Rerun: Ep68 “Is It Better to Overestimate or Underestimate Your Enemies?” with H.R. McMaster

Rerun: Ep68 “Is It Better to Overestimate or Underestimate Your Enemies?” with H.R. McMaster

All Else Equal is taking a short break over the summer and will be revisiting some of our favorite conversations from last season. The show will be back with new episodes soon.

Historically, the U.S. has had a habit of overestimating the capabilities of its enemies. Why? Is this an intentional security strategy? Or does the U.S. need to change the way it gathers enemy intelligence?

Former National Security Advisor H.R. McMaster gives hosts and finance professors Jonathan Berk and Jules van Binsbergen a crash course on military intelligence and national security advising.

The conversation covers why the overestimation of enemies happens, including historical examples of misjudgments, the role of proxies in modern conflicts, strategic considerations involving major powers like China, and the threat of information warfare.

Find All Else Equal on the web:
https://lauder.wharton.upenn.edu/allelse/

All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions Podcast is a production of the UPenn Wharton Lauder Institute through University FM.


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Episoder(104)

Rerun: Ep69 “The Science Behind Why We Don’t Just Say What We Mean” with Psychologist Steven Pinker - Part 1

Rerun: Ep69 “The Science Behind Why We Don’t Just Say What We Mean” with Psychologist Steven Pinker - Part 1

All Else Equal is taking a short break over the summer and will be revisiting some of our favorite conversations from last season. The show will be back with new episodes soon.  Everyday, we participa...

15 Jul 23min

Ep78 “What’s Wrong With Taxing Billionaires More?” with Joshua Rauh

Ep78 “What’s Wrong With Taxing Billionaires More?” with Joshua Rauh

A proposed constitutional amendment on the ballots in California this November will impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on billionaires. Proponents of the amendment say it will bring upwards of $100 billi...

18 Jun 35min

Rerun: Ep65 "Will Future AI Systems Operate Like The Human Brain? It’s Complicated” with Jeff Hawkins

Rerun: Ep65 "Will Future AI Systems Operate Like The Human Brain? It’s Complicated” with Jeff Hawkins

This episode originally aired previously and is being re-shared due to its continued relevance. Enjoy this conversation with Jeff Hawkins on intelligence, neuroscience, and the future of AI. With grow...

3 Jun 32min

Ep77 The Academic Journal System is Broken, Here’s How to Fix It

Ep77 The Academic Journal System is Broken, Here’s How to Fix It

How should academic discourse take place? Is it time to update the antiquated journal system?  In the season finale, hosts and finance professors Jonathan Berk and Jules van Binsbergen tackle the prob...

13 Mai 29min

Rerun: Ep46 "May Contain Lies" with Alex Edmans

Rerun: Ep46 "May Contain Lies" with Alex Edmans

This week, we’re revisiting our ever-timely and fascinating conversation around misinformation with London Business School professor Alex Edmans. All Else Equal will be back with a new episode in two ...

29 Apr 29min

Ep76 “How Should You Deal with Uncertainty in Today's World?” with Nick Bloom

Ep76 “How Should You Deal with Uncertainty in Today's World?” with Nick Bloom

What do measures of uncertainty tell us about the state of the economy and how should firms and households use those measurements to inform decision-making? Hosts and finance professors Jonathan Berk ...

15 Apr 33min

Ep75 The Misleading Truth Behind IRR

Ep75 The Misleading Truth Behind IRR

Despite it being widely taught in business schools and practiced in the industry, you should think twice before using the internal rate of return as a criteria for making an investment decision. Hosts...

2 Apr 26min

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