Will We Sacrifice Growth on the Altar of Inflation?

Will We Sacrifice Growth on the Altar of Inflation?

Sellers took control of the major U.S. equity indexes after lunchtime Monday and bond yields continued to climb, as investors await the Federal Reserve’s first move to boost its federal funds rate target later this week. Crude oil has sold off by nearly 25% from near-term highs, though inflationary pressures remain the central bank’s primary concern, even as the war in Eastern Europe shows no signs of ending anytime soon. The Fed must be mindful, however, that the economy was already slowing before Russia invaded Ukraine, notes Daniel Lacalle, chief economist at Tressis. And Josh Lipsky, director of the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics center, points out that Russia’s economic contraction in a matter of weeks is comparable to the Great Depression, which took place over a number of years. China is another wild card, as its tech sector continues to sell off and officials are announcing new COVID-19 lockdowns. The Middle Kingdom’s role in the Russia-Ukraine war is also generating heated speculation. Lacalle and Lipsky join Real Vision’s Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing, where they’ll discuss geopolitics, monetary policy, and markets. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3KLveFJ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2099)

The Knock-On Effect #14 - Why will asthma cases change cargo shipping?

The Knock-On Effect #14 - Why will asthma cases change cargo shipping?

What impact will the proliferation of asthma have on innovation in the cargo shipping industry? Justine and Alex discuss in this podcast-only episode of the Knock-On Effect, also touching on massive k...

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The Knock-On Effect #13 - Why China’s waste ban matters

The Knock-On Effect #13 - Why China’s waste ban matters

Why will China’s efforts to clean up its image put more water bottles inside shoes, lead to a recycling black market and raise the costs for shipping garbage? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching ...

31 Aug 201847min

The Knock-On Effect #12 - Turkey Troubles and Spicy Hazelnuts

The Knock-On Effect #12 - Turkey Troubles and Spicy Hazelnuts

Why will the crisis in Turkey lead hazelnuts to be covered in wasabi? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching on Nutella, “hot money,” and Japanese snacking habits. Learn more about your ad choices. ...

24 Aug 201826min

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #2 - Raoul Pal on Turkey

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Will turmoil in Turkey send global markets skidding? And why might such an economically small country have an incredibly outsized effect? Raoul Pal, co-founder CEO of Real Vision and founder of The Gl...

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The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #1 - Mark Dow on Liquidity

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #1 - Mark Dow on Liquidity

Are market participants misunderstanding the current state of liquidity - and if so, what are the potential knock-on effects? Mark Dow, founder of Dow Global Advisors and author of the Behavioral Macr...

10 Aug 201836min

The Knock-On Effect #11 - Almond milk and stamp storage

The Knock-On Effect #11 - Almond milk and stamp storage

Why will rising popularity of almond milk make it more expensive to store postage stamps? Justine and Alex discuss — also touching on bovine productivity, disused limestone mines, and the “Illuminati ...

3 Aug 201837min

The Knock-On Effect #10 - Yield Surge to Trash Cheap Vodka?

The Knock-On Effect #10 - Yield Surge to Trash Cheap Vodka?

Will rising yields on Treasury notes sink the cheapest vodkas? Alex and Justine discuss – also touching on the causes of recession, Scottish drinkers, and the impact of Fed policy. Plus, a controversi...

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The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

Why will rising concerns about China’s trade-related retaliation lead diamonds to become clearer? Justine and Alex discuss – also touching on Jules Verne novels, iPhone batteries and a new version of ...

20 Jul 201832min

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