103. ANALYSIS: Denis Kazakiewicz on Belarus, the war in Ukraine, recent joint Russia-Belarus military group, how the war affects the Belarusian population & impacts Lukashenko’s grip on power

103. ANALYSIS: Denis Kazakiewicz on Belarus, the war in Ukraine, recent joint Russia-Belarus military group, how the war affects the Belarusian population & impacts Lukashenko’s grip on power

Denis Kazakiewicz, data analyst and journalist, discusses Belarus and the war in Ukraine: Aleksandr Lukashenko's relationship with Putin, impacts of the war on the Belarusian population, significance of a recently-formed Belarusian-Russian joint military group, and how the war affects Lukashenko's grip on power.

"With the joint military group, Lukashenko gave one more piece of sovereignty, of Belarus, to Russian control. What does joint military group actually mean? It means that there will be some Russian and Belarusian soldiers intermingled - under Russian command."

"Lukashenko now is walking a very fine line - with his life in the balance... because if he will not be pro-Putin enough someone else might surface and tell Putin I am more pro-Putin... if he should stick to Putin too much and actually invade with full forces into Ukraine... that might end the rule of Lukashenko very soon... [because] people of Belarus don't want to die for Russian world."

Follow Denis on twitter: @Den_2042

For episode updates follow on twitter: @jessicagenauer

Episoder(100)

125. ANALYSIS: Benjamin Herscovitch on China and Russia - China’s position vis-a-vis Russia’s invasion, how this position might change in 2023 & shape China’s approach to Taiwan

125. ANALYSIS: Benjamin Herscovitch on China and Russia - China’s position vis-a-vis Russia’s invasion, how this position might change in 2023 & shape China’s approach to Taiwan

Ben Herscovitch, Research Fellow at the School of Regulation and Global Governance, on China's position vis-a-vis Russia and Russia's invasion of Ukraine, how this position might evolve in 2023, and h...

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124. ANALYSIS: Catrina Doxsee with a deep dive into Wagner’s relationship to the Russian state, changes in Prigozhin’s behavior and global security implications

124. ANALYSIS: Catrina Doxsee with a deep dive into Wagner’s relationship to the Russian state, changes in Prigozhin’s behavior and global security implications

Catrina Doxsee, Associate Director and Associate Fellow for the Transnational Threats Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), outlines the relationship between Wagner and...

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123. PERSPECTIVE: Kanykei Tursunbaeva and Mark Neville on operating under conditions of war, photography in conflict zones, and the project ’Stop Tanks with Books’

123. PERSPECTIVE: Kanykei Tursunbaeva and Mark Neville on operating under conditions of war, photography in conflict zones, and the project ’Stop Tanks with Books’

Kanykei Tursunbaeva, journalist, translator and Research Associate at the European Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and Mark Neville, award-winning photo journalist working in Ukraine since 2015, discus...

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122. ANALYSIS: Niklas Masuhr on the Wagner group - activities, involvement in Ukraine, military and political implications

122. ANALYSIS: Niklas Masuhr on the Wagner group - activities, involvement in Ukraine, military and political implications

Niklas Masuhr, Senior Researcher and Military Analyst at the Center for Security Studies at the ETH Zurich University, discusses activities of the Wagner group; comparison of Russian and Chinese PMC a...

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121. ANALYSIS: Bastian Brinkmann on Germany, weapon supplies to Ukraine, and Russia’s invasion

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Bastian Brinkmann, journalist and Deputy Head of the Economics Department of the Süddeutsche Zeitung (SZ) discusses drivers in the Germany domestic political context behind Germany's pattern of delibe...

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120. ANALYSIS: Lucan Way on Revolution and Dictatorship: durablility of the Soviety Union, legacies for Putn’s regime, & trajectory of the war in Ukraine

120. ANALYSIS: Lucan Way on Revolution and Dictatorship: durablility of the Soviety Union, legacies for Putn’s regime, & trajectory of the war in Ukraine

Lucan Way, Profesor of Political Science at the University of Toronto, discusses his recent book (with Steven Levitsky) Revolution and Dictatorship: The violent origins of durable authoritarianism - i...

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119. ANALYSIS: Keir Giles on Russia’s War on Everybody and the war in Ukraine

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Keir Giles, Senior Consulting Fellow at the Chatham House Russia and Eurasia program as well as Director of the Conflict Studies Research Centre discusses his latest book Russia's War on Everybody: An...

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118. UPDATE: Maksym Yali forecasts trajectory of Russia’s war in Ukraine in 2023

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Maksym Yali, Head of the Center for New World Order and Professor of International Relations at the National Aviation University in Kyiv, forecasts how Russia's war in Ukraine will evolve in 2023 incl...

7 Jan 202315min

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