Driving Discussions: US Driving Season and European Gasoline, Naphtha Dynamics

Driving Discussions: US Driving Season and European Gasoline, Naphtha Dynamics

In this episode, George Maher-Bonnett (Deputy Editor — European Products Report) is joined by Atishya Nayak (Senior Gasoline Reporter - European Products Report) and Jide Tijani (Naphtha Reporter — European Products Report) to examine how the US driving season and the US–Iran conflict are influencing gasoline and naphtha markets in Europe — from exports and arbitrage shifts to blending economics and supply disruptions.

Key themes

  • Price swings: Gasoline–naphtha spread jumped to $270/t in May, a three‑year high
  • European exports to US hit an 11‑month peak as freight costs collapsed
  • Drivers of volatility: US–Iran conflict, summer‑grade transition and rebound in ARA blending

Outlook risk: Tighter VGO supply, weak West African pull and narrowing US arb

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