Do Good Conversations September 1, 2026 - Ron Abramovich

Our trusty retired Idaho hydrologist, Ron Abramovich, is back—and this time he's watching the Pacific Ocean. We're heading into a winter that could be one for the record books, with forecasters predicting an exceptionally strong El Niño—potentially among the strongest events we've seen in decades. So what exactly is El Niño? It begins thousands of miles away, with unusually warm ocean temperatures in the tropical Pacific. But those changes in the ocean can ripple through the atmosphere and influence weather patterns far beyond the Pacific—including here in Idaho. Ron has spent decades studying the relationship between snow, weather, water and Idaho's rivers. As Idaho's Snow Survey Water Supply Specialist, he built a career around understanding what the snowpack can tell us about the water year ahead. And he's been looking at historical data long enough to know that when the current conditions resemble some of the big years in the record, it's worth paying attention. So what could this unusually strong El Niño mean for Idaho? More snow? Less snow? A warmer winter? A different kind of water year? And perhaps most importantly—what can a century of weather and hydrologic data actually tell us about what's coming? In this episode, Ron Abramovich takes us inside the numbers, the history and the science behind this potentially historic El Niño—and what Idaho should be watching for this winter.

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