Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions

Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K

(15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban

(36:16) Decision 2024: State of the race, Polls vs prediction markets

(52:33) Tale of two tickets: Private sector vs. Public sector

(1:05:19) Kamala Harris supports Biden's tax plans, including a 25% wealth tax on those with more than $100M in assets

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https://twitter.com/friedberg

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/nonfarm-payroll-growth-revised-down-by-818000-labor-department-says.html

https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1826290040374243821

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1664788807059660800

https://www.statista.com/statistics/269959/employment-in-the-united-states

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS

https://polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-september-2024?tid=1724345228774

https://x.com/chamath/status/1826360792351957141

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/15/us/harvard-asian-enrollment-applicants.html

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1826469365069271419

https://blockworks.co/news/polymarket-july-all-time-high-trading-volumes

https://www.semafor.com/article/08/19/2024/harris-camp-signals-it-backs-biden-bid-to-raise-taxes-on-wealthy-corporations

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-election-2024-harris-walz/card/harris-backs-tax-increases-proposed-by-biden-pkuLeYl6f1kXrhN4kWgQ

https://www.crfb.org/blogs/kamala-harris-agenda-lower-costs-american-families

https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf

Episoder(353)

E139: Recapping Chamath's wedding, VC surplus, unions vs Hollywood, room-temp superconductors & more

E139: Recapping Chamath's wedding, VC surplus, unions vs Hollywood, room-temp superconductors & more

(0:00) All-In in Italy!: Recapping Chamath's wedding (11:55) Discourse around obesity and weight loss in the US (21:56) Are there too many VCs? (38:18) Actors/Writers unions vs. Corporate Hollywood, e...

27 Jul 20231h 17min

E138: Presidential Candidate Vivek Ramaswamy in conversation with the Besties

E138: Presidential Candidate Vivek Ramaswamy in conversation with the Besties

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:08) Vivek's background, corporate political / ESG distractions, why he's running for president (19:16) Energy policy, unemployment work requirements, immigration (30:24) Forei...

21 Jul 20232h 10min

E137: Inflation cools, market rips, Ripple/MSFT beat regulators, NATO summit, cocktails of youth

E137: Inflation cools, market rips, Ripple/MSFT beat regulators, NATO summit, cocktails of youth

(0:00) Addressing the podcast hack (2:55) Macro picture: inflation cools, what happens to rates, market sentiment, soft landing, tech run-up (20:34) Consumer sentiment: demand crash coming? (30:31) BR...

14 Jul 20231h 28min

E136 Hacking the pod, Threads launches, Fed minutes, immigration debate, balloon farce, heart health

E136 Hacking the pod, Threads launches, Fed minutes, immigration debate, balloon farce, heart health

(0:00) We hacked the pod! Jcal is on vaca (5:34) Meta launches Threads (17:15) Chat AI interest in decline? (28:36) Fed meeting minutes, economic data and outlook, and EU risk (56:07) Florida Senate B...

9 Jul 20231h 38min

E135: Wagner rebels, SCOTUS ends AA, AI M&A, startups gone bad, spacetime warps & more

E135: Wagner rebels, SCOTUS ends AA, AI M&A, startups gone bad, spacetime warps & more

(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg fills in as moderator! (2:45) Wagner Group rebellion (23:15) SCOTUS strikes down Affirmative Action (51:03) Databricks acquires MosaicML for $1.3B, Inflection raises $1...

1 Jul 20231h 36min

E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more

E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more

(0:00) Bestie intros!: Bad conference lunches, hair fluffers, and focus groups (12:36) Zuck vs. Elon cage match (15:50) Ukraine / Russia updates: underwhelming counteroffensive, reported peace deal re...

24 Jun 20231h 33min

E133: Market melt-up, IPO update, AI startups overheat, Reddit revolts & more with Brad Gerstner

E133: Market melt-up, IPO update, AI startups overheat, Reddit revolts & more with Brad Gerstner

(0:00) Bestie intros: Chamath flies public + Poker recap (8:12) FED pauses hikes momentarily, IPO window status, state of the market (25:10) Film, cold plunge, and sauna talk (33:25) AI's impact on te...

16 Jun 20231h 58min

E132: SEC goes after crypto giants, Sequoia splits, LIV/PGA, Messi's deal + LIVE Q&A!

E132: SEC goes after crypto giants, Sequoia splits, LIV/PGA, Messi's deal + LIVE Q&A!

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:48) Why RFK Jr. is resonating (7:52) US crypto crackdown: action against Binance & Coinbase (26:08) Sequoia splits off its China and India/SE Asia businesses (41:55) PGA merge...

10 Jun 20231h 42min

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