Felix Zulauf's Outlook on Equities, Bonds, Currencies, and Commodities (w/Raoul Pal)

Felix Zulauf's Outlook on Equities, Bonds, Currencies, and Commodities (w/Raoul Pal)

The Interview: Raoul Pal, CEO and co-founder of Real Vision, welcomes Felix Zulauf, legendary investor and CEO of Zulauf Consulting, to share his thoughts on the interplay of interest rates, equities, and inflation as well as share his macro outlook as debt and demographics reshape the future of economic growth. Zulauf believes that the current macro setting of rising yields and a falling dollar mirror the conditions prior to the 1987 equity crash, commonly known as Black Monday, which wiped out hundreds of billions of dollars worth of equity valuation overnight. Zulauf sees this correction not as a disaster scenario but merely a detour to another leg higher. Zulauf remains constructive on equities, at least in the long-term, due to his belief that central banks are dedicated to propping up risk assets like never before since a decline in risk assets by 10% would roughly correspond to a loss in 1% of GDP growth. Recorded on February 11, 2021. Key learnings: Zulauf sees a possibility of a 10-15% correction in the near-term as rising yields trigger investment models to cut back risk. He thinks rising yields will make for a bleak 2021 for gold although he is constructive on the precious metal in 2022 and beyond. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2006)

The Knock-On Effect #11 - Almond milk and stamp storage

The Knock-On Effect #11 - Almond milk and stamp storage

Why will rising popularity of almond milk make it more expensive to store postage stamps? Justine and Alex discuss — also touching on bovine productivity, disused limestone mines, and the “Illuminati of Cheese.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

3 Aug 201837min

The Knock-On Effect #10 - Yield Surge to Trash Cheap Vodka?

The Knock-On Effect #10 - Yield Surge to Trash Cheap Vodka?

Will rising yields on Treasury notes sink the cheapest vodkas? Alex and Justine discuss – also touching on the causes of recession, Scottish drinkers, and the impact of Fed policy. Plus, a controversial USDA maneuver to clamp down on speedy traders. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

27 Jul 201846min

The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

Why will rising concerns about China’s trade-related retaliation lead diamonds to become clearer? Justine and Alex discuss – also touching on Jules Verne novels, iPhone batteries and a new version of blue. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

20 Jul 201832min

The Knock-On Effect #8 - Stock Rally to Spur Foot Picking?

The Knock-On Effect #8 - Stock Rally to Spur Foot Picking?

Why will higher stock prices lead more American to pick feet? Alex and Justine discuss, also touching on income inequality, one very fancy Manhattan store, and the marital habits of reptile owners. Plus, Justine explains why companies seems to be so afraid of the number “4.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Jul 201838min

Real Vision Rewind #1 – Godfather of Central Banking

Real Vision Rewind #1 – Godfather of Central Banking

How did the modern age of central banking begin? In this story previously heard in a 2017 episode of “Adventures in Finance,” Grant Williams, Aaron Chan and Ben Hunt look at the fascinating history of the man some consider the godfather of central banking, John Law. Then Alex and Justine draw some present-day conclusions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

6 Jul 201843min

The Knock-On Effect #7 - Rising dollar to unleash unusual ice cream flavors?

The Knock-On Effect #7 - Rising dollar to unleash unusual ice cream flavors?

Why will a rising dollar lead to a proliferation of ice cream flavors that go far beyond vanilla? Justine and Alex discuss, touching on thieves in Madagascar, beaver glands, whisky maturation and the globalized food production process. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

29 Jun 201837min

The Knock-On Effect #6 - Fed Hikes to Quash Lottery Ticket Sales?

The Knock-On Effect #6 - Fed Hikes to Quash Lottery Ticket Sales?

Why will a higher fed funds rates lead to a decline in the number of Americans who play the lottery? Alex and Justine discuss, along the way touching on the future of transportation, moving to L.A., the wisdom of playing the lottery, and Justine’s favorite writer. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

22 Jun 201829min

The Knock-On Effect #5 - Demographics and Doorways

The Knock-On Effect #5 - Demographics and Doorways

Why will changing Chinese demographics lead to an increase of plastic strips in doorways? Justine and Alex discuss - and in so doing, also touch on Ikea trips, online dating, modern food production, and President Bush’s congratulatory message to President Obama. Then Alex explains how a horse racing term could apply to what’s ahead for stocks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Jun 201848min

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