Thinking About Macro

Thinking About Macro

Howard Marks doesn’t make bets on economic predictions. That’s especially true now when the biggest wildcard is inflation – a phenomenon no one fully understands. But just because something is unknowable doesn’t mean it’s unimportant. That’s why Howard has devoted his latest memo to a topic he largely disavows: macro forecasting. (July 29, 2021)

You can read the memo here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/thinkingaboutmacro.pdf).

The memo is read by LJ Ganser.

Episoder(76)

The Rewind: On The Couch

The Rewind: On The Couch

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on January 14, 2016. In the first of a two-part series, he analyzes investors’ irrationality and discusses why things that are obvious in investing ar...

30 Sep 20211h 13min

The Rewind: Us and Them

The Rewind: Us and Them

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on May 7, 2004. In a discussion that namechecks both psychologist Amos Tversky and tennis great Pete Sampras, Howard explains why too much confidence ...

26 Aug 202143min

The Rewind: It Is What It Is

The Rewind: It Is What It Is

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on March 27, 2006. In this wide-ranging discussion, he weaves together the Japanese concept of mujo, probability theory and the Super Bowl to suggest ...

24 Jun 202143min

The Rewind: Dare to Be Great II

The Rewind: Dare to Be Great II

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on April 8, 2014. In the second episode of a two-part series, he asks whether investors are willing to do what is necessary in order to be great – inc...

5 Mai 202145min

The Rewind: Dare to Be Great

The Rewind: Dare to Be Great

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on September 7, 2006. In the first episode of a two-part series, he offers suggestions to those daring to be superior investors. There are no formulas...

29 Apr 202154min

2020 in Review

2020 in Review

Last year featured a jaw-dropping list of extremes, from a once-in-a-century pandemic to record-breaking market moves. Howard Marks writes in his latest memo about approaching the investment environme...

19 Mar 202131min

The Rewind: You Can’t Predict. You Can Prepare.

The Rewind: You Can’t Predict. You Can Prepare.

Howard looks back on this memo, originally published on November 20, 2001. The title was inspired by a TV commercial tagline from that time: “It's almost a Yogi Berra type statement that makes no appa...

24 Feb 202152min

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