DB-Oct 16, 2020 - The Debt Civil War and "The Organic Recession"

DB-Oct 16, 2020 - The Debt Civil War and "The Organic Recession"

Senior editor, Ash Bennington, and managing editor, Ed Harrison, look forward to the relevant themes. Ed adds to David Rosenberg’s recent comments that “organically, the economy is still in recession,” and he and Ash reflect on (the? a bit awk) recent success of Sweden’s pandemic shutdown response. They then put a week of bank earnings into context and analyze Warren Buffett selling the bulk of Berkshire Hathaway’s holdings in Wells Fargo. In the intro, Ash speaks to Real Vision editor, Jack Farley, about “priming” in the markets for distressed debt. For reference, the video Ed discusses at the beginning can be found here: https://exchange.realvision.com/post/the-breakdown-what-all-financial-crises-have-in-common-5f89ad21d788a45104be209e. Visit realvision.com to get access for just $1 for months access. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2046)

Is the Fed Still Fighting? With Dr. Sri-Kumar

Is the Fed Still Fighting? With Dr. Sri-Kumar

Dr. Komal Sri-Kumar, president and founder of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, joins Maggie Lake to discuss why recent economic data has economists questioning the Fed's policy decisions, and where the central bank’s quest for 2% inflation will land the U.S. economy. You can find more of Sri's work here: https://srikonomics.substack.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

3 Aug 202336min

Is the U.S. Economy Too Hot to Handle? With Jim Bianco

Is the U.S. Economy Too Hot to Handle? With Jim Bianco

Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, joins Maggie Lake to discuss how cushioned of a landing he thinks the Fed can pull off. Plus, Jim examines the impact of Friday's U.S. jobs data, where oil prices could send inflation, and what the bond market is telling investors.You can find more of Jim's work here:  biancoresearch.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

2 Aug 202337min

Is Everyone Wrong About U.S. Rates? With Harry Melandri

Is Everyone Wrong About U.S. Rates? With Harry Melandri

Harry Melandri, advisor at MI2 Partners, joins Maggie Lake to discuss two competing fundamental macro stories that are shaping the current landscape, the potential for further Fed interest rate hikes, and the broad impacts of "higher rates for longer." You can find more of MI2 Partners' work here: https://mi2partners.substack.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

1 Aug 202337min

Are Risk Assets at Risk? With Michael Kao

Are Risk Assets at Risk? With Michael Kao

Maggie Lake is joined by Michael Kao, CEO of Akanthos Capital Management, to explore how much longer the rally in U.S. equities can last, the potential economic impacts of "higher rates for longer,” and look into the ripple effects of the U.S. dollar's wrecking ball. You can find more of Michael's work here:  https://t.co/LWqgZ0p4pt Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

31 Jul 202344min

Steno's Signals: The Recession That Never Was

Steno's Signals: The Recession That Never Was

Slowly but surely, recession calls are being called off by consensus — but is the risk of it still alive? Andreas Steno Larsen dives into the reasons why everyone misunderstood the probabilities of a slowdown. For more access to Andreas’ independent research, there’s a 40% discount exclusively for the Real Vision community using the code RV40 at https://www.realvision.com/steno Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

30 Jul 202328min

Is the Business Cycle Rebounding? with Christophe Ollari

Is the Business Cycle Rebounding? with Christophe Ollari

Ollari Consulting founder Christophe Ollari joins Andreas Steno Larsen to update us on his macro view for 2023 and examine current market positioning. They'll discuss whether China is rebounding, Christophe's base case for U.S. and Europe, and where he thinks inflation goes next. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

29 Jul 202358min

Are Investors Being Too Complacent? with Ben Miller

Are Investors Being Too Complacent? with Ben Miller

Ben Miller, co-founder and CEO of Fundrise, joins Maggie Lake to discuss this week's rate hikes from the ECB and Federal Reserve and the BOJ's yield curve control loosening. Plus, we’ll explore Ben's thesis: "The Great Lag.” You can find more of Ben's work here: https://fundrise.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

28 Jul 202339min

The Risk of Being Bearish on Stocks with Cem Karsan

The Risk of Being Bearish on Stocks with Cem Karsan

Cem Karsan, founder of Kia Volatility Advisors, joins Maggie Lake to unravel the market action following strong economic data and Q2 earnings. Cem will also explore what sectors are signaling concern and where he sees opportunity. You can find more of Cem's work here: https://t.co/HwLmOP6aIA Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

27 Jul 202341min

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