Top Traders Unplugged2 Aug 2022

AL09: FED Funds may hit 8% ft. Bilal Hafeez

Bilal Hafeez, Founder, CEO and Head of Research at Macro Hive, joins us today to discuss the current state of the markets and how we are possibly heading into a new regime and why FED Funds may hit 8%. We address the economic outlook of the near future and how the FED will deal with the challenges of inflation and increasing interest rates, how technology has taken over parts of the labour force and how Covid-19 has changed the way people and companies work, how demographics impacts inflation and the growth problems that China currently experiences. We also discuss how the future for asset allocation looks and how the sanctions against Russia impacts the economy around the world. Lastly, Bilal explains his process and approach to making research and recommends books that have been influential to him.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

03:03 - Introduction to Bilal Hafeez

07:51 - How does the community respond to the current environment?

10:43 - FED Funds & the economic outlook of the next 6-12 months

23:17 - An inflation story

29:39 - Demographics - is it inflationary or dis-inflationary?

35:20 - What is next for asset allocation

44:03 - Should we worry about the sanctions against Russia?

51:58 - Lessons learned from previous crises

55:16 - Bilal’s research process and approach

01:02:36 - Book recommendations

01:06:01 - Key takeaways from Niels

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2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

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