SI150: Extracting Edges from the Market ft. Richard Brennan

SI150: Extracting Edges from the Market ft. Richard Brennan

This week, Richard Brennan from ATS Trading Solutions makes his debut on the show, and we discuss the complexity behind successful Trend Following strategies, momentum trading versus Trend Following, the importance of average win rate, how a weak edge can still lead to strong returns, deflationary environments and their past effects on the Trend Following models, which markets, and how many, to include in a profitable trading system, and how to find the perfect exit strategy with minimum risk.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In this episode, we discuss:

  • Why there may be no such thing as a 'simple' successful Trend Following strategy
  • How to profit across multiple timeframes
  • How momentum investing is often confused with Trend Following methods
  • Average win rate versus average loss rate
  • Why inflation is usually a good thing for systematic investors
  • Trailing stops and risk management
  • How many markets are ideal for a profitable Trend Following system

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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Rich on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:31 – A huge thank you to listeners of the show for leaving your 5-star reviews on iTunes

02:18 – Macro recap from Niels

04:23 – Weekly review of performance

10:24 Q1; Kushro: Is there a way for the novice rules-based investor to reliably backtest their rules?

12:40 Q2 & Q3; Danny: Can you give an example of how to trade multiple timeframes? How do I manage risk from unrealised profits & losses?

23:35 – Extracting an edge from markets

42:22 – Analysing win/loss rates

52:00 – Stops and position sizing

56:42 Benchmark performance update

57:45 Some big announcements

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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