One Year Anniversary of the Market Bottom -- What Could Go Wrong?

One Year Anniversary of the Market Bottom -- What Could Go Wrong?

DB-Mar23,2021. Lily Francus, independent quantitative researcher, joins Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington to share her outlook on narrative economics, the NOPE Index, and the dangers of beta. On the one-year anniversary of the bottom in the S&P 500, Francus notes that this current market environment is marked by a great deal of short covering and portfolio rebalancing, which drive the “rotation” trade away from growth into value that has been playing out. Francus explains how the surge of retail traders (or “low-information traders”) has driven flows and exerted a serious influence, particularly in the sky-high volume of options contracts. Francus connects this to her theory on NOPE (“net options pricing effect”) before sharing with Bennington her advice to traders in this choppy market. For Listeners: Checkout skillshare.com and learn a new skill. You can use a unique promo link skillshare.com/realvision Protect your portfolio and join 130,000 members by signing up at masterworks.io with promo code REAL VISION today to skip the waitlist. See important information at masterworks.io/disclaimer Checkout Jordan Harbinger Show @ https://www.jordanharbinger.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2041)

Making Sense of the FED's Inflation Data

Making Sense of the FED's Inflation Data

DB-June14,2021:Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Ed Harrison, managing editor at Real Vision, to the Daily Briefing to discuss the market’s reaction to last week’s CPI print as well as Bitcoin’s rebound. The pair will analyze the fall in bond yields and stock market growth as investors anticipate the FOMC meeting scheduled for Tuesday and continued dovish FED policies. Additionally, they will examine Bitcoin’s recent reversal as Paul Tudor Jones and Elon Musk publicly state their support. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Jun 202142min

Meb Faber: A Framework for Outperformance

Meb Faber: A Framework for Outperformance

The Interview: Jason Buck of the Mutiny Fund welcomes Mebane Faber, co-founder and chief investment officer of Cambria Investments, for an in-depth conversation on the methods diligent investors can use to build and maintain wealth in all market environments. Faber breaks down his rigorous quantitative models to share fresh insights on bonds, equities, real estate, and commodities as well as the role these assets play within a portfolio. Faber and Buck discuss the importance of negatively correlated assets such as put options, which are a key feature of the Cambria Tail Risk ETF ($TAIL). Key learnings: Equity valuations are stretched thin, but buying at all-time highs has historically yielded surprisingly good returns. Faber thinks non-U.S. stocks are underrepresented in the typical U.S. portfolio and argues that for most individual investors, steady contributions to their portfolio matter much more than eking out that extra percentage of return. Recorded on 14 April 2021. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Jun 20211h 45min

Danny Moses: The Ghosts of Hidden Leverage

Danny Moses: The Ghosts of Hidden Leverage

The Interview: Danny Moses, founder of Moses Ventures, joins Mike Green for a conversation on how to make sense of a market characterized by surging equity valuations and ultra-tight credit spreads that is nevertheless prone to gamma squeezes, forced liquidations, and the implosion of billion dollar funds. Moses, an investor profiled in the "The Big Short," compares the current boom to the bubble the predated the 2008 Great Financial Crisis and concludes that the unprecedented levels of monetary and fiscal stimulus are pushing investors further and further out on the risk curve. Green details the role of passive investing, and the two discuss the blow-ups of Greensill and Archegos. Lastly, Moses shares his insights on the cannabis sector as well as the prospect of rising inflation. Recorded on April 7, 2021. Key learnings: Risk-taking in today's market is nearing its apogee; nevertheless, Moses sees extremely promising opportunities on the long- as well as short-side. Moses stresses the importance of doing one's own research and argues that skepticism is a key for any successful investor, particularly in today's environment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Jun 20211h 20min

Raoul Pal: Examining Shifts in the Global Macro Policy Paradigm

Raoul Pal: Examining Shifts in the Global Macro Policy Paradigm

DB-Jun11,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Raoul Pal, CEO and co-founder of Real Vision, to the Daily Briefing to discuss the changes in the macro policy paradigm globally. Pal will be analyzing the impact these shifts will have economically, whether global macro investments can still perform in light of these shifts, and whether crypto ultimately benefits in the aftermath. He will also be unveiling the legendary headline guest at the upcoming Festival of Learning (June 23-25). Don't have your ticket yet? You can get it through this link: http://realvision.com/festival-of-learning-2021 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Jun 202147min

Bracing for Inflation Data: Will All Hell Break Loose?

Bracing for Inflation Data: Will All Hell Break Loose?

DB- Jun9,2021: Jared Dillian of The Daily Dirtnap returns to the Daily Briefing to update Real Vision’s Jack Farley on how he is gauging market sentiment before tomorrow’s momentous release of key inflation data. The average estimate for the yearly change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) stands at 4.7%, and Dillian argues that if a figure comes with a “3-handle,” we could see some fireworks in the market. Dillian also shares his views on other pockets of the market he has his eye on such as Bitcoin and uranium. For tickets to the Festival of Learning, click here: realvision.com/festival. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

10 Jun 202138min

QCP Capital: A Breakdown of Asia's Crypto Markets

QCP Capital: A Breakdown of Asia's Crypto Markets

Crypto Wednesday: Darius Sit and Joshua Ho, co-founders of QCP Capital, joins Raoul Pal, Real Vision CEO and co-founder, to discuss Asia's crypto demand, how it differs from the West, and the future of those markets. Sit explains that almost no one in China uses physical dollars any more and that the existing, widespread usage of digital payments paves way for a smooth transition into the adoption of crypto payments. Ho mentions that this isn't just specific to Asia—all countries with a remittance corridor are likely to find utility and value from adopting crypto payments systems, which allow them to bypass the high intracountry remittance costs. They both believe that corporations are almost ready to begin allocating capital to the crypto space, but they are now looking for the most appropriate products to allocate to as crypto seems to have now been broadly accepted and legitimized. Recorded on March 23, 2021. Key Learnings: China already has a strong digital-first culture and will likely be able to pivot to crypto payments much faster than other places. Remittances seem to be the most important factor in the usage of crypto in Asia and elsewhere as it allows them to bypass high fees when sending money to friends and family in different jurisdictions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Jun 202145min

Bullish Sentiment Holds Firm As New Meme Stocks Emerge

Bullish Sentiment Holds Firm As New Meme Stocks Emerge

DB-June8,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Thomas Thornton to discuss the inflation debate ahead of the US CPI number to be released Thursday and the bullish sentiment present in markets. The pair examines the effect of Bitcoin’s illegal use and confiscation on the downturn that the asset has recently experienced. In addition, they look to make sense of meme stock mania as Wendy’s and Clover Health stocks explode higher. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Jun 202146min

Takeaways from the Miami Bitcoin Conference

Takeaways from the Miami Bitcoin Conference

DB-June7,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison and senior editor Ash Bennington sit down together on the Daily Briefing to provide their insights into today’s market price action and share their experience at the Miami Bitcoin conference from this past weekend. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

8 Jun 202151min

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