Nate Silver: Underdog Story

Nate Silver: Underdog Story

Kamala is now the star of a story involving a woman called into duty at a moment of crisis with a sitcom dad as a running mate—and Trump can see the danger. Nate Silver joins Tim Miller to explain what his polling model is showing. Plus, the survivorship bias of Elon-world risk takers, and good, old gambling tips. Your weekend pod.
show notes:

Nate's new book, "On the Edge The Art of Risking Everything," out Tuesday
Tim making the "conservative case" for Kamala
Tim's playlist

Episoder(500)

Tom Nichols: Drama Queens About Everything

Tom Nichols: Drama Queens About Everything

Republican men used to be stoic and quiet technocrats, but now they're screechy and freaky. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris has a whole crop of strong, silent types to choose from as a running mate.  Plus, ...

30 Jul 202453min

Bill Kristol: Weird and Extreme

Bill Kristol: Weird and Extreme

Democrats are leaning into the 'Republicans are weird and creepy' talking point—a strategy Tim has long advocated for. JD Vance is Exhibit A for this kind of profile, which explains the rumors about T...

29 Jul 202446min

Jennifer Palmieri: The Making of the First Woman President

Jennifer Palmieri: The Making of the First Woman President

Women candidates get asked different questions than male candidates—that's just a fact. Kamala has a whole team around her ready to handle queries about her ambition and the racist and sexist attacks....

26 Jul 202444min

A.B. Stoddard: Focus Only on Winning

A.B. Stoddard: Focus Only on Winning

Nancy Pelosi has amassed power through persuasion, and she had the nerve to push a sitting president off the ticket because she prioritized victory. Meanwhile, Kamala's veep pick is key to extending t...

25 Jul 202453min

Rick Perlstein: The Alternative Is Apocalyptic

Rick Perlstein: The Alternative Is Apocalyptic

The modern conservative movement has a built-in ratcheting-up mechanism, so that even when Republicans win, they act like they're losing and the country is on the verge of collapse. Even Democrats lon...

24 Jul 202445min

Sam Stein and Ron Brownstein: Now We're Talking

Sam Stein and Ron Brownstein: Now We're Talking

We may have been conditioned to just accept candidates who share their meandering thoughts or end sentences with 'anyway.' But Kamala Harris is delivering a big upgrade, and showing how a good politic...

23 Jul 202452min

James Carville: Kamala-Gras

James Carville: Kamala-Gras

It's now the Kamala Harris parade, and James Carville has grabbed his whistle and baton for the march. The veteran strategist shares some campaign advice for the vice president and argues her 2020 mes...

22 Jul 202428min

Bill Kristol: Biden Drops Out of Race

Bill Kristol: Biden Drops Out of Race

After banging the drum for quite a while, Bill Kristol and Tim Miller got their wish, and the political world is scrambling for the 106-day sprint to the election— with Trump now officially the oldest...

21 Jul 202439min

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