Lyn Alden on Gold, Real Bond Yields, and the Treasury s Bloated War Chest

Lyn Alden on Gold, Real Bond Yields, and the Treasury s Bloated War Chest

DB- Mar22, 2021. Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy returns to the Daily Briefing to update Real Vision’s Jack Farley to share her analysis on the prospects of U.S. Treasury bond yields, given the Federal Reserve’s decision to give exemptions to banks’ supplementary leverage ratio (SLR) expire, and its apparent aversion to yield curve control (YCC). Alden tells Farley that forthcoming headline inflation figures could appear higher than true inflation due to base effects, and explains the how the record-high Treasury’s General Account (TGA) will affect bond yields going forward. Alden explains why she expects yields to be the release valve of volatility rather than the dollar, and notes that heightened uncertainty over macro variables makes this environment a paradise for pickers of individual stocks. Lastly, Alden shares her bullish thesis on Adobe Inc ($ADBE) and her evolving views on non-fungible tokens (NFTs). For Listeners: Checkout skillshare.com and learn a new skill. You can use a unique promo link skillshare.com/realvision Protect your portfolio and join 130,000 members by signing up at masterworks.io with promo code REAL VISION today to skip the waitlist. See important information at masterworks.io/disclaimer Checkout Jordan Harbinger Show @ https://www.jordanharbinger.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2048)

Powell Reasserts “Tighter for Longer”

Powell Reasserts “Tighter for Longer”

In today’s session at the Economic Club of Washington, chairman Jay Powell said the ‘disinflationary process’ had begun, but the Fed will likely need to continue raising interest rates to bring inflation down further. Powell’s comments sent risk assets swinging this afternoon, but overall markets remain relatively flat. Dale Pinkert, head of trader development at TradeGateHub, joins Maggie Lake to dissect the price action and discuss what’s happening in currencies and commodities.Plus, we’ll hear a clip from investor Harris Kupperman on why he thinks failing is all part of the game. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3I5e4EB Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

7 Feb 202334min

Uncertainty Has a Grip on Markets

Uncertainty Has a Grip on Markets

U.S. equities are flat-to-down and yields are pushing higher as many investors reconsider how the Fed may be forced to act following Friday’s strong jobs data. With uncertainty abound, Mike Alfred, managing partner of Alpine Fox LP, joins Maggie Lake to share his macro outlook and the value opportunities he’s spotting in this volatile market. Plus, we’ll hear a clip from Real Vision's new series, Buy-side Meets Sell-side, with Bob Elliott of Unlimited Funds discussing why a recession is a reasonable bet. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3Y8mS2e Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

6 Feb 202336min

New Dollar Liquidity Set to Make a Splash in Markets?

New Dollar Liquidity Set to Make a Splash in Markets?

When the U.S. breaches its debt limit, the Treasury will be forced to inject new liquidity into financial markets using various accounting gimmicks. Andreas shares how this extra cash flow could affect various asset classes and explores the potential multiple and ugly ramifications of this nightmare scenario. Recorded on January 17, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

6 Feb 202321min

U.S. Jobs Report Flexes on Markets

U.S. Jobs Report Flexes on Markets

Today’s jobs report packed a serious punch, showing that 517,000 new jobs were added in the U.S. in January — far above median estimates — and bringing unemployment down to a 54-year low of 3.4%. Equities and bonds are selling off on the news. According to Spectra Markets’ president Brent Donnelly, a soft landing is just one of 5 possible macro narratives that could win out. Brent joins Maggie Lake to tease out the 5 outcomes facing investors in this special edition of the Daily Briefing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

4 Feb 202336min

Is This the Beginning of a New Bull Market?

Is This the Beginning of a New Bull Market?

U.S. equities continue to see broad gains in intraday trading after yesterday’s conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell, who announced a 25-basis point rate hike. Today, both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England hiked rates by 50 basis points. RTM Capital Advisors CIO Mark Ritchie II sees this as further proof of a new bull market. He’ll join Maggie Lake to unpack this “Run of the Bulls 2.0” and discuss the price action in gold and crypto. Plus, we’ll hear from natural resources investor Rick Rule on why he sees upside in precious metals. Watch the entire Looking for the Upside episode here: https://rvtv.io/3X0Vl16 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

2 Feb 202338min

The Fed Has Much More Work To Do

The Fed Has Much More Work To Do

The Federal Reserve approved a much-anticipated quarter-point interest rate hike this afternoon — and suggested that another rate rise could be coming next — in its continued battle to tame inflation. And while the central bank’s statement reiterated that “ongoing increases in the target rate will be appropriate,” futures markets are still pricing in a rate cut by the end of 2023. In his press conference, Chairman Jerome Powell said that the Fed remains strongly committed to bringing inflation back down to 2 percent, and that “there remains much more work to do” to achieve sustained price control. Darius Dale of 42 Macro joins Andreas Steno Larsen to discuss the market’s reaction to the Fed announcement, what signals Powell sent to investors, and what other key market drivers we should be watching other than interest rates. Plus, we’ll hear from Danielle DiMartino Booth from the debut episode of The Deep Dive on why we may already be in recession. Watch that entire interview here: http://rvtv.io/3WV4pEQ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

1 Feb 202337min

What's the Housing Market Telling Us?

What's the Housing Market Telling Us?

U.S. stocks made gains on Tuesday, closing the month of January on a positive note. Meanwhile, the U.S. housing market fell for the fifth straight month and is down 2.5% from its peak in June 2022. But that didn’t stop homebuilders from rallying today. Ash Bennington is joined by Tony Greer, the editor of the Morning Navigator, to discuss that surprising price action and give us an update on where he sees the energy sector heading. We’ll also give you a peek into our latest edition of Investor Tutorials where Jamie McDonald breaks down how the housing market works, and what’s really driving the price trends. Watch the entire episode here: https://rvtv.io/3HmLnlc Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

31 Jan 202334min

Will Tech Earnings Deliver?

Will Tech Earnings Deliver?

U.S. equities are down to start the week as investors look forward to the Fed’s next interest rate hike decision on Wednesday. As we progress through earnings season, large-cap tech is under the spotlight, with Apple, Google, Meta, and Amazon reporting this week. Maggie Lake is joined by Eric Jackson of EMJ Capital to discuss the current tech rally, whether it’s sustainable, and how long it could run. Plus, we’ll hear a clip from Real Vision’s new series, Deep Dive, where Danielle DiMartino Booth and Andreas Steno Larsen discuss a Fed divided. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3DpBFNK Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

30 Jan 202336min

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