Do You Believe the Stock Market or the Bond Market?

Do You Believe the Stock Market or the Bond Market?

St. Louis Federal Reserve President Jim Bullard was the only member of the Federal Open Market Committee to dissent from the decision to hike interest rates by 25 basis points. Bullard wanted 50 basis points, and he’d like to see a fed funds rate of 3% by the end of 2022, not the 1.75% of the central bank’s current forecast. Bullard and Fed Chair Jerome Powell do agree that the economy can handle monetary tightening. And the stock market, with the S&P 500 on the way to its best week since November 2020, seems to accept the Fed’s outlook on growth. But the bond market sees something different – that is, a slowdown. The Treasury yield curve continues to flatten, and the 10-year yield fell below the five-year rate for the first time since March 2020. Meanwhile, war in Eastern Europe continues to sow dysfunction, most obviously in commodity markets. Jim Bianco, president and founder of Bianco Research, joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about the Fed, inflation and growth, China and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and where markets go from here. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3tol3RY Be sure to grab your tickets to the Crypto Gathering here: https://www.realvision.com/cryptogathering Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2080)

Oil, Metals, and More Geopolitical Risk | Macro Mondays: Feb. 2, 2026

Oil, Metals, and More Geopolitical Risk | Macro Mondays: Feb. 2, 2026

Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold of Steno Research break down the mounting U.S.–Iran tensions, the implications for oil, the U.S.–China decoupling, strategic mineral stockpiles, and supply-chain wea...

2 Feb 33min

Markets Rattle as Warsh Named Fed Chair & BTC Hits $81K

Markets Rattle as Warsh Named Fed Chair & BTC Hits $81K

Markets were hit with a surge of volatility after President Trump confirmed Kevin Warsh as his nominee for Fed Chair, raising fresh uncertainty around U.S. monetary policy. The VIX jumped as much as 1...

30 Jan 8min

Fed Holds Steady, Big Tech Earnings Diverge, and Commodities Surge: PALvatar Market Recap, January 29 2025

Fed Holds Steady, Big Tech Earnings Diverge, and Commodities Surge: PALvatar Market Recap, January 29 2025

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF . ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powe...

29 Jan 6min

Trading the Markets: January 28, 2026 | Kris Bullock and Nico Brugge

Trading the Markets: January 28, 2026 | Kris Bullock and Nico Brugge

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision: https://rvtv.io/4lRykex Real Vision's Kris Bullock and Nico Brugge are back to break down the charts and highlight their favorite RV trade ideas before taking que...

28 Jan 33min

Mag7 Earnings, AI Stock Surge, Gold at Record Highs, and Crypto Momentum: PALvatar Market Recap, January 28 2026

Mag7 Earnings, AI Stock Surge, Gold at Record Highs, and Crypto Momentum: PALvatar Market Recap, January 28 2026

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF . ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powe...

28 Jan 7min

Global Stocks at Record Highs, Fed Meeting Ahead, and Commodities Outperform Crypto: PALvatar Market Recap, January 27 2026

Global Stocks at Record Highs, Fed Meeting Ahead, and Commodities Outperform Crypto: PALvatar Market Recap, January 27 2026

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF . ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powe...

27 Jan 5min

Yen Surges, Gold Hits $5K, and Markets Brace for the Fed: PALvatar, Monday January 26, 2026

Yen Surges, Gold Hits $5K, and Markets Brace for the Fed: PALvatar, Monday January 26, 2026

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF . Currency Moves, Gold Breakouts & Fed Watch Crypto Gathering 2026 is in the rearview—what a wild ride. As the community heads home (throug...

27 Jan 4min

Rates, Risks, and Reality | Macro Mondays: Jan. 26, 2026 ft. Andreas Steno & Mikkel Rosenvold

Rates, Risks, and Reality | Macro Mondays: Jan. 26, 2026 ft. Andreas Steno & Mikkel Rosenvold

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF. Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics at Steno Research, breaks down the latest forces driving global markets with insights from ...

26 Jan 17min

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