James Rendell: Why Your Cat Model Is Blind to Secondary Perils | TRP #175

James Rendell: Why Your Cat Model Is Blind to Secondary Perils | TRP #175

Better cat modelling isn't just about avoiding bad risk, it's about finding and writing the good risk your competitors are mispricing. James Rendell, CEO of BirdsEyeView, saw that gap and convinced the European Space Agency to back him, and built something that the big vendors hadn't properly tackled. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN:- Why secondary perils like wildfire and severe convective storms are fundamentally harder to model than hurricanes — and how to tackle that properly- How year-old fuel data makes most wildfire models quietly unreliable, and what it means for your next renewal- Why a higher-resolution cat model is a revenue tool, not just a risk-avoidance one — and how soft market conditions make this more urgent- The meaningful difference between physics-based machine learning models and LLMs when you need to explain your risk view to an actuary- How an ESA-backed startup went from contingency market niche to a cat modelling platform used across Lloyd's syndicates, Australian cover holders, US MGAs and beyondTIMESTAMPS:00:00 James Rendell: from broker to insurtech founder01:54 BirdsEyeView and the ESA05:34 The cat modelling landscape07:00 The contingency market gap09:30 Why secondary perils are harder to model12:35 Wildfire, SCS, and building better models14:10 Physics, machine learning, and satellite data16:06 The fuel data problem18:00 AI and the future of cat modelling21:50 Soft market advantage: write more premium

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Episoder(327)

Nick Hankin: What Earns a Cedent More Capacity | TRP #178

Nick Hankin: What Earns a Cedent More Capacity | TRP #178

Nick Hankin spent thirty years buying reinsurance at RSA, Zurich, AXA, AIG and Aviva. Now he runs QBE Re, and he is unusually direct about which cedents get his capacityand which part of the book quie...

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Build an MGA That Keeps Growing | TRP #177

Build an MGA That Keeps Growing | TRP #177

There's a reliable way to spot a boom in insurance: count the conferences. Cyber got its own, then AI, and now MGA events have taken over the calendar. Tom Spier joins Cordy on The Reinsurance Podcast...

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One Spreadsheet Error Away From Disaster | TRP #176

One Spreadsheet Error Away From Disaster | TRP #176

Every reinsurance office has a spreadsheet only one person understands, and this episode is about why that's the industry's biggest quiet risk. Jerad and Ben start by defending spreadsheets properly, ...

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Maurits Van Joolingen: The Insurability Crisis No One Is Pricing In | TRP #175

Maurits Van Joolingen: The Insurability Crisis No One Is Pricing In | TRP #175

Everyone in reinsurance obsesses over the claims side of the balance sheet: what happens when things go wrong. Maurits Van Joolingen, Managing Director of Climate Scenarios & Sustainability at Ortec F...

4 Aug 21min

2030 Reinsurance Predictions We Might Regret | TRP #174

2030 Reinsurance Predictions We Might Regret | TRP #174

Jerad and Ben skip the small talk and jump straight to 2030, asking the one question worth asking about AI and reinsurance: what actually changes, and what's just getting a shinier coat of paint. They...

7 Jul 29min

Why Brokers Lose Clients (and How to Fix It) | TRP #173

Why Brokers Lose Clients (and How to Fix It) | TRP #173

Reinsurance brokers are famous for remembering the small things — the underwriter's dog, the client's restaurant preference at Monte Carlo, whose birthday party they attended last spring. Less famous ...

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How to Win a Soft Market Without Burning Bridges | TRP #172

How to Win a Soft Market Without Burning Bridges | TRP #172

In a softening reinsurance market, it’s tempting to chase the cheapest capacity, squeeze every last point out of pricing, and call it a win. But that’s how you burn bridges. In this episode, Ben and J...

10 Jun 24min

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