TTU140: Why Trend Following is Smart Diversification ft. Bruno Gmür, Founder of Quantica

TTU140: Why Trend Following is Smart Diversification ft. Bruno Gmür, Founder of Quantica

Get ready for an engaging conversation with Bruno Gmür, the Founder and CIO of Quantica Capital, as we explore their unique approach to systematic diversified trend following. Join us as we dive into the world of relative trend following and why volatility isn't always the right measure of risk. Bruno shares his insights on the challenges of estimating covariance matrices and expected returns during times of crisis, and how to create robust models to mitigate risk and prepare for market shocks. We'll also discuss why Quantica Capital no longer uses the term "crisis alpha" to promote their strategy and why trend following is much more complex than it may seem. Don't miss our discussion on the relationship between market liquidity and volatility as well as many more topics in this wide-ranging conversation.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Alan on Twitter.

Learn more about Quantica Capital.

Episode Timestamps:

02:46 - Introduction to Quantica Capital

05:04 - Their investment philosophy

12:31 - What makes them unique?

17:09 - Reacting to trends

19:43 - Why not do it the easy way?

23:33 - Looking Sharpe

30:34 - When Correlations go to "1"

35:12 - Dealing with shocks

39:02 - The measurement methodologies

43:14 - The role of correlation

46:38 - Good research and potential pitfalls

53:09 - Important discoveries

55:26 - Making adjustments in a larger portfolio

59:11 - The time scale perspective

01:05:07 - The pros and cons of CTA replication

01:10:42 - Setting return expectations

01:14:14 - Trend following disagreements

01:15:45 - Expectations for 2023

01:19:22 - Thanks for listening

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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