Markets Have Their Own March Madness

Markets Have Their Own March Madness

The Federal Reserve was already staring down an inflation problem well before Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered his troops into Ukraine. One month into the war, there’s no clear end in sight. And constraints on key commodities will continue to drive prices and spur the creation of new supply chains. The Fed launched its tightening cycle with a 25 basis point increase to the fed funds target rate. The futures market is now pricing in a 50-basis-point move in May. Equity markets remain volatile. But the most interesting action may be in the bond market, where prices are falling faster than they have in decades as investors account for the Fed’s absolute focus on showing its commitment to fighting inflation. President Joe Biden is in Brussels to meet with NATO counterparts about Russia and Ukraine. But there are no easy answers for that conflict. However, Thomas Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, is here with Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about the Fed, the bond market, Bitcoin, and finding opportunity in disorder in today’s Daily Briefing. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3JTKf8N Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2091)

The Knock-On Effect #14 - Why will asthma cases change cargo shipping?

The Knock-On Effect #14 - Why will asthma cases change cargo shipping?

What impact will the proliferation of asthma have on innovation in the cargo shipping industry? Justine and Alex discuss in this podcast-only episode of the Knock-On Effect, also touching on massive k...

7 Sep 201830min

The Knock-On Effect #13 - Why China’s waste ban matters

The Knock-On Effect #13 - Why China’s waste ban matters

Why will China’s efforts to clean up its image put more water bottles inside shoes, lead to a recycling black market and raise the costs for shipping garbage? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching ...

31 Aug 201847min

The Knock-On Effect #12 - Turkey Troubles and Spicy Hazelnuts

The Knock-On Effect #12 - Turkey Troubles and Spicy Hazelnuts

Why will the crisis in Turkey lead hazelnuts to be covered in wasabi? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching on Nutella, “hot money,” and Japanese snacking habits. Learn more about your ad choices. ...

24 Aug 201826min

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #2 - Raoul Pal on Turkey

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #2 - Raoul Pal on Turkey

Will turmoil in Turkey send global markets skidding? And why might such an economically small country have an incredibly outsized effect? Raoul Pal, co-founder CEO of Real Vision and founder of The Gl...

17 Aug 201827min

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #1 - Mark Dow on Liquidity

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #1 - Mark Dow on Liquidity

Are market participants misunderstanding the current state of liquidity - and if so, what are the potential knock-on effects? Mark Dow, founder of Dow Global Advisors and author of the Behavioral Macr...

10 Aug 201836min

The Knock-On Effect #11 - Almond milk and stamp storage

The Knock-On Effect #11 - Almond milk and stamp storage

Why will rising popularity of almond milk make it more expensive to store postage stamps? Justine and Alex discuss — also touching on bovine productivity, disused limestone mines, and the “Illuminati ...

3 Aug 201837min

The Knock-On Effect #10 - Yield Surge to Trash Cheap Vodka?

The Knock-On Effect #10 - Yield Surge to Trash Cheap Vodka?

Will rising yields on Treasury notes sink the cheapest vodkas? Alex and Justine discuss – also touching on the causes of recession, Scottish drinkers, and the impact of Fed policy. Plus, a controversi...

27 Jul 201846min

The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

Why will rising concerns about China’s trade-related retaliation lead diamonds to become clearer? Justine and Alex discuss – also touching on Jules Verne novels, iPhone batteries and a new version of ...

20 Jul 201832min

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