SI25: Where to start your Trend Following jouney?

SI25: Where to start your Trend Following jouney?

Discussion points this week include: Where to start if you want to become a Trend Following Trader, whether or not to trade markets differently, Bloomberg’s article on the supposed Failing of Trend Following, how strategies can cope and adapt during drawdowns, how to know when you are truly diversified or not, and a lot more.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:20 – Weekly review of performance

07:00 – Top tweets

32:30 – Question 1: Karl; Where would you start if you wanted to become a Trend Follower?

36:30 – Question 2/3: Paul; Considering return volatility and investor tolerance, how do you help investors determine their optimal allocation to Trend Following? Have your personal volatility preferences changed over time?

45:45 – Question 4: Antonio; If historical drawdowns have no bearing on the future (as the podcast has said), how do you know your system won’t blow up?

50:10 – Question 5: Antonio; How do you calculate future expected returns with a TF system?

55:20 – Question 6: Antonio; If you can’t estimate future returns, why bet TF will keep working in the future?

59:30 – Question 7: Antonio; Should recent performance of TF systems influence future return expectations?

01:03:10 – Question 8: Brian; How does a CTA choose a company to sell their products?

01:05:00 – Question 9/10: Samuel; Based on correlation, what level of diversification is enough? What will cause Jerry to adjust his risk?

01:09:00 – Question 11: Samuel; How often should positions be adjusted based on account equity?

01:15:15 – Question 12: Brian; Why do investors hold CTA returns to a higher standard (versus other hedge funds)?

01:18:50 – Question 13: Seth; What are the unique “sectors” that drive diversification in a TF system?

01:22:40 – Discussion of Bloomberg article on TF failing – suggested by Christian

01:35:00 – Benchmark performance update

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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