Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO

Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain

(19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky?

(33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession?

(40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility

(45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East?

(1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO

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https://twitter.com/friedberg

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-boycotts-netanyahu-snubs-israeli-leaders-wartime-address-give-sorority-speech

https://nypost.com/2024/07/24/us-news/media-change-tune-on-calling-kamala-harris-border-czar-despite-giving-her-the-title

https://x.com/jeffstorobinsky/status/1818722254542590012

https://apnews.com/business/inflation-general-news-31d83873be23c658d66526745482d572

https://x.com/grdecter/status/1819362069797654784

https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-interest-rates-wealth-loans-51d4276e

https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs

https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/q1-gdp-slows-inflation-dips

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-stock-jumps-after-earnings-beat-driven-by-ai-chip-sales-202456320.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/31/nvidia-stock-up-after-microsoft-amd-quell-fears-ai-buildout-too-fast.html

https://www.ft.com/content/bad6ca0b-82fb-4ddb-b6b8-bd09dacd47ae

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/world/middleeast/how-hamas-leader-haniyeh-killed-iran-bomb.html

https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/01/world/middleeast/how-a-secret-cyberwar-program-worked.html?hp

https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bill-ackman-pulls-investment-fund-ipo-after-shrinking-its-size-85ba1a17

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Episoder(376)

E90: Twitter subpoenas, market overview, Pelosi's Taiwan visit & more

E90: Twitter subpoenas, market overview, Pelosi's Taiwan visit & more

0:00 Bestie intros 2:07 Twitter subpoenas the besties! 16:03 Markets overview: dead cat bounce or have we hit the bottom? 34:10 De-globalization trends, Pelosi's Taiwan visit  Follow the besties: http...

5 Aug 202250min

E89: GDP growth negative in Q2, $SHOP layoffs, Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen & more

E89: GDP growth negative in Q2, $SHOP layoffs, Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen & more

0:00 Bestie intros! 2:19 GDP growth is negative for a second consecutive quarter, but is the US actually in a recession? How has the White House controlled the narrative? 22:45 Looking at COVID trends...

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E88: First principle politics, China chaos & outlook, state of private/public markets & more

E88: First principle politics, China chaos & outlook, state of private/public markets & more

0:00 Bestie intros 1:45 First principle politics, analyzing each party's cynicism 48:07 Chaos in China: bank protests, housing protests, slowing economic and population growth, future outlook 1:09:21 ...

22 Jul 20221h 44min

E87: Emerging markets, Sri Lanka, 9.1% CPI, market sentiment, NASA's Webb telescope & more

E87: Emerging markets, Sri Lanka, 9.1% CPI, market sentiment, NASA's Webb telescope & more

0:00 Bestie intros! 1:41 Emerging markets, Sri Lanka break down 36:01 9.1% CPI print 48:15 Current market sentiments from retail and institutional investors 1:05:00 NASA's Webb telescope images 1:15:5...

14 Jul 20221h 24min

E86: Macro outlook: jobs, housing, inflation + Dutch farmers protests & EU climate missteps

E86: Macro outlook: jobs, housing, inflation + Dutch farmers protests & EU climate missteps

0:00 Bestie open: Sacks' shopping spree 2:15 Macro outlook: jobs, consumer sentiment, housing, inflation, finding a bottom 39:21 Turkish government finds ~694 million mt of rare earth reserves & EU re...

8 Jul 20221h 23min

E85: SBF's crypto bailout, Zendesk sells for ~$10B, buyout targets, US diplomacy, AlphaFold & more

E85: SBF's crypto bailout, Zendesk sells for ~$10B, buyout targets, US diplomacy, AlphaFold & more

0:00 Bestie intros 4:09 Assessing SBF bailing out major crypto players & the state of the market 18:24 Classifying crypto assets, high-yield crypto lending 34:17 Zendesk sells for $10B, accounting for...

30 Jun 20221h 35min

E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast

E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast

0:00 Besties discuss the one-month hiatus 7:03 Markets update: Fed decisions, goals, macro factors, root causes 32:19 Earnings estimate skepticism, labor force, job openings 47:17 How startups should ...

24 Jun 20221h 41min

#AIS: Palmer Luckey on Anduril

#AIS: Palmer Luckey on Anduril

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Jason intros today's episode...

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