Episode 266: I Want to Half-Believe

Episode 266: I Want to Half-Believe

Last December, with Argentina minutes away from a World Cup championship, friend of the show Yoel texted David "congratulations." David was furious, and soon after (with less than 2 minutes left in extra time) France's Mbappe scored a game-tying goal to send the match into penalty kicks. (Argentina ended up winning or Yoel might have become 'former friend of the show.') David says he doesn't believe in jinxes at all but his actions suggest otherwise. We talk about a paper on this phenomenon of "half-belief": when your behavior and your stated beliefs don't align. Plus Tamler and David take a survey and discover that they lead radically different inner lives.

James Steele's Tweet

Caspi, A., Shmuel, E., & Chajut, E. (2023). A quantitative examination of half-belief in superstition. Journal of Individual Differences.

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Episode 307: What's in the BOX?

Episode 307: What's in the BOX?

David and Tamler talk about two famous puzzles that for different reasons have bedeviled the rationalist community – The Monty Hall Problem and Newcomb's "paradox." Why is it so hard for people to see...

22 Apr 20251h 16min

Episode 306: What to Expect When You're Expecting (David Lynch's "Eraserhead" with Barry Lam)

Episode 306: What to Expect When You're Expecting (David Lynch's "Eraserhead" with Barry Lam)

David and Tamler welcome Barry Lam back to the show. In the first segment we violate one of our own rules by talking about his new book "Fewer Rules, Better People", a full frontal attack on David's s...

8 Apr 20252h 4min

Episode 305: Emile Is the Name of the Goat (with Paul Bloom)

Episode 305: Emile Is the Name of the Goat (with Paul Bloom)

VBW favorite Paul Bloom joins us to break down the Severance season finale and season 2 in general. We all agree that it's a much-needed return to form and debate some of the choices and questions the...

25 Mar 20251h 44min

Episode 304: The Planes Don't Land

Episode 304: The Planes Don't Land

What has four thumbs and can effortlessly glide from the a priori to the a posteriori in a single episode? These guys. In the first segment we tackle a brand new paper called "Being Exalted: an A Prio...

11 Mar 20251h 40min

Episode 303: Measure This

Episode 303: Measure This

Everyone knows Tamler hates numbers but he's not the only one who worries about them. We talk about the philosopher C. Thi Nguyen's excellent paper "Value Capture" which examines how the ever-increasi...

25 Feb 20251h 26min

Episode 302: Metaphysical Edging

Episode 302: Metaphysical Edging

What makes something weird? What makes something eerie? David and Tamler wander into Mark Fisher's The Weird and the Eerie to learn more about these concepts. How does weird art expand our imagination...

11 Feb 20251h 17min

Episode 301: Believing is Seeing?

Episode 301: Believing is Seeing?

It's Back 2 Basics: Psychology edition! Do coins look bigger to poor people? Do hills look steeper to people wearing heavy backpacks? What's the difference between perception and attention, or percept...

28 Jan 20251h 29min

Episode 300: If We Only Had A Brain

Episode 300: If We Only Had A Brain

David and Tamler celebrate their 300th episode with a deep dive into the movie that inspired the podcast's title. Why is "The Wizard of Oz" the most influential American movie of all time? How does it...

14 Jan 20251h 48min

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