Top Traders Unplugged23 Aug 2023

IL20: How to Survive the Current Fourth Turning ft. Neil Howe

Best-selling author and renowned historian Neil Howe joins the show to talk about his New York Times’ bestselling book The Fourth Turning Is Here. Neil believes history moves in generational cycles that last about the length of one long human life. Each cycle has four eras - Turnings - that always arrive in the same order and last about twenty years. We are now midway through a Fourth Turning which is a time of exceptional upheaval and conflict. Previous Fourth Turnings happened during the Great Depression and WWII, the American Civil War and the American Revolution. The good news is a society that successfully navigates a Fourth Turning emerges reborn - more equal, more optimistic and more united. We discuss the implications of this era for financial markets, why it will be the Millennial generation that leads us through the coming conflict and what will characterize the world that emerges afterwards.

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Episode TimeStamps:

02:15 - Introduction to Neil Howe

03:43 - What characterise each turning?

17:53 - A generation cliff

25:18 - The importance of the financial crisis in 2008

27:55 - Cycles are non linear

30:08 - Every crisis has a catalyst

35:56 - A polarised and divided world

41:29 - Can conflict bring us together?

48:30 - The outlook for war and conflict

52:12 - A millennial revolution

58:18 - Will boomers give up?

01:07:48 - How will society change?

01:19:57 - Key takeaways from Niels

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Disclaimer

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