Technicals: Week 21

Technicals: Week 21

Tuesday, May 19, 2026. CRUDE OIL TECHNICALS: WTI $102.35-$102.66, bullish momentum intact. RSI 51.27 (neutral, neither overbought nor oversold, room to run). MACD -0.08 (sell signal, mild bearish momentum but broader trend up). STOCHRSI 69 (Buy), Williams %R -35.78 (Buy), Ultimate Oscillator 59.29 (Buy). Overall: Strong Buy. Moving Averages: Most short-term (5/10/20-day) in Buy territory, 50-day mixed. Support: $97-$98 (former resistance, now support on dips), $95, $93.60 (short-term bearish threshold). Resistance: $104 (strong, recently tested), $104-$105 zone, $108-$110. Daily high projection $109.09. Pattern: Bullish momentum targeting $104+, profit-taking possible at resistance. Watch $100-$104 range. NATURAL GAS TECHNICALS: Henry Hub $3.02-$3.03, near seven-week high. Resistance: $3.024 (20-day Bollinger Band top), April highs near $3.25. Support: $2.888 (prior reactionary high, recent consolidation shelf), $2.680 (top of downward channel), $2.561 (April 14 low), $2.535 (20-day Bollinger Band bottom). Key pivot: $2.85-$2.88 shelf (recently reclaimed with volume on 4H/1H). Price broken above early-May consolidation but facing cooling demand forecasts. Failure to hold above $2.85-$2.90 could shift momentum bearish toward $2.60 zone. 2026 average forecasts: $3.50-$3.80-$5.00 range, strong support near $3.00 channel lower bound. Hotter U.S. weather boosting demand, offset by declining production and LNG maintenance. Crude bullish, gas consolidating near resistance, both watching geopolitical developments.

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Episoder(217)

Geographic Spotlight: Ecuador

Geographic Spotlight: Ecuador

Friday, July 3, 2026. GEOGRAPHIC SPOTLIGHT: ECUADOR. CURRENT PRODUCTION LEVELS: Ecuador's crude oil production averaged ~461,000-466,000 bbl/d Jan-Feb 2026. Daily lifts reported ~452,817-458,207 bbl/d...

3 Jul 2min

Geographic Spotlight: Belarus

Geographic Spotlight: Belarus

Thursday, July 2, 2026. GEOGRAPHIC SPOTLIGHT: BELARUS. PRODUCTION OVERVIEW: Belarus produced ~25,000 bbl/d early 2026 (well below historical avg 33,650 bbl/d since 1993). Production reached 30-year hi...

2 Jul 2min

Strategic Positioning: Week 27 Midweek Update

Strategic Positioning: Week 27 Midweek Update

Wednesday, July 1, 2026. WEEK 27 MIDWEEK UPDATE. WTI crude oil trading ~$69.98-$70.42. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report released today (covering week ending Jun 26, 2026). CRUDE OIL INVENTORY UPDATE...

1 Jul 3min

Technicals: Week 27

Technicals: Week 27

Tuesday, June 30, 2026. CRUDE OIL TECHNICALS: WTI trading near $70. Recent closes ~$70.04-$70.42. Intraday range $69-$71 area. KEY LEVELS: Psychological support zone $70 (key round-number level). Imme...

30 Jun 2min

Doha Talks Resume

Doha Talks Resume

Monday, June 29, 2026. WEEK 27 OPENS. WTI crude oil opened at $70.50. Recent session range high $70.97, low $69.32. Prior close Jun 26 $69.23. Latest quotes ~$69.95-$70.21 (up slightly from Friday clo...

29 Jun 2min

Weekly Recap: Week 26 Complete

Weekly Recap: Week 26 Complete

Friday, June 26, 2026. WEEK 26 COMPLETE. Twenty-six weeks running. The thesis delivers again. CRUDE OIL RECAP: Monday opened $74.82 (deal live, Hormuz open, geopolitical premium intact). Tuesday techn...

26 Jun 2min

Crude Breaks $70

Crude Breaks $70

Thursday, June 25, 2026. CRUDE OIL UPDATE: WTI trading $69.20-$69.36 (down 1.4-1.7% from prior close ~$70.34). Daily range ~$69.01-$70.23. August 2026 contract ~$69.66. Recent performance down ~26% pa...

25 Jun 2min

EIA Inventory Report: Draws Continue

EIA Inventory Report: Draws Continue

Wednesday, June 24, 2026. EIA CRUDE OIL INVENTORY REPORT RELEASED TODAY. Week ending June 19. Released June 24 at 10:30 AM ET. MOST RECENT DATA: EIA report released Jun 17 for week ending Jun 12: Comm...

24 Jun 2min

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