Daily Briefing - July 10, 2020 - The V-Shape Recovery Idea is Dead: Raoul Pal

Daily Briefing - July 10, 2020 - The V-Shape Recovery Idea is Dead: Raoul Pal

Is the idea of a V-shaped recovery dead? Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal and senior editor Ash Bennington explore that question in depth through the lens of the virulent reemergence of COVID-19 in the U.S. Raoul and Ash break down the alarming rise of cases coming out of many states and analyze the effect that this ominous second wave will have on markets. They also discuss Ash’s seminal interview today with Dr. Kayvon Modjarrad, director for Emerging Infectious Diseases at the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research. Raoul is firm in belief that the human reaction function is what matters and that the virus’s effect on behavior is more significant than the virus itself. Raoul concludes that caution is prudent in these uncertain times and that the bond market is sending the clearest signal to investors. In the intro, Peter Cooper examines market news and coronavirus data. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(1971)

The Knock-On Effect #14 - Why will asthma cases change cargo shipping?

The Knock-On Effect #14 - Why will asthma cases change cargo shipping?

What impact will the proliferation of asthma have on innovation in the cargo shipping industry? Justine and Alex discuss in this podcast-only episode of the Knock-On Effect, also touching on massive kites, the dregs of the fuel-making process, and Alex’s Model UN days. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

7 Sep 201830min

The Knock-On Effect #13 - Why China’s waste ban matters

The Knock-On Effect #13 - Why China’s waste ban matters

Why will China’s efforts to clean up its image put more water bottles inside shoes, lead to a recycling black market and raise the costs for shipping garbage? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching on virgin plastics, the voyage of a garbage barge in the 1980s, and the Polish trash mafia. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

31 Aug 201847min

The Knock-On Effect #12 - Turkey Troubles and Spicy Hazelnuts

The Knock-On Effect #12 - Turkey Troubles and Spicy Hazelnuts

Why will the crisis in Turkey lead hazelnuts to be covered in wasabi? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching on Nutella, “hot money,” and Japanese snacking habits. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

24 Aug 201826min

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #2 - Raoul Pal on Turkey

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #2 - Raoul Pal on Turkey

Will turmoil in Turkey send global markets skidding? And why might such an economically small country have an incredibly outsized effect? Raoul Pal, co-founder CEO of Real Vision and founder of The Global Macro Investor, discusses with Justine and Alex. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

17 Aug 201827min

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #1 - Mark Dow on Liquidity

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #1 - Mark Dow on Liquidity

Are market participants misunderstanding the current state of liquidity - and if so, what are the potential knock-on effects? Mark Dow, founder of Dow Global Advisors and author of the Behavioral Macro Blog, discusses with Roger, Justine and Alex. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

10 Aug 201836min

The Knock-On Effect #11 - Almond milk and stamp storage

The Knock-On Effect #11 - Almond milk and stamp storage

Why will rising popularity of almond milk make it more expensive to store postage stamps? Justine and Alex discuss — also touching on bovine productivity, disused limestone mines, and the “Illuminati of Cheese.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

3 Aug 201837min

The Knock-On Effect #10 - Yield Surge to Trash Cheap Vodka?

The Knock-On Effect #10 - Yield Surge to Trash Cheap Vodka?

Will rising yields on Treasury notes sink the cheapest vodkas? Alex and Justine discuss – also touching on the causes of recession, Scottish drinkers, and the impact of Fed policy. Plus, a controversial USDA maneuver to clamp down on speedy traders. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

27 Jul 201846min

The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

Why will rising concerns about China’s trade-related retaliation lead diamonds to become clearer? Justine and Alex discuss – also touching on Jules Verne novels, iPhone batteries and a new version of blue. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

20 Jul 201832min

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