Go to https://legalzoom.com and use promo code SCHIFF to get 10% off.Peter Schiff discusses the new record highs in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, the slight downturn in the Dow, and the significant jump in consumer sentiment post-election. Schiff emphasizes the discrepancy between consumer optimism about Trump's election and his own skepticism. He critiques Jerome Powell's inflation forecast and the reliability of job reports, highlighting an ironic spike and drop in Bitcoin prices. Schiff touches upon job market anomalies, rising consumer credit despite high interest rates, and the potential implications of political changes on the financial market. He concludes with a critical view on the feasibility of the proposed 3-3-3 economic plan and the broader economic implications of Trump’s policies and Bitcoin expectations.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Market Update02:45 Consumer Sentiment and Election Impact05:34 Jobs Report Analysis06:12 Bitcoin's Rollercoaster Ride07:25 Economic Data and Government Jobs16:28 Bitcoin and Government Policies31:03 The Impact of Bitcoin on the Economy33:08 Consumer Credit Numbers Analysis36:34 Job Cuts and Unemployment Data37:10 Trade Deficit Insights39:31 Scott Bessent's Economic Plan45:58 Challenges of Reducing Budget Deficits54:48 Oil Production Goals and Economic Realities59:26 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Bitcoin #Trump #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Des 202456min

Powell Knows the Public Can’t Handle the Truth - Ep 996

Powell Knows the Public Can’t Handle the Truth - Ep 996

Discussion on US comments, import/export dynamics, reserve currency, major exports, economic data trends, and constitutional aspects of the exit tax.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldSign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/gold😹 🎶 New music video 'Jerk' by Laughing Cats: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iLpkHV5JvEAPeter Schiff addresses comments from his previous podcast about America's imports and elaborates on the nation's dependency on them. He explains the significant trade deficit and America's reliance on the dollar's reserve currency status, which allows for importing more than exporting. Schiff also provides insights into the economic repercussions of this imbalance, highlighting the country's major exports. The podcast discusses the federal financial burden, economic data releases, and the consequences of high interest rates on national debt. Schiff finishes with commentary on current events, including Biden's pardon of Hunter and Roger Ver's tax evasion case challenging the constitutionality of the exit tax.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Addressing Comments02:10 America's Import and Export Dynamics03:39 Top 10 American Exports17:02 Economic Data and Market Reactions27:08 Interview with Jerome Powell36:14 The Debt Bubble and Interest Rates38:27 Promotions and Announcements42:06 Biden's Pardon of Hunter44:48 Fraud and Legal Battles51:10 Roger Ver and the Exit Tax01:04:14 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#JPowell #Fed #EconomyOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Des 20241h 2min

Bye-Bye, What Americans Buy - Ep 995

Bye-Bye, What Americans Buy - Ep 995

Peter Schiff discusses Black Friday's origin, American consumerism, the nation's heavy reliance on imports, and Trump's economic policies.This episode is sponsored by:OneSkin: Get 15% off OneSkin with the code GOLD at https://oneskin.coLucy: Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderPeter Schiff discusses the concept of Black Friday and its origins, contrasting it with current perceptions of economic strength. He delves into the United States' heavy reliance on imported goods, listing numerous products and categories predominantly produced abroad. Schiff criticizes American consumer habits, particularly the reliance on debt for holiday spending, and challenges the notion of economic strength based on consumption rather than production. He critiques Donald Trump's trade policies, immigration stance, and economic strategies, arguing that America's perceived strength is a myth dependent on unsustainable consumption and foreign production. Schiff also touches on the impracticality of Trump's proposals for cutting government spending and tariffs, emphasizing the need for long-term investments and sacrifices to rebuild America's productive capacity.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:45 The History and Significance of Black Friday05:03 Economic Misconceptions and Consumer Behavior08:57 The Reality of American Consumption11:01 Trump's Views on the Dollar and BRICS17:49 The Consequences of Losing Foreign Goods30:57 America's Dependence on Imported Goods31:19 The Coffee and Seafood Shock33:09 Produce and Other Imports33:59 The Illusion of a Strong Economy36:42 The Reality of American Imports38:30 Trump's Economic Promises and Reality39:14 The Challenge of Reindustrializing America43:36 Immigration and Labor Policies49:23 Tariffs and Government Spending51:59 The Future of the American Economy01:01:10 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#AmericanEconomy #BlackFridayHistory #EconomicPolicyOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Des 202457min

Tariffs: Not the Turkey We Want This Thanksgiving - Ep 994

Tariffs: Not the Turkey We Want This Thanksgiving - Ep 994

Peter Schiff discusses Thanksgiving's capitalist roots, the Pilgrims' failed socialism, tariffs' economic impact, and recent market trends.Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at http://mintmobile.com/gold.Visit http://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Peter Schiff's Thanksgiving special podcast from St. Barths offers a compelling narrative on the history and lessons of Thanksgiving, celebrating capitalism over socialism. Drawing parallels between the early Pilgrims' failed communal experiment and Karl Marx's theories, Schiff emphasizes the pivotal role of individual incentives and free markets. He transitions into discussing current economic data, trade deficits, and the impact of tariffs under the Trump administration, debunking common economic misconceptions. Schiff argues that tariffs harm the US economy more than they benefit it and critiques government monetary policies, predicting economic challenges ahead. He concludes with reflections on the resilience of human nature and the enduring principles of capitalism.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction02:24 Thanksgiving and Capitalism05:14 The Pilgrims' Experiment with Socialism09:28 The Shift to Capitalism and Its Success12:22 Modern Implications of Pilgrims' Lessons18:38 Gold Market and Global Economy26:19 Impact of Tariffs on the Dollar30:16 Final Thoughts Before Break32:11 Debunking Tariffs and the Strong Dollar Myth33:49 The Impact of Tariffs on Trade Deficit36:38 Manufacturing Sector and Economic Weakness40:48 Tariffs and Inflation: A Misunderstood Relationship44:17 Global Trade and Comparative Advantage49:37 Economic Data and Market Reactions57:35 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#capitalism #Tariffs #ThanksgivingOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Nov 202455min

Data Revisions Confirming What Voters Already Knew - Ep 993

Data Revisions Confirming What Voters Already Knew - Ep 993

Go to https://Lucy.co/GOLD and use promo code gold get 20 percent off your first order. Go to https://LegalZoom.com and use promo code SCHIFF to get 10% off. LegalZoom is not a law firm and does not provide legal advice, except where authorized through its subsidiary law firm LZ Legal Services, LLC.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ne__pTRAenc&t=42s🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Nov 202453min

Bitcoin: The Biggest Bubble of Them All - Ep 992

Bitcoin: The Biggest Bubble of Them All - Ep 992

Bitcoin hits new highs; MicroStrategy's risky Bitcoin investments; Trump's impact; misallocation in crypto; China's strategic investments; UK labor rights.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldGet $10 off your first month’s subscription + free shipping at https://nutrafol.com when you use promo code GOLDPeter Schiff critiques the hype surrounding Bitcoin and MicroStrategy's investment strategies, attributing Bitcoin's recent gains to speculative fervor tied to political promises by figures like Donald Trump and Robert Kennedy Jr. He argues that such speculative bubbles harm the economy by misallocating resources. Schiff contrasts these developments with China's strategic investments in infrastructure, which bolster their economic position. He also discusses the implications of labor laws in the UK and their potential to backfire by increasing automation and outsourcing. Schiff concludes by emphasizing the ongoing devaluation of the dollar and the risks posed by continued abandonment of the gold standard.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:38 Bitcoin's Record Highs and Market Dynamics02:37 Trump's Influence on Bitcoin09:16 MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Strategy17:45 Commercial Break19:03 Bitcoin Bubble and Market Criticism23:40 Gold Standard and Economic Perspectives25:49 Bitcoin vs. Gold Debate31:22 Commercial Break31:46 Holiday Season and Hair Health32:00 Nutrafol: The Ultimate Hair Growth Solution33:27 The Cost of Healthy Eating37:39 Impact of Immigration Policies43:29 UK's Labor Bill of Rights57:33 Conclusion and Upcoming Events#Bitcoin #MicroStrategy #goldOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Nov 202455min

The Road to Inflation Is Paved With Debt - Ep 991

The Road to Inflation Is Paved With Debt - Ep 991

Analyzing bond yields, Fed policies, national debt impacts, and contrasting Bitcoin's speculative rise against gold's decline post-Trump win.📣 Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/gold📣 ExpressVPN: Get an extra 3 months free. https://expressvpn.com/goldIn this episode, Peter Schiff explores the current market trends led by the bond market and their broader impacts. He discusses the recent high yields on U.S. Treasuries, Fed rate cuts, and inflation adjustments. Schiff critiques the enormous rise in national debt under both Trump and Biden administrations and cautions against further deficit spending. He delves into the implications of rising interest rates on the housing market, the dollar's strength, and gold prices. Schiff also comments on the speculative nature of Bitcoin, and the potential consequences of the U.S. government's proposed involvement in Bitcoin transactions. He shares his skepticism about the Department of Government Efficiency and the unrealistic expectations for spending cuts. Peter Schiff emphasizes the importance of sound economic policies and the dangers of continued fiscal irresponsibility.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction: The Trump Trade and Bond Market Dynamics02:13 Impact of Fed Rate Cuts on Treasury Yields03:34 National Debt and Presidential Records07:08 Bitcoin vs. Gold: Market Reactions07:44 Senator Loomis' Bitcoin Proposal10:57 Sarcastic Social Security Plan with Bitcoin17:19 Debunking the Strong Economy Narrative19:22 Rising Interest Rates and Inflation Concerns26:24 Department of Government Efficiency: A Joke?30:39 Challenges in Cutting Government Programs31:03 Reagan's Failed Attempts and Trump's Prospects32:13 The Reality of Government Job Cuts33:48 Trump's Spending Promises vs. Reality36:50 Bitcoin and the Financial Bubble44:51 The Constitutional Debate on Money Printing50:35 The Federal Reserve's Role and Independence53:00 Conclusion and Future Outlook#FederalReserve #TrumpTrade #BitcoinPriceOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Nov 202452min

Powell Admits Fed Has No Plan For Stagflation - Ep 990

Powell Admits Fed Has No Plan For Stagflation - Ep 990

Markets soar on Trump's return, skepticism persists. Budget deficits, trade issues, and economic challenges under scrutiny.For 20% off your Momentous order, head to https://livemomentous.com and use code GOLD.Peter Schiff dissects the economic landscape post Donald Trump's re-election, contrasting the current market euphoria with his skepticism. He discusses the stock market's all-time highs, driven by nominal gains, and expresses doubt about a sustainable 'Trump Boom' given historical failures to address trade and budget deficits. Schiff emphasizes the worsening economic conditions since 2016, highlighting higher interest rates, increased national debt, and a fragile economy. He questions Trump's proposed tax cuts and deregulation policies, arguing they are not a panacea and may exacerbate economic problems. With no clear plan from the Federal Reserve to tackle stagflation, Schiff advises listeners to be wary of the current market optimism and consider investing in foreign stocks and gold.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffTimestamps:00:00 Trump Mania and Market Reactions02:07 Trump's Economic Promises and Failures03:05 Challenges Facing Trump's Second Term04:59 Tax Cuts and Economic Realities09:26 Global Economic Trends and Comparisons21:48 Investment Strategies and Market Predictions30:07 Fed Rate Cut and Economic Implications31:34 Monetary Policy and Debt Levels32:32 Gold Price Movements and Press Conference Insights33:38 Inflation Shock and Central Bank Policies37:06 Fed's Stance on Fiscal Policy and Deficits42:00 Election Results and Economic Perception45:21 Stagflation Concerns and Fed's Response49:40 Investment Strategies and Market Outlook53:46 Conclusion and Call to Action#TrumpEconomics #MarketPredictions #InvestmentStrategyOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Nov 202452min

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