Technicals: Week 25

Technicals: Week 25

Tuesday, June 16, 2026. CRUDE OIL TECHNICALS: WTI trading $80.58-$81.58 range. Open ~$80.96, High $81.53, Low $80.86. Sharp drop from prior days (Jun 12 high ~$87). SETUP: Crude in free fall. Geopolitical premium gone. Watching technical support levels. KEY SUPPORT: $80.24-$80.55 (Classic/Fibonacci S3/S2 pivots, near-term daily support). $82.67 (key near-term support). $85 (major psychological/support zone, floor in June outlooks). $74-$75 (longer-term Fibonacci-based support, 61.8% retracement, 200-day MA proximity). KEY RESISTANCE: $81.22-$81.53 (Classic/Fibonacci R1/R2 pivots, immediate upside targets). $85.09-$87.30 (near-term resistance cluster, key breakout level). $100 (psychological pivot, major reference level). $106-$108 (multi-month resistance zone from prior highs). READ: Crude testing support at $80.24-$80.55. If holds, expect bounce toward $85. If breaks, next target $74-$75. Momentum bearish. Volume declining. Fade trade. Short any bounces above $82. NATURAL GAS TECHNICALS: Henry Hub trading $3.02-$3.15 range. NGN26 contract ~$3.153. TECHNICAL INDICATORS: RSI(14) ~29.9-32.1 (Sell signal, in/approaching oversold below 30-40). MACD(12,26) ~-0.014 to -0.015 (Sell signal, negative histogram, bearish momentum on daily). Moving averages: All 12 periods signaling Sell. Overall: 8-9 Sell signals on daily. PIVOT POINTS: Support S1 ~$3.02, S2 ~$3.016-$3.027, S3 ~$3.008-$3.017. Pivot ~$3.027-$3.045. Resistance R1 ~$3.032-$3.053, R2 ~$3.04-$3.063, R3 ~$3.044-$3.071. READ: Gas oversold on daily. Weekly timeframe shows potential bullish MACD crossover suggesting longer-term momentum improvement despite daily bearishness. Accumulation zone intact. $3.02-$3.05 prime entry. Target $4.00+. BOTTOM LINE: Crude—testing support at $80.24-$80.55. Short any bounces above $82. Target $74-$75. Gas—oversold daily, bullish weekly setup. Accumulate $3.02-$3.05. Target $4.00+. Trade the charts. Respect the levels.

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Episoder(217)

Geographic Spotlight: Ecuador

Geographic Spotlight: Ecuador

Friday, July 3, 2026. GEOGRAPHIC SPOTLIGHT: ECUADOR. CURRENT PRODUCTION LEVELS: Ecuador's crude oil production averaged ~461,000-466,000 bbl/d Jan-Feb 2026. Daily lifts reported ~452,817-458,207 bbl/d...

3 Jul 2min

Geographic Spotlight: Belarus

Geographic Spotlight: Belarus

Thursday, July 2, 2026. GEOGRAPHIC SPOTLIGHT: BELARUS. PRODUCTION OVERVIEW: Belarus produced ~25,000 bbl/d early 2026 (well below historical avg 33,650 bbl/d since 1993). Production reached 30-year hi...

2 Jul 2min

Strategic Positioning: Week 27 Midweek Update

Strategic Positioning: Week 27 Midweek Update

Wednesday, July 1, 2026. WEEK 27 MIDWEEK UPDATE. WTI crude oil trading ~$69.98-$70.42. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report released today (covering week ending Jun 26, 2026). CRUDE OIL INVENTORY UPDATE...

1 Jul 3min

Technicals: Week 27

Technicals: Week 27

Tuesday, June 30, 2026. CRUDE OIL TECHNICALS: WTI trading near $70. Recent closes ~$70.04-$70.42. Intraday range $69-$71 area. KEY LEVELS: Psychological support zone $70 (key round-number level). Imme...

30 Jun 2min

Doha Talks Resume

Doha Talks Resume

Monday, June 29, 2026. WEEK 27 OPENS. WTI crude oil opened at $70.50. Recent session range high $70.97, low $69.32. Prior close Jun 26 $69.23. Latest quotes ~$69.95-$70.21 (up slightly from Friday clo...

29 Jun 2min

Weekly Recap: Week 26 Complete

Weekly Recap: Week 26 Complete

Friday, June 26, 2026. WEEK 26 COMPLETE. Twenty-six weeks running. The thesis delivers again. CRUDE OIL RECAP: Monday opened $74.82 (deal live, Hormuz open, geopolitical premium intact). Tuesday techn...

26 Jun 2min

Crude Breaks $70

Crude Breaks $70

Thursday, June 25, 2026. CRUDE OIL UPDATE: WTI trading $69.20-$69.36 (down 1.4-1.7% from prior close ~$70.34). Daily range ~$69.01-$70.23. August 2026 contract ~$69.66. Recent performance down ~26% pa...

25 Jun 2min

EIA Inventory Report: Draws Continue

EIA Inventory Report: Draws Continue

Wednesday, June 24, 2026. EIA CRUDE OIL INVENTORY REPORT RELEASED TODAY. Week ending June 19. Released June 24 at 10:30 AM ET. MOST RECENT DATA: EIA report released Jun 17 for week ending Jun 12: Comm...

24 Jun 2min

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