The "Right" Price for Bonds, Demographics and Inflation, and Cheap Bets on Volatility ( w/ Harley Bassman)

The "Right" Price for Bonds, Demographics and Inflation, and Cheap Bets on Volatility ( w/ Harley Bassman)

The Interview: With bonds selling off alongside equities and the volatility of both asset classes rising, there is perhaps no better time to hear from The Convexity Maven himself, Harley Bassman. In this interview with Logica Capital Advisors partner, chief strategist, and PM Mike Green, Bassman outlines his view that this move higher in rates is the bond market finally moving towards the "right" price after a decade of interest rate suppression. Green and Bassman discuss the positive and negative consequences of higher rates, a steeper yield curve, and monetary and fiscal policies like negative interest rates and stimulus checks. They also touch on the current opportunities that Bassman sees and his prediction of inflationary impulse due to demographics sometime between 2023 and 2025. Harley Bassman has provided a slide deck to accompany this interview which can be found here: https://rvtv.io/3cai4CR and his commentary on convexity can be found here: https://rvtv.io/38eiXZS. Recorded on March 3, 2021. Key Learnings: Bassman believes interest rates have been kept artificially low, and the current sell-off in bonds is the market moving towards the "right" price. He also advocates for investors to be long convexity and believes that OTM calls on equities and long-dated options on interest rates are extremely cheap. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2008)

Adventures in Finance 24 - Demons, Angels and the Enemy Within

Adventures in Finance 24 - Demons, Angels and the Enemy Within

Look in the mirror and you will find your greatest ally and your mortal enemy. You will find someone who will play tricks on you, appeal to your worst emotions, but who holds the keys to your trading success. This week, we explore the psychology of trading with leading performance psychologist, Brett Steenbarger, and 40-year trading veteran and classical charting legend, Peter Brandt. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, Rick Rule, President and CEO of Sprott U.S. Holdings, shares what he got wrong early in his career when he confused a bull market for brains. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Jul 20171h 11min

Adventures in Finance 23 - Fast Cars, Fake IDs, and Billion Dollar Fraudsters

Adventures in Finance 23 - Fast Cars, Fake IDs, and Billion Dollar Fraudsters

Enter the shadowy world where people use complex strategies and cutting edge technology to hide their identities to defraud multinational companies out of millions of dollars. This week, we speak with Dee Smith, CEO and Principal of Strategic Insight Group, a man whose job is to see through this world of espionage and lies, and who is relied upon by corporations to find out exactly what they’re dealing with. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, Peter Brandt, CEO and Founder of Factor Research, shares what he got wrong at the very beginning of his successful 40-year trading career. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

7 Jul 201758min

Adventures in Finance 22 - Murderer, Gambler, Aristocrat & Pauper. John Law, The Godfather of Central Banking (Financial History - Part 2)

Adventures in Finance 22 - Murderer, Gambler, Aristocrat & Pauper. John Law, The Godfather of Central Banking (Financial History - Part 2)

Meet an 18th-century murderer, banker, convict, laughing stock, and the godfather of central banking, John Law. Accompanied by Dr. Ben Hunt, the Chief Investment Strategist at Salient Partners and author of the Epsilon Theory website, we explore how Law wrote the modern central banking playbook which resulted in a bubble which has reverberated through the actions of future central bankers since. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, Michael Schneider, former CIO and co-founder of Brookline Partners and independent PM, discusses what he got wrong assessing the bond market in 2009. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

30 Jun 20171h 5min

Adventures in Finance 21 - Ponzi Hunters: Harry Markopolos and His Dogs of Fraud

Adventures in Finance 21 - Ponzi Hunters: Harry Markopolos and His Dogs of Fraud

Harry Markopolos was the lone whistleblower on Bernie Maddoff's $18 billion Ponzi scheme and, in this interview, takes the whole regulatory and accounting apparatus to task in a way that will have you thinking differently about institutions that guard the public trust. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Marin Katusa, professional resource investor and founder of Katusa Research, shares what he got wrong going all-in on a mining company early in his career. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

23 Jun 20171h 9min

Adventures in Finance 20 - Cyber Warfare: Welcome to the New Normal

Adventures in Finance 20 - Cyber Warfare: Welcome to the New Normal

For years, cyberattacks on a global scale were the stuff of fiction; they have now become reality. And if the NSA isn’t safe then no one is safe. This week, we decode a potential existential threat to modern civilization with Dee Smith, CEO of Strategic Insight Group, and Kowsik Guruswamy, CTO of Menlo Security. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, we speak with Greg Weldon, CEO of Weldon Financial, about what he got wrong shorting the Malaysian Ringgit during the 1997 Asian financial crisis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

16 Jun 20171h 18min

Adventures in Finance 19 - Over Stocked & Under Sold: A Tale of the US Shopper and the Global Economy

Adventures in Finance 19 - Over Stocked & Under Sold: A Tale of the US Shopper and the Global Economy

If you want to predict the path of the global economy, you best have a pulse on the US consumer. At 70% of the US economy, consumer spending is in the economic driver seat. We speak to Stephanie Pomboy, economist and founder of MacroMavens, someone that has consistently got it right in predicting US consumer trends and has the inside track on where the US consumer is headed next. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, we speak with Jerry Haworth, CEO of 36 South Capital Advisors, about what he got wrong shorting the Nasdaq in 1998. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Jun 20171h 3min

Adventures in Finance 18 - Bitcoin: Journey Beyond the Hype to a Universe of Applications

Adventures in Finance 18 - Bitcoin: Journey Beyond the Hype to a Universe of Applications

Bitcoin is all everyone can talk about and the public is downright hysterical about the price, but the price is not what you need to be focusing on. This week, we explore how Bitcoin and the underlying blockchain technology have opened up a universe of applications that have the potential to revolutionize entire industries and economies. In 'Things I Got Wrong', we speak with Jesse Felder, publisher of the Felder Report, about what he got wrong while holding a stock in a sector the government wanted dead. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

2 Jun 20171h 8min

Adventures in Finance 17 - Demographics Are Destiny

Adventures in Finance 17 - Demographics Are Destiny

Neil Howe isn't only a household name for finance-types, he coined the term "Millennials" and literally wrote the book on generational analysis. This week, he shares his insights on where we stand in his Fourth Turning framework and what it means for markets and society. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Simon Mikhailovich, Founding Partner of Toqueville Bullion Reserve, shares what he got wrong about liquidity and leverage during 2007. (A very special thanks and congratulations to our producer, James, and his Mrs. on the arrival of their baby girl, Hayley!) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

26 Mai 20171h 9min

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