Why So Many People Got This Year's Economy Wrong
Odd Lots21 Des 2023

Why So Many People Got This Year's Economy Wrong

This time last year, almost everyone was predicting a recession would engulf the US economy in 2023. One of those forecasters was was Anna Wong, chief US economist for Bloomberg Economics. In October of last year, her model of the US economy showed a 100% chance of a recession happening in 2023. But, here we are more than 12 months later and US economic data keeps coming in relatively strong. Unemployment remains near multi-decade lows and inflation is pretty close to the Federal Reserve's 2% target. Yet there are still some confusing signals about the economy's overall direction, including surveys showing that many people are extremely pessimistic in their economic outlook. In this episode, we speak with Anna about how she's thinking about the conflicting signals in the US economy, why recession didn't materialize in 2023 in the way many people thought it would, and what she's looking out for next year.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Episoder(1185)

Introducing: Bloomberg This Weekend

Introducing: Bloomberg This Weekend

'Bloomberg This Weekend' features unique conversations on business, news, lifestyle and culture. Join David Gura, Christina Ruffini and Lisa Mateo Saturdays and Sundays for discussions with business l...

1 Mar 1min

James van Geelen on His Viral AI Doom Scenario

James van Geelen on His Viral AI Doom Scenario

Something very unusual happened in the market in the last week of February. It sold off, in part, thanks to an article on Substack. James van Geelen is the founder of Citrini Research, which published...

28 Feb 43min

The Scramble Is On for Businesses to Get Their Tariff Refund Checks

The Scramble Is On for Businesses to Get Their Tariff Refund Checks

Earlier this month, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs were illegal. And now basically every importer who paid those tariffs will be rushing to get their refunds. But will b...

27 Feb 44min

How Insurance Costs Make NYC Construction So Expensive

How Insurance Costs Make NYC Construction So Expensive

It's hard to imagine New York City becoming significantly more affordable as long as it remains so expensive to build things. Whether we're talking about new housing or transportation, the city is a f...

26 Feb 47min

Alison Roman's Plan to Conquer the Tomato Sauce Market

Alison Roman's Plan to Conquer the Tomato Sauce Market

Alison Roman is a cult figure in the world of food media. She's written multiple hit cookbooks and several of her recipes have gone viral. And her newsletter is incredibly popular. Now, she's putting ...

23 Feb 53min

Jamee Moudud on the Intellectual Roots of Zohranomics

Jamee Moudud on the Intellectual Roots of Zohranomics

NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani has certain ideas that make mainstream economists' head explode. Anything in the ballpark of rent control, specifically, is widely derided by defenders of the orthodoxy. But h...

21 Feb 55min

A16Z's David George on How Private and Public Markets Fused Into One

A16Z's David George on How Private and Public Markets Fused Into One

This year could be a big one for IPOs. From Anthropic to SpaceX to OpenAI, we could see some gigantic companies hit the public market. But of course, the big story is that big, thriving companies feel...

20 Feb 48min

Jared Sleeper on Which Software Companies Will Survive the "SaaSpocalypse"

Jared Sleeper on Which Software Companies Will Survive the "SaaSpocalypse"

The start of the year has been an absolutely brutal one for software companies. There’s a big fear that the rise of AI and advanced coding models will pull the rug out from this industry. But even bef...

19 Feb 49min

Populært innen Business og økonomi

stopp-verden
dine-penger-pengeradet
lydartikler-fra-aftenposten
rss-penger-polser-og-politikk
e24-podden
rss-borsmorgen-okonominyhetene
pengepodden-2
finansredaksjonen
tid-er-penger-en-podcast-med-peter-warren
livet-pa-veien-med-jan-erik-larssen
utbytte
morgenkaffen-med-finansavisen
lederpodden
rss-markedspuls-2
pengesnakk
rss-pa-konto
rss-fa-makro
liberal-halvtime
boligbobla
rss-investering-gjort-enkelt