Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO

Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain

(19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky?

(33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession?

(40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility

(45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East?

(1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-boycotts-netanyahu-snubs-israeli-leaders-wartime-address-give-sorority-speech

https://nypost.com/2024/07/24/us-news/media-change-tune-on-calling-kamala-harris-border-czar-despite-giving-her-the-title

https://x.com/jeffstorobinsky/status/1818722254542590012

https://apnews.com/business/inflation-general-news-31d83873be23c658d66526745482d572

https://x.com/grdecter/status/1819362069797654784

https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-interest-rates-wealth-loans-51d4276e

https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs

https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/q1-gdp-slows-inflation-dips

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-stock-jumps-after-earnings-beat-driven-by-ai-chip-sales-202456320.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/31/nvidia-stock-up-after-microsoft-amd-quell-fears-ai-buildout-too-fast.html

https://www.ft.com/content/bad6ca0b-82fb-4ddb-b6b8-bd09dacd47ae

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/world/middleeast/how-hamas-leader-haniyeh-killed-iran-bomb.html

https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/01/world/middleeast/how-a-secret-cyberwar-program-worked.html?hp

https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bill-ackman-pulls-investment-fund-ipo-after-shrinking-its-size-85ba1a17

Episoder(369)

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In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions

Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K (15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban (36:16) Decision 2024: State of ...

23 Aug 20241h 31min

Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala's price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive

Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala's price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive

(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason gets a dish named after him! (5:27) DOJ considers breaking up Google after last week's antitrust ruling (28:10) Starbucks replaces CEO with Chipotle chief (45:37) Work cult...

16 Aug 20241h 46min

Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz

Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz

(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason is back from COVID! (3:55) Yen carry trade unravels, Japan's unique economic issues (27:22) Recession odds growing, is the US already in a "lowkey recession"? (45:46) Why B...

9 Aug 20241h 44min

Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG

Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG

(0:00) Bestie intros: Nostracanis appears! (3:50) Wiz turns down Google's $23B offer, intends to IPO (13:30) CrowdStrike's rough week (17:51) Market update: Mag 7 sell-off? (22:47) Sam Altman's UBI st...

26 Jul 20241h 39min

Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem

Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem

(0:00) Bestie intros: Live from the RNC! (1:34) Reacting to the assassination attempt against President Trump (12:52) Impact of charged rhetoric (21:15) Secret Service's massive failure; institutional...

19 Jul 20241h 15min

Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections

Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections

(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:29) Macro picture: Soft landing secured? Rate cut on the horizon? Plus: partisan economic perception (20:48) AI sentiment turns bearish due to massive spend with little revenu...

12 Jul 20241h 25min

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