Bill Maris: How Google Could Crush AI Competitors, Why Small Funds Win, and AI's Atari Stage

Bill Maris: How Google Could Crush AI Competitors, Why Small Funds Win, and AI's Atari Stage

(0:00) Bill Maris joins the Besties!

(0:33) Four critical lessons from a career in technology

(5:58) Building Google Ventures with data and machine learning

(9:51) Why small VC funds beat big ones on average

(14:36) OpenAI's valuation problem and the AI price war

(19:09) AI's "Atari Stage": what comes next?

(25:23) VC's broken incentives and the future of deep tech

Thanks to our partners for making this possible!

EY - Agentic AI is introducing a new investment discipline. As AI shifts to consumption-based models, EY connects spend to enterprise value.

https://www.ey.com/en_us/insights/ai/agentic-ai-token-costs?WT.mc_id=3501318&AA.tsrc=sponsorship

NYSE - Thank you to our partner, the New York Stock Exchange - a modern marketplace and exchange for building the future. It all happens at the NYSE.

https://www.nyse.com

Plaud - Never miss a moment. Plaud, our official wearable AI note-taking partner at All-In Liquidity Summit, captured every insight.

https://www.plaud.ai

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https://x.com/friedberg

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Intro Music Credit:

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Episoder(408)

Anthropic's $2T IPO, Zuck's AI Manifesto, Nvidia's $500B AI Bet, Grok's Comeback

Anthropic's $2T IPO, Zuck's AI Manifesto, Nvidia's $500B AI Bet, Grok's Comeback

(0:00) Gavin Baker joins the show! (2:36) Anthropic IPO report: $2T valuation, $100B+ run rate, October listing (27:32) Zuck's AI manifesto: What it means for Meta and frontier AI (56:41) All-In Summi...

14 Aug 1h 39min

Rahm Emanuel: Trump's Foreign Policy, China, Europe's Decline, Immigration & DSA vs Democrats

Rahm Emanuel: Trump's Foreign Policy, China, Europe's Decline, Immigration & DSA vs Democrats

(0:00) Jason and Friedberg welcome Rahm Emanuel (1:16) Lessons from working with Clinton and Obama (7:45) China: How to approach conflict, new economic bloc, isolation, and Taiwan (28:49) Europe: Reas...

13 Aug 1h 11min

Google's AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable's 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI

Google's AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable's 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI

(0:00) Bestie intros! Brad Gerstner fills in for Chamath (2:16) Major shakeups at Google: AI brain drain or better strategy? (20:39) SpaceX's big quarter: Terafab, AI Capex, $1T revenue projection? (4...

8 Aug 1h 15min

Saronic Founders: Autonomous Warships, China's 230X Advantage & Swarms of Robot Ships

Saronic Founders: Autonomous Warships, China's 230X Advantage & Swarms of Robot Ships

(0:00) Saronic founders join the show! (4:56) The Navy's first autonomous rescue in the Strait of Hormuz, and how China out builds America 230-to-1 (13:04) $3B destroyers vs. Marauder (21:25) Killing ...

5 Aug 48min

Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores

Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores

(0:00) Bestie intros (1:19) Chip stocks crash, Leopold Aschenbrenner's $20B fund gets margin called (20:20) China's advantage and green shoots for the US economy (34:12) Frontier Labs say "SLOW DOWN A...

31 Jul 1h 36min

The $1/Hour Worker: Four Robotics CEOs on Humanoids at Home, China's Threat, and the End of Dangerous Jobs

The $1/Hour Worker: Four Robotics CEOs on Humanoids at Home, China's Threat, and the End of Dangerous Jobs

(0:00) Intro: Humanoids, Robots, & AI+ (0:57) ANYbotics' Dr. Péter Fankhauser: Why ANYbotics Bet the Company on Four-Legged Robot Dogs, Not Humanoids (13:18) Dr. Péter Fankhauser: China's Armed Robot ...

28 Jul 1h 8min

The Fight Over Open Source AI, Anthropic's $1.5B Payout, NYC Socialists: Evictions = Violence?

The Fight Over Open Source AI, Anthropic's $1.5B Payout, NYC Socialists: Evictions = Violence?

(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:18) The fight to save open source AI: Kimi K3 panic, Anthropic/OpenAI regulatory capture (27:38) Anthropic/OpenAI historic growth rates, China's long game (48:29) Anthropic's ...

24 Jul 1h 33min

Mark Cuban on the AI Bubble: Who Actually Gets Wiped Out?

Mark Cuban on the AI Bubble: Who Actually Gets Wiped Out?

(0:00) Bubble talk: Comparing today's AI market to the dot-com bubble (7:50) AI's real-world limits: why enterprise AI is harder than expected (16:38) Transitioning to an AI-First Workspace (21:26) He...

20 Jul 41min

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