342: The Fundamentals Are Bullish... So Why Is the Cattle Market Falling? with Samantha Cozza-Wright

On today’s episode of the podcast, Lauren is joined by Samantha Cozza-Wright for another cattle market update as volatility continues to dominate the conversation across cattle country. The two break down softer feeder cattle prices, uncertainty in the futures market, drought-driven calf movement, consumer beef demand, and the big question many producers are asking right now: are we actually expanding the U.S. cattle herd or simply maintaining it? Samantha also shares her thoughts on beef demand, market risk, and why producers need to be thinking strategically about protecting profitability in one of the most volatile cattle markets in history.

Connect with Samantha:Email - samantha@cattleusainsurance.com Phone - 785-940-5533

CattleUSA Insurance - https://info.cattleusainsurance.com/l/1102253/2025-06-04/288f5m
⁠CattleUSA Website - https://www.cattleusa.com/
CattleUSA App IOS: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/cattleusa/id1673147759
CattleUSA App Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.edgarmcbee.cusamobile&pcampaignid=web_share
Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/cattleusamedia
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/cattleusa.media/
Subscribe to our newsletter - https://www.cattleusa.shop/products/cattleusa-drive-premium-daily-newsletter?utm_source=ig&utm_medium=social&utm_content=link_in_bio&brid=YWdncwFNXt0EmdzFy5cJJBp84J9g
CattleUSA Media - https://www.cattleusamedia.com/
Lauren’s Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/_laurenmoylan/
Lauren’s Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/@Showboatmediaco
The Next Generation Podcast Website - https://www.thenextgenag.com/

Key Takeaways:

• Volatility continues to be the defining theme of the cattle market
• Feeder cattle prices have softened after rapid spring rallies
• Futures markets remain disconnected from short-term cash market signals
• Consumer beef demand remains stronger than many expected
• Retail beef movement continues supporting the market
• New World Screwworm concerns remain on producers' radar
• Drought conditions are pushing more calves to market earlier than normal
• Questions remain about whether the U.S. cattle herd is truly expanding
• Cow slaughter continues trending lower while heifer retention increases
• Risk management becomes increasingly important as cattle values rise

Chapters:

01:30 Rainfall across cattle country and drought relief

03:00 Why cattle markets remain extremely volatile

05:00 Feeder cattle weakness and futures market concerns

07:00 New World Screwworm rumors and market implications

08:30 Cash cattle, packers, and beef demand

11:00 Why retail beef demand remains surprisingly strong

13:00 Early calf movement and drought pressure

15:00 Are we actually expanding the U.S. cattle herd?

17:00 Cow slaughter, heifer retention, and future supply

19:00 Why profitability still comes with major risk

21:00 Protecting cattle values in a volatile market

22:00 Final thoughts and market outlook

cattle market, cattle market update, Samantha Cozza-Wright, feeder cattle market, cattle futures, live cattle futures, cattle prices, beef demand, cattle industry, ranching, cow calf producers, drought and cattle, cattle herd expansion, heifer retention, cow slaughter, New World Screwworm, beef market outlook, feeder cattle prices, cattle volatility, risk management, LRP insurance, cattle producers, livestock markets, beef industry, ranch management, cattle market news, agriculture podcast, cattle cycle, beef demand outlook, cattle market analysis, livestock industry, U.S. cattle herd, cattle economics, ranching podcast, beef production