Lyn Alden on Gold, Real Bond Yields, and the Treasury s Bloated War Chest

Lyn Alden on Gold, Real Bond Yields, and the Treasury s Bloated War Chest

DB- Mar22, 2021. Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy returns to the Daily Briefing to update Real Vision’s Jack Farley to share her analysis on the prospects of U.S. Treasury bond yields, given the Federal Reserve’s decision to give exemptions to banks’ supplementary leverage ratio (SLR) expire, and its apparent aversion to yield curve control (YCC). Alden tells Farley that forthcoming headline inflation figures could appear higher than true inflation due to base effects, and explains the how the record-high Treasury’s General Account (TGA) will affect bond yields going forward. Alden explains why she expects yields to be the release valve of volatility rather than the dollar, and notes that heightened uncertainty over macro variables makes this environment a paradise for pickers of individual stocks. Lastly, Alden shares her bullish thesis on Adobe Inc ($ADBE) and her evolving views on non-fungible tokens (NFTs). For Listeners: Checkout skillshare.com and learn a new skill. You can use a unique promo link skillshare.com/realvision Protect your portfolio and join 130,000 members by signing up at masterworks.io with promo code REAL VISION today to skip the waitlist. See important information at masterworks.io/disclaimer Checkout Jordan Harbinger Show @ https://www.jordanharbinger.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2048)

My Life in 4 Trades - Michael Gayed Talks About How To Learn From Your Losses

My Life in 4 Trades - Michael Gayed Talks About How To Learn From Your Losses

Here’s a full-length episode from Real Vision's original series, My Life in 4 Trades - be sure to subscribe. Michael Gayed is an experienced portfolio manager at Toroso Investments and the author of five award-winning research papers on market anomalies and investing. He joins Maggie Lake to explain how his toughest moments made him a stronger trader and why humility is an essential element of long-term success. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

18 Jun 202257min

Things Are Even Tougher All Over

Things Are Even Tougher All Over

Ash welcomes Michael Gayed, CIO and portfolio manager at Toroso Investments, to assess the bigger picture after a tough week for equities and fixed income. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3mUOI11. Watch the full Real Visionaries interview featuring Mark Ritchie II and Mark Ritchie here: https://rvtv.io/3OgNoks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

18 Jun 202234min

When Will This Volatility End?

When Will This Volatility End?

“You don’t buy when there’s ‘blood in the streets,’” notes Darius Dale. “You buy when there’s a catalyst to clean it up.” U.S. equity indexes are bleeding today, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average sliding below the 30,000 mark. The question is, what is that catalyst, and when will it reveal itself? Darius, the founder and CEO of 42 Macro, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake to answer that question and to talk about today’s price action in the aftermath of the Federal Reserve’s biggest rate hike since 1994. According to Darius, “This trending volatility won’t end until the liquidity cycle inflects and speeds up the growth cycle bottom.” Mortgage rates have already exploded past 6%, a sign tighter monetary policy is already impacting consumers. How far will the Fed go to catch inflation? “Inflation KILLS societies,” says Darius. We also hear from Mark Ritchie II about how to manage risk in a volatile environment. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3mRtaSP. Watch the full Real Visionaries interview featuring Mark Ritchie II here: https://rvtv.io/3O6f2RS. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

16 Jun 202239min

What Comes After the Biggest Rate Hike in 28 Years?

What Comes After the Biggest Rate Hike in 28 Years?

The Federal Open Market Committee announced the biggest increase to the federal funds rate in a quarter century, the Bank of Japan stepped up its “yield curve control” efforts, and the European Central Bank met on an emergency basis to address Italy and “fragmenting” bond yields, as monetary policymakers continue to struggle with a crazy, mixed-up macro environment. U.S equity indexes held onto solid gains following the Fed’s announcement of a 75-basis-point rate hike, and yields on 2-year, 10-year, and 30-year government bonds declined. Seeking credibility, the Fed said it’s “strongly committed” to returning inflation to its 2% target. Joseph “The Fed Guy” Wang joins Real Vision’s Andreas Steno Larsen to discuss what today’s moves by the BoJ, the ECB, and the Fed mean for markets and the economy. We also share a segment from today's Crypto Unwrapped episode about Bitcoin, Ethereum, and recent price action in that volatile space. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3mNNFzO. Watch the full Crypto Unwrapped episode here: https://rvtv.io/3xT3viR. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Jun 202236min

Keep Calm and Manage the Volatility

Keep Calm and Manage the Volatility

The producer price index was up 0.8% month over month and 10.8% on an annual basis in May, and Wall Street economists are racing to update forecasts for this week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting to include a 75-basis-point rate hike. Stocks were mixed at midday, as prices of energy commodities continue to surge. Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and editor of The Morning Navigator, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake to explain why a fire at a Texas LNG plant caused U.S. natural gas prices to sag but European prices to surge. Tony also talks about the implications of longer-term supply constraints in the energy market. We also share a segment from today’s Real Visionaries episode where top traders share actionable strategies for trading amid today’s volatility. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3xOBGbq. Watch the full Real Visionaries conversation featuring Mark Minervini, Jared Dillian, and Mark Ritchie II here: https://rvtv.io/3MSn2UZ. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Jun 202236min

We Have a Bear Market. Is a Recession Next?

We Have a Bear Market. Is a Recession Next?

“I'm genuinely spooked,” Jared Dillian tweeted late Sunday night, as Asian markets opened sharply lower and U.S. equity futures pointed to a bleak Monday open on Wall Street, “and I don't spook easily.” Two hours shy of the close, every stock in the S&P 500 is down for the day, and that index is in “official” bear market territory. The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note has surged past the 10-year, a dramatic inversion that’ll surely fuel talk of recession. Dillian, the editor of The Daily Dirtnap, is not waiting around to position for that eventuality and a bear market too: “70% of my portfolio is gold and bonds.” Dillian joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about today’s price action. And our expert on the ground in Asia, Weston Nakamura, drops in for an update on a critical aspect of the global financial system ahead of this week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting. We also share a segment from today’s Cryptoverse Breaking News about the crashing crypto market. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3OdWgaM. Watch the full Cryptoverse Breaking News segment here: https://rvtv.io/3txRgpg Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

14 Jun 202234min

The Next Big Trade - Paul Hodges Says Investors Should Stop Fed-Watching

The Next Big Trade - Paul Hodges Says Investors Should Stop Fed-Watching

Here’s a full-length episode from Real Vision's original series, The Next Big Trade - be sure to subscribe. Paul Hodges of The pH Report and New Normal Consulting joins Harry Melandri for a fascinating conversation on global macro. Hodges believes investors must stop paying attention to every move the Federal Reserve makes and must start paying attention to the fundamentals of equity analysis again. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Jun 20221h 1min

My Life in 4 Trades - Jared Dillian Believes Every Trader Is an Artist

My Life in 4 Trades - Jared Dillian Believes Every Trader Is an Artist

Here’s a full-length episode from Real Vision's original series, My Life in 4 Trades - be sure to subscribe. Jared Dillian’s journey is as unconventional as it is compelling. From serving in the U.S. Coast Guard to trading over a billion dollars a day on Wall Street, Dillian has seen and done more than most ever will. Dillian joins Maggie Lake to discuss some of his best and worst trades, and he explains his theory that every trader, in one way or another, is an artist. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

11 Jun 202251min

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