How the Biggest Bull Market Could Go on for a Whole Lot Longer
Odd Lots10 Mar 2017

How the Biggest Bull Market Could Go on for a Whole Lot Longer

A few weeks ago on the Odd Lots podcast, we talked to Paul Schmelzing, a Ph.D candidate at Harvard, who explained how the bull market in U.S. Treasuries could come to a screeching halt. This week we examine the other side of the debate. Our guest is Srinivas Thiruvadanthai, director of research at the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center in Mount Kisco, New York. He explains how a combination of structural factors in the global economy and massive levels of debt could depress interest rates on government debt for years to come. In addition to explaining why the bond bull market of more than three decades can survive, Thiruvadanthai explains what everyone gets wrong on how inflation occurs.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Episoder(1185)

Javier Blas on Why Oil Could Go Much, Much Higher

Javier Blas on Why Oil Could Go Much, Much Higher

Oil has shot up by a lot since the start of war with Iran. But it could still get much worse. So far, the massive disruption (due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz) has been cushioned by the draw...

1 Apr 41min

Why NASA Hired a Chief Economist

Why NASA Hired a Chief Economist

This week, NASA is scheduled to launch Artemis II, a mission that will send astronauts around the moon for the first time in more than 50 years. But this comes at a time when the space agency is facin...

31 Mar 49min

Goldman CIO Marco Argenti on the Warp-Speed Improvements in AI

Goldman CIO Marco Argenti on the Warp-Speed Improvements in AI

When we last spoke to Marco Argenti, chief information officer at Goldman Sachs, we were talking about how the bank was deploying AI, including the development of its own internal tools. But that was ...

30 Mar 52min

Anthropic, the Pentagon, and the Future of Autonomous Weapons

Anthropic, the Pentagon, and the Future of Autonomous Weapons

The last big story right before the war in Iran started was the collapse in the relationship between the Pentagon and Anthropic, with the latter objecting to any potential use of its models in either ...

28 Mar 51min

Now There's a Helium Shortage and It Affects More Than Balloons

Now There's a Helium Shortage and It Affects More Than Balloons

Ripple effects from the war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to widen. There's yet another brewing shortage, this time in helium. While most people associate helium with balloo...

27 Mar 50min

This Is How Big Money Is Trading the War in Iran

This Is How Big Money Is Trading the War in Iran

Markets are often said to be "headline-driven," but that cliché has rarely felt more true than it does right now. A single tweet or Truth Social post can send prices sharply higher or lower, and inves...

26 Mar 39min

The Petrochemicals Shock That's Already Rippling Through Plastics

The Petrochemicals Shock That's Already Rippling Through Plastics

Everyone knows by now that war in Iran is curbing the flow of oil around the world. But oil isn't just a gasoline and jet fuel story, of course. It's also a crucial feedstock for a bunch of petrochemi...

25 Mar 53min

David Shor and Byrne Hobart on the Politics of a White-Collar Wipeout

David Shor and Byrne Hobart on the Politics of a White-Collar Wipeout

Nobody knows when or if AI will lead to mass displacement of white-collar work. But the anxiety is clearly here now, and there's very little evidence that our politicians are taking it seriously. Of c...

24 Mar 55min

Populært innen Business og økonomi

stopp-verden
dine-penger-pengeradet
lydartikler-fra-aftenposten
e24-podden
rss-penger-polser-og-politikk
rss-borsmorgen-okonominyhetene
pengepodden-2
finansredaksjonen
tid-er-penger-en-podcast-med-peter-warren
livet-pa-veien-med-jan-erik-larssen
utbytte
morgenkaffen-med-finansavisen
rss-markedspuls-2
lederpodden
pengesnakk
rss-pa-konto
liberal-halvtime
rss-fa-makro
rss-investering-gjort-enkelt
boligbobla