What the pollsters missed in Trump v Harris - Instant Grace 28 with Jim Babka

What the pollsters missed in Trump v Harris - Instant Grace 28 with Jim Babka

No one has correctly described the Late, Great Trump Undercount. The most popular explanation is comical - it's a laugh-out-loud moment in this episode. As Jim Babka explains, the polling business includes a built-in fuzziness, so that the polls were "technically" accurate. So why is it that the pollsters, the media, and millions of Americans were caught off-guard as Trump clinched unexpected victories in all the battleground states? Why were we astonished that he won the popular vote? How come no one foresaw Trump's surprising gains among college-educated and Latino voters? When you're done watching this episode, you'll understand how the media uses polls, and the very specific reasons they seem so inaccurate the morning after most elections. And, unsurprisingly to Gracearchy subscribers, poll-driven campaign coverage damages social harmony - Jim explains that part, too. Wall Street Journal article quoted in this episode: https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/pollsters-were-blindsided-by-breadth-of-trump-win-373ea9b9 Conflict Machine explained: https://theexitnetwork.substack.com/p/the-conflict-machine-explains-our Jim referenced the book, "The Alchemy of Finance: Reading the Mind of the Market" by George Soros. Bill Protzmann is your moderator. ZERO AGGRESSION PROJECT - https://zeroaggressionproject.org/ - is our sponsor. But the views expressed are exclusively those of the participants, and not necessarily those of the board, staff, or supporters of the Zero Aggression Project. Zero Aggression Project is a non-profit organization that does not endorse or support any candidates for public office. Be grace-full to each other.

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Episoder(221)

Four Tests of a Scapegoat - Gracearchy with Jim Babka 166

Four Tests of a Scapegoat - Gracearchy with Jim Babka 166

Is every alleged criminal in the dock a scapegoat? How can you tell when someone actually is a scapegoat? In the immediately previous episode (165), Bill asked Jim if Fauci is a scapegoat. Jim said no...

12 Aug 48min

Is Anthony Fauci Just a Scapegoat? - Gracearchy with Jim Babka 165

Is Anthony Fauci Just a Scapegoat? - Gracearchy with Jim Babka 165

New evidence of a lab leak. A named conspiracy: The Spillover Gang. Jim and Bill get to both. Even better, an unscripted conversation lands on something sharper: why politics gets in the way of truth,...

3 Aug 41min

Iran War, Why Failure Was Inevitable - Gracearchy with Jim Babka 164

Iran War, Why Failure Was Inevitable - Gracearchy with Jim Babka 164

Bombing campaigns. Boots on the ground. Even nukes. There's no shortage of confident opinions about what Trump should've done differently in Iran. This episode takes the best of those ideas seriously...

27 Jul 1h 1min

Libertarian Chair Evan McMahon; The Coming 10x Bigger Party - Gracearchy with Jim Babka 163

Libertarian Chair Evan McMahon; The Coming 10x Bigger Party - Gracearchy with Jim Babka 163

As part of a ten year project to achieve Parity with the major parties, Libertarian Party Chair Evan McMahon is pledging to grow the LP to nearly ten times its current size during his term. How will h...

22 Jul 1h 3min

162: Does Tucker Carlson Understand the Rigged Two Party System? - Gracearchy with Jim Babka

162: Does Tucker Carlson Understand the Rigged Two Party System? - Gracearchy with Jim Babka

Tucker Carlson announces he's left the GOP and he's going to help launch a third party. Well, it's no secret that Tucker has been eyeing a presidential run for months. *Almost certainly, Tucker Carlso...

7 Jul 58min

161 Dave Smith Wishes He Wasn't A Libertarian - Gracearchy with Jim Babka

161 Dave Smith Wishes He Wasn't A Libertarian - Gracearchy with Jim Babka

The title was ironic: "Why can't the #libertarianparty get it right? #davesmith explains." As gracefully as possible, Jim Babka lays out the historical reasons why it's ironic. This is the Liam McCo...

8 Jun 48min

Tom Massie: The Good News No One Else Has - Instant Grace with Jim Babka 51

Tom Massie: The Good News No One Else Has - Instant Grace with Jim Babka 51

This one is audio-only, taken from Jim Babka's appearance on The Gary Nolan Show, Thursday May 21. Jim had a secret he wouldn't share until he was on air. And Jim's review of Tom Massie's primary loss...

27 Mai 13min

160 Libertarian National Chairs Nekhaila and Darr - Gracearchy with Jim Babka

160 Libertarian National Chairs Nekhaila and Darr - Gracearchy with Jim Babka

Did Libertarian Party national Chair Steven Nekhaila and Vice Chair Paul Darr call Jim Babka for a crucial LP history lesson? Did they take extraordinary action after that call? Who are these men, wha...

19 Mai 58min

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