Does Anyone Want to Talk About Stagflation?

Does Anyone Want to Talk About Stagflation?

Not since March 2000 has the Federal Open Market Committee announced a 50-basis-point increase to the federal funds target rate. Now, the FOMC is a day away from doing just that. And traders are pricing in near-even-money odds of a 75-basis-point hike in June. The FOMC is also expected to introduce its plan to reduce the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet on Wednesday, a process with its own implications for interest rates. U.S. equity indexes held solid gains late Tuesday. Factory orders for March rose a better-than-expected 2.2%, job openings reached an all-time high of 11.5 million, and U.S. natural gas prices hit a 13-year high on growing concern supply will fall short of demand this summer. The data suggest the Fed has room to do what it needs to do to fight inflation. But, as Warren Pies notes, “Oil is driving this market…” And there are structural factors at play that could make the central bank’s job impossible. Pies, founder of 3Fourteen Research, joins Real Vision’s Weston Nakamura to talk about today’s price action, tomorrow’s decision by the FOMC, and the prospect of stagflation afflicting the economy. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3kEtIKN Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2080)

Oil, Metals, and More Geopolitical Risk | Macro Mondays: Feb. 2, 2026

Oil, Metals, and More Geopolitical Risk | Macro Mondays: Feb. 2, 2026

Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold of Steno Research break down the mounting U.S.–Iran tensions, the implications for oil, the U.S.–China decoupling, strategic mineral stockpiles, and supply-chain wea...

2 Feb 33min

Markets Rattle as Warsh Named Fed Chair & BTC Hits $81K

Markets Rattle as Warsh Named Fed Chair & BTC Hits $81K

Markets were hit with a surge of volatility after President Trump confirmed Kevin Warsh as his nominee for Fed Chair, raising fresh uncertainty around U.S. monetary policy. The VIX jumped as much as 1...

30 Jan 8min

Fed Holds Steady, Big Tech Earnings Diverge, and Commodities Surge: PALvatar Market Recap, January 29 2025

Fed Holds Steady, Big Tech Earnings Diverge, and Commodities Surge: PALvatar Market Recap, January 29 2025

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF . ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powe...

29 Jan 6min

Trading the Markets: January 28, 2026 | Kris Bullock and Nico Brugge

Trading the Markets: January 28, 2026 | Kris Bullock and Nico Brugge

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision: https://rvtv.io/4lRykex Real Vision's Kris Bullock and Nico Brugge are back to break down the charts and highlight their favorite RV trade ideas before taking que...

28 Jan 33min

Mag7 Earnings, AI Stock Surge, Gold at Record Highs, and Crypto Momentum: PALvatar Market Recap, January 28 2026

Mag7 Earnings, AI Stock Surge, Gold at Record Highs, and Crypto Momentum: PALvatar Market Recap, January 28 2026

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF . ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powe...

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Global Stocks at Record Highs, Fed Meeting Ahead, and Commodities Outperform Crypto: PALvatar Market Recap, January 27 2026

Global Stocks at Record Highs, Fed Meeting Ahead, and Commodities Outperform Crypto: PALvatar Market Recap, January 27 2026

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF . ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powe...

27 Jan 5min

Yen Surges, Gold Hits $5K, and Markets Brace for the Fed: PALvatar, Monday January 26, 2026

Yen Surges, Gold Hits $5K, and Markets Brace for the Fed: PALvatar, Monday January 26, 2026

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF . Currency Moves, Gold Breakouts & Fed Watch Crypto Gathering 2026 is in the rearview—what a wild ride. As the community heads home (throug...

27 Jan 4min

Rates, Risks, and Reality | Macro Mondays: Jan. 26, 2026 ft. Andreas Steno & Mikkel Rosenvold

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🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF. Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics at Steno Research, breaks down the latest forces driving global markets with insights from ...

26 Jan 17min

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