Could a Housing Recession Take Down the U.S. Economy?

Could a Housing Recession Take Down the U.S. Economy?

One year ago, it was a matter of conventional wisdom among experts that the U.S. was on the brink of a recession. They were wrong. The latest GDP report showed America’s real output growing at a 4.9 percent annualized rate. That's huge. But just as we zagged a year ago, when we criticized recession predictions, I want to zag again today. It is a matter of broad conventional wisdom that the U.S. economy right now is doing really well. And, for now, it is. But challenges abound, including "higher-for-longer" interest rates, a recession in the apartment construction market, and ongoing global mayhem. Bloomberg columnist Conor Sen counts the five biggest risks to economic growth in the next year—and makes his official economic prediction for 2024. If you have questions, observations, or ideas for future episodes, email us at PlainEnglish@Spotify.com. Host: Derek Thompson Guest: Conor Sen Producer: Devon Manze Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(361)

How the Digital Workplace Broke Our Brains

How the Digital Workplace Broke Our Brains

Calvin Newport is a computer science professor at Georgetown University and the author of, among other books, 'Deep Work' and 'A World Without Email.' At the heart of so much of Newport’s work is this...

5 Jul 20231h 3min

What Just Happened in Russia This Weekend?

What Just Happened in Russia This Weekend?

University of Chicago professor Paul Poast breaks down Yevgeny Prigozhin's rebellion, Vladimir Putin's weakness, Russia's military incompetence, and the long-term implications of Saturday's bizarre 36...

27 Jun 202357min

The Science of Procrastination—and How to Really Get Stuff Done

The Science of Procrastination—and How to Really Get Stuff Done

Today’s episode is the first in a new miniseries about getting stuff done. This episode in particular is about NOT getting stuff done. I consider myself an exceptional procrastinator. There are many t...

20 Jun 202356min

Why Fertility Rates Are Plunging—in the U.S., South Korea, and Everywhere Else

Why Fertility Rates Are Plunging—in the U.S., South Korea, and Everywhere Else

Last year, there were 3,661,220 babies born in the U.S. That sounds like a lot. But historically speaking, it’s really not. It’s actually 15 percent below our peak in 2007. And it means America’s tota...

13 Jun 20231h 4min

Why So Many Young Men Are Lonely, Sexless, and Extremely Online

Why So Many Young Men Are Lonely, Sexless, and Extremely Online

Today’s episode is about the state of men in America. Last week, the non-profit institute Equimondo published a report on the state of men and boys in America: “Many men—especially younger men—are soc...

6 Jun 202353min

How Hollywood's Writers Strike Could Change the Future of TV and Movies

How Hollywood's Writers Strike Could Change the Future of TV and Movies

In May of this year, the Writers Guild of America went on strike. For weeks, TV and film writers have been walking in picket lines in Los Angeles and New York, and the strike threatens to bring TV and...

30 Mai 202350min

Why Youth Sports in America Are in Decline

Why Youth Sports in America Are in Decline

In the last five years, high school sports participation has fallen for the first time on record. The number of boys playing high school sports today is lower than in any year since 2007. While travel...

23 Mai 202345min

The Future of War Is Here

The Future of War Is Here

Today’s episode is about how artificial intelligence will change the future of war. First, we have Brian Schimpf, the CEO of Anduril, a military technology company that builds AI programs for the Depa...

16 Mai 20231h 28min

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