How to Forecast the Future
Odd Lots26 Aug 2019

How to Forecast the Future

Every day, people are bombarded with predictions of what will happen in the future. In recent months, talk of 'inflection points' in the markets has heated up, and the possibility of the U.S. economic expansion, now the longest in history, coming to an end is being actively discussed. But how do we know if such predictions are good ones? And how can we learn to be better forecasters ourselves? On this week's episode of the Odd Lots podcast, we talk to Philip Tetlock, the Leonore Annenberg University Professor of Psychology and Management at the University of Pennsylvania, and the author of numerous books and papers on the topic of predictions.

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Episoder(1189)

Henry Blodget on the Software Selloff Hysteria and the Problem for OpenAI

Henry Blodget on the Software Selloff Hysteria and the Problem for OpenAI

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Former Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein on Why He Doesn't Tweet

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5 Mar 47min

How the Speed of a Trade Got Down to Nearly the Speed of Light

How the Speed of a Trade Got Down to Nearly the Speed of Light

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2 Mar 55min

Introducing: Bloomberg This Weekend

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1 Mar 1min

James van Geelen on His Viral AI Doom Scenario

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Something very unusual happened in the market in the last week of February. It sold off, in part, thanks to an article on Substack. James van Geelen is the founder of Citrini Research, which published...

28 Feb 43min

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27 Feb 44min

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It's hard to imagine New York City becoming significantly more affordable as long as it remains so expensive to build things. Whether we're talking about new housing or transportation, the city is a f...

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