Do You Believe the Stock Market or the Bond Market?

Do You Believe the Stock Market or the Bond Market?

St. Louis Federal Reserve President Jim Bullard was the only member of the Federal Open Market Committee to dissent from the decision to hike interest rates by 25 basis points. Bullard wanted 50 basis points, and he’d like to see a fed funds rate of 3% by the end of 2022, not the 1.75% of the central bank’s current forecast. Bullard and Fed Chair Jerome Powell do agree that the economy can handle monetary tightening. And the stock market, with the S&P 500 on the way to its best week since November 2020, seems to accept the Fed’s outlook on growth. But the bond market sees something different – that is, a slowdown. The Treasury yield curve continues to flatten, and the 10-year yield fell below the five-year rate for the first time since March 2020. Meanwhile, war in Eastern Europe continues to sow dysfunction, most obviously in commodity markets. Jim Bianco, president and founder of Bianco Research, joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about the Fed, inflation and growth, China and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and where markets go from here. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3tol3RY Be sure to grab your tickets to the Crypto Gathering here: https://www.realvision.com/cryptogathering Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2100)

The Knock-On Effect #2 - Rising Rates and Sandy Tracks

The Knock-On Effect #2 - Rising Rates and Sandy Tracks

Why will rising rates leave tire tracks on the world’s great beaches? Alex, Roger and Justine discuss. Plus, a high-pressure debate over whether stocks will fall 20% within the next year. Filmed on Ma...

25 Mai 201824min

The Knock-on Effect #1 - Protectionism and Red Velvet Cake

The Knock-on Effect #1 - Protectionism and Red Velvet Cake

In this inaugural episode of “The Knock-On Effect,” Justine and Roger try to convince Alex that a U.S. crackdown on free trade could lead American red velvet cakes to turn pink. Yes, really. Plus, Ale...

18 Mai 201826min

Adventures in Finance 66 - Collective Wisdom: The best pieces of advice ever received by Real Vision contributors

Adventures in Finance 66 - Collective Wisdom: The best pieces of advice ever received by Real Vision contributors

What’s the single best piece of advice you’ve ever received, and how have you applied it over the course of your investment career? In this episode of the “Adventures in Finance” series, eight of our ...

11 Mai 20181h 19min

Adventures in Finance 65 - A Revolution is underway: Stock markets, oil, bonds and Real Vision

Adventures in Finance 65 - A Revolution is underway: Stock markets, oil, bonds and Real Vision

Real Vision’s CEO and macro-economist, Raoul Pal, offers his latest thoughts on the bond market, the dollar, oil and the business cycle as well as an update on what the future holds for Real Vision. I...

4 Mai 20181h 6min

Adventures in Finance 64 - Crossing the Rubicon? The Bond Market’s Big Move

Adventures in Finance 64 - Crossing the Rubicon? The Bond Market’s Big Move

With the 10-year yield peaking above 3% this week, is the low finally in for the 10-year yield? How high is it liable to rise? How might the Fed and inflation play into this? And what could it all mea...

27 Apr 201858min

Adventures in Finance 63 - Reality Check? The Case for Stocks

Adventures in Finance 63 - Reality Check? The Case for Stocks

After a treacherous few months for equities, investor sentiment appears to have turned relatively ursine. But is the reality that stocks will continue to rise in the short-term at least? Neil Azous of...

20 Apr 201854min

Adventures in Finance 62 - Powering Down: Beginning of the End for Tesla?

Adventures in Finance 62 - Powering Down: Beginning of the End for Tesla?

Can Tesla still take over the world – or is the end nigh for the ambitious electric car company? Charley Grant of the Wall Street Journal and Mark Spiegel of Stanphyl Capital join to discuss. Plus, in...

13 Apr 201855min

Adventures in Finance 61 - Crude Awakening:  The Yuan, the Dollar, and the Battle for Global Supremacy

Adventures in Finance 61 - Crude Awakening: The Yuan, the Dollar, and the Battle for Global Supremacy

China appears to be taking a major step to combat the dominance of the U.S. dollar. How significant could that move be, and what political, economic, and market changes might result? Luke Gromen, foun...

6 Apr 20181h 24min

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