Why central bank divergence can only go so far
ING THINK aloud6 Jun 2024

Why central bank divergence can only go so far

The European Central Bank is widely expected to cut interest rates on Thursday from a record high of 4%. It’s an unusual move for two reasons: There’s no recession or crisis to precipitate a cut – in fact the eurozone economy has recently shown signs of improvement. And it comes ahead of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve, which has traditionally led the way for the ECB, but isn’t expected to ease policy until later in the year. In this week’s THINK aloud, a replay of our live quarterly webinar, ING’s Carsten Brzeski and James Knightley discuss why policymakers are currently pursuing different paths, how long the divergence could last, and whether the coming US and European elections could influence decisions on monetary policy. James Smith looks at the timing of a Bank of England rate cut amid a crucial UK vote while Chris Turner explains what it could all mean for the markets.

Episoder(126)

There may be trouble ahead... for the UK

There may be trouble ahead... for the UK

In this podcast, a replay of an ING event this week, Developed Markets Economist James Smith and Senior Editor Rebecca Byrne discuss the outlook for UK inflation, interest rates, and mortgage costs, a...

30 Jun 202327min

Central banks, inflation and why the battle isn't over

Central banks, inflation and why the battle isn't over

In a live webinar event this week, ING's James Knightley, Carsten Brzeski and James Smith discussed the outlook for inflation, economic growth and monetary policy around the world while Chris Turner e...

13 Jun 202327min

What the US debt ceiling drama means for the dollar

What the US debt ceiling drama means for the dollar

As talks to raise the US debt ceiling go down to the wire, and the threat of a default looms large, currency markets have remained remarkably composed. In this podcast, ING's Chris Turner discusses wh...

25 Mai 202313min

Hiking into a banking crisis

Hiking into a banking crisis

As two more regional US lenders - PacWest and Western Alliance - saw their share prices collapse this week, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates again but hinted that this may be the peak of the ...

5 Mai 202321min

Emerging markets: Resilience amid uncertainty

Emerging markets: Resilience amid uncertainty

With soaring public debt since the Covid pandemic and much higher debt servicing costs after aggressive rate hikes around the world, emerging markets remain a risky proposition. Some countries, like Z...

19 Apr 202312min

Constructive on credit

Constructive on credit

In this podcast, ING's Global Head of Sector Research Jeroen van den Broek and Credit Strategist Tim Rahill discuss how the recent turmoil in the banking sector has impacted the credit market and why ...

31 Mar 202317min

Price stability vs financial stability

Price stability vs financial stability

In this podcast, ING's Padhraic Garvey and Antoine Bouvet discuss the latest central bank decisions to raise interest rates despite recent turmoil in the banking sector.

23 Mar 202312min

Higher for longer

Higher for longer

In this podcast, ING's James Knightley, Carsten Brzeski, and James Smith discuss where interest rates may be heading in the US, Europe and UK while Chris Turner explains what this could all mean for g...

10 Mar 202327min

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