May 2026 SW Climate Podcast - Super? Mega? Weird: El Niño & Monsoon

May 2026 SW Climate Podcast - Super? Mega? Weird: El Niño & Monsoon

Recorded 05/15/2026, Aired 05/19/2026

In this month’s Southwest Climate Podcast, hosts Zack Guido and Mike Crimmins answer what a strong El Niño could mean for the monsoon. They do a quick recap of the first half of May. And then it’s off to the races with a look at: sea surface temperatures in the Pacific, ONI vs. RONI, ENSO’s scientific history, monsoon and its interaction with East Pacific tropical activity, then finally a winter preview. Should be a fun and interesting few seasons to watch unfold!

Also, Zack gives a plug for the Monsoon Fantasy Forecast Game which will include a new weekly tournament feature this year.

Mentions

NOAA CPC - ENSO Strength Probabilities

Tropical Tidbits

WebberWeather

NOAA CPC - Outlooks

Google - Weather Lab: Cyclones

Paper “North American Monsoon Response to Antecedent Soil Moisture and Snow in the Colorado Plateau”

Paper “Tropical Ocean Contributions to California’s Surprisingly Dry El Niño of 2015/16”

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Episoder(100)

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3 Feb 1h 20min

December 2025 SW Climate Podcast - We’ve Been Ridged

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22 Des 20251h 19min

November 2025 SW Climate Podcast - Pumpkin Spice Weather

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10 Nov 20251h

October 2025 SW Climate Podcast - The After Monsoon

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6 Okt 20251h 11min

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