One Year Anniversary of the Market Bottom -- What Could Go Wrong?

One Year Anniversary of the Market Bottom -- What Could Go Wrong?

DB-Mar23,2021. Lily Francus, independent quantitative researcher, joins Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington to share her outlook on narrative economics, the NOPE Index, and the dangers of beta. On the one-year anniversary of the bottom in the S&P 500, Francus notes that this current market environment is marked by a great deal of short covering and portfolio rebalancing, which drive the “rotation” trade away from growth into value that has been playing out. Francus explains how the surge of retail traders (or “low-information traders”) has driven flows and exerted a serious influence, particularly in the sky-high volume of options contracts. Francus connects this to her theory on NOPE (“net options pricing effect”) before sharing with Bennington her advice to traders in this choppy market. For Listeners: Checkout skillshare.com and learn a new skill. You can use a unique promo link skillshare.com/realvision Protect your portfolio and join 130,000 members by signing up at masterworks.io with promo code REAL VISION today to skip the waitlist. See important information at masterworks.io/disclaimer Checkout Jordan Harbinger Show @ https://www.jordanharbinger.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2041)

Making Sense of Yesterday's Sell-Off -- What's Next?

Making Sense of Yesterday's Sell-Off -- What's Next?

DB-May13,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, to contextualize yesterday’s sell-off and whether it is indicative of longer-term market troubles. Thornton will update his thinking concerning what sectors he has his eye on and how he’s positioning his trades since a full re-opening in the U.S. is almost here. For our Listeners : Join Arca's  4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Mai 202141min

Inflation Pains: Will the Fed Stay the Course?

Inflation Pains: Will the Fed Stay the Course?

DB- May13,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison and senior editor Ash Bennington discuss the huge inflationary print that is roiling equity markets. For our Listeners : Join Arca's  4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Mai 20211h 1min

Dave Floyd: The Sell-Off Continues

Dave Floyd: The Sell-Off Continues

DB-May11,2021: Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading, joins Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington to provide an update on the markets as U.S. equities continued their decline this morning as inflation pressure looms large on the horizon. As the U.S. 5-year breakeven inflation rates reaches a 15-year high, Floyd will be sharing his perspective on the inflation narrative that has been roiling markets this year, what currency pairs he has his eye on, and what’s going on in S&P futures. For Our Listeners: Join Arca's  4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Mai 202144min

Nasdaq's Slump, Beyond Meat's Woes, and DogeCoin's Latest Rival ( w/ Kyla Scanlon )

Nasdaq's Slump, Beyond Meat's Woes, and DogeCoin's Latest Rival ( w/ Kyla Scanlon )

DB- May10,2025 - On today’s live edition of the Daily Briefing, Real Vision’s Jack Farley welcomes Kyla Scanlon, investment partner at On Deck and financial content creator, for a conversation on the most important market stories driving markets, including Amazon’s eight-part bond issue, the NASDAQ’s slump, hacking of the Colonial fuel pipeline, and the launching of the Shiba Inu token (SHIB). Scanlon shares with Farley her analysis on today’s pullback in investment grade bond ETF $LQD, Beyond Meat’s earnings ($BYND), as well as the latest news on GameStop Corp ($GME). For our Listeners : Join Arca's  4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256.  Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

11 Mai 202141min

Opposing Views on the Role of Government and the Essence of Money ( w/ Peter Schiff & Michael Green )

Opposing Views on the Role of Government and the Essence of Money ( w/ Peter Schiff & Michael Green )

The Interview: Mike Green, portfolio manager and chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management, and Peter Schiff, chief economist and global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital, sit down with Real Vision's king of neutrality, Ash Bennington, for a debate on the merits of MMT vs Austrian Economics, other questions around what the defining characteristics of good money actually are, and whether we will finally see the inflation that many have been calling for. Schiff and Green will also discuss their outlooks for various asset classes given their differing views on inflation, monetary policy, and the role of government. Recorded on April 22, 2021 For our Listeners : Join Arca's  4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256.  Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

10 Mai 20211h 44min

Get Ready for the Return of Secular Stagnation ( w/ Daniel Lacalle & Ed Harrison )

Get Ready for the Return of Secular Stagnation ( w/ Daniel Lacalle & Ed Harrison )

The Interview: Narratives around the reflation trade and asset prices are currently pointing towards a full recovery and a period of extended growth as the world exits lockdowns. In this interview with Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison, Daniel Lacalle, chief economist and CIO at Tressis, argues that this is being fueled by nothing more than hope and that, although this is a recovery, the world will return to the same state of secular stagnation and low growth that existed pre-COVID. Lacalle explains why fiscal and monetary policies, which have not generated inflation, will only make this situation worse, why he thinks there is only a few months left in the reflation trade, and the resulting asset allocation based on his outlook. They also discuss current pockets of value and the sectors that Lacalle considers to be value traps like energy and financials as well as Lacalle’s outlook for the dollar. Recorded on March 10, 2021. Key Learnings: Sectors like energy and financials, which have been benefiting from reflation narratives and trade at low multiples, should not be considered "value". Current negative views on the US and the dollar remind Lacalle of the GFC, but the reality is that the US and the dollar are still the cleanest dirty shirt. For our Listeners : Join Arca's  4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256.  Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Mai 20211h 9min

How Taxes Will Shape the Future ( w/ Dominic Frisby & Raoul Pal )

How Taxes Will Shape the Future ( w/ Dominic Frisby & Raoul Pal )

The Interview: Even before COVID, global deficits had already expanded—but in the last year, they have exploded to levels that almost guarantee increases in taxes. We can already see the effects as high-net-worth individuals and businesses leave high tax areas like California for lower tax areas like Florida, Texas, and the Cayman Islands. Dominic Frisby, author of "Daylight Robbery: How Tax Shaped Our Past and Will Change Our Future," sits down with Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal to discuss the history of taxes, sinister invisible taxes in the form of targeted inflation and monetary debasement, and the future of taxes considering the trends outlined above. Pal and Frisby also discuss the inevitability and virtues of some level of tax and cooperation and the potential for better tax structures to emerge from this crisis. Recorded on March 2, 2021. Key Learnings: Increased taxes, new taxes, and monetary debasement are almost an inevitability considering massive global deficits post-COVID. Immigration and migration patterns have already emerged, and geographies that recognize these trends and adjust their taxation and monetary system in a fair way will attract both human and traditional capital. For our Listeners : Join Arca's  4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256.  Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

8 Mai 202151min

Raoul Pal: Is Macro "Dead"?

Raoul Pal: Is Macro "Dead"?

DB-May7,2021: Managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Raoul Pal, Real Vision CEO and co-founder, to introduce Real Vision’s latest campaign, “Welcome to the Exponential Age.” Raoul will be going in-depth on his new macro framework, the Exponential Age, and he and Ed tease their interview that’s being released on Monday. They also contextualize today’s U.S. jobs report, which fell far from economists’ expectations, and Raoul explains what the Exponential Age means for employment going forward. For our Listeners: Join Arca's  4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256.  Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

8 Mai 20211h 4min

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