129: Victor Haghani – Optimal Bet Sizing—Lessons From a Biased Coin Flip Experiment

129: Victor Haghani – Optimal Bet Sizing—Lessons From a Biased Coin Flip Experiment

Victor Haghani began his career at Salomon Brothers in 1984, starting out in a research role before joining their prop trading desk. In 1992, Victor left Salomon to become one of the founding partners of Long Term Capital Management… LTCM was an incredibly successful hedge fund, up until 1998, when it failed in a spectacular fashion. Causing the Federal Reserve to step in and organize a bailout, in order to prevent the possibility of a collapse in the global financial system. Victor took a ten year sabbatical after the dust settled, and in 2010 he founded an active index investing fund, Elm Partners. For this episode, much of our discussion is in reference to an experiment Victor carried out (with some involvement from Edward Thorp), on the patterns of how 61 participants would bet on a biased coin. -- Sponsored by TradeStation: Very few online brokers offer the services, the tools and the technology (all-in-one!) – for active traders – like TradeStation do. Learn more and get started here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Episoder(335)

331 · Jeff Holden - How Top Prop Traders Find and Scale Their Edge

331 · Jeff Holden - How Top Prop Traders Find and Scale Their Edge

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330 · Steve Quirk - From Chicago Pit Trader to Robinhood Exec

330 · Steve Quirk - From Chicago Pit Trader to Robinhood Exec

Steve Quirk began his career in 1987 on the fast-paced trading floors of Chicago, surviving the historic market crash that wiped out $1.7 trillion worldwide.From navigating open-outcry pits where a tr...

19 Aug 51min

329 · Peter Brandt - How a 50-Year Veteran Thinks About Risk Management

329 · Peter Brandt - How a 50-Year Veteran Thinks About Risk Management

Peter Brandt entered the commodity trading business in 1976 with ContiCommodity Services, survived years of market shifts, and turned a passion for price action into a legendary career spanning over 5...

5 Aug 1h 43min

328 · Paul Scott - Why Technical Analysis is Just Retail Noise

328 · Paul Scott - Why Technical Analysis is Just Retail Noise

Paul Scott entered the high-stakes trading floor of the London Metal Exchange at just 16 years old, survived years of trading under survival-mode pressure, and turned old-school pit wisdom into lifelo...

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327 · David Capablanca - From Skid Row Showers to Short Selling Master

327 · David Capablanca - From Skid Row Showers to Short Selling Master

David Capablanca pursued architecture for a decade, culminating in studying under a Pritzker Prize winner at UCLA, before a life threatening brain tumor, massive medical debt, and student loans forced...

8 Jul 1h 26min

326 · Jason Berry - This Market Wizard Only Had 5 Losing Months in 14 Years... Here's How

326 · Jason Berry - This Market Wizard Only Had 5 Losing Months in 14 Years... Here's How

Jason Berry co-founded Positive Equity in 2008. Built alongside partners and traders who raised the bar, the firm operates trading floors in Ireland and Croatia. Over a 14-year stretch of verified cle...

24 Jun 1h 19min

325 · Jack Schwager & George Coyle - The 3 Timeless Rules Shared by 100 Years of Market Wizards

325 · Jack Schwager & George Coyle - The 3 Timeless Rules Shared by 100 Years of Market Wizards

Jack Schwager and George Coyle team up to look at what it takes to master the markets, combining classic wisdom with how modern financial markets work today.After studying top fund managers and over 1...

10 Jun 1h 13min

324 · Peter Robbins - The Hard Truths of a 50 Year Trading Career

324 · Peter Robbins - The Hard Truths of a 50 Year Trading Career

Peter Robbins is the author of The Trader’s Journey. He entered the financial markets 50 years ago with nothing but a dream, his friend, and a parental signature to trade the markets, surviving decade...

27 Mai 58min

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