Can the Fed "Catch Up" Without Tanking the Economy?

Can the Fed "Catch Up" Without Tanking the Economy?

The April nonfarm payroll figure topped consensus forecasts, and the unemployment rate held at 3.6%. A slight retreat in the labor force participation rate surprised, but, overall, more evidence of a tight labor market should brace a Federal Reserve as it effects an aggressive tightening cycle. That’s despite the fact that, when it comes to growth, we’re looking at “three straight quarters of almost nothing besides inventory along with a growing catalog of economic data more like Q1 GDP than anything.” So observes Jeffrey Snider, Head of Global Research at Alhambra Investments. Meanwhile, the threat of global recession amid war in Eastern Europe and rising geopolitical tensions augurs a new world order. We hear from Peter Zeihan and Dee Smith. Is the Fed hiking rates into a downturn? How is the market responding to the central bank’s rapid tone shift? And what will investors do should the situation devolve into a real collateral crisis? Snider joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about whether the Fed is up to the challenges it faces. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3ylWN5I. Watch the full interview with Peter Zeihan and Dee Smith here: https://rvtv.io/3kJBIKy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2080)

Adventures in Finance 16 - Having Reservations: US Restaurant Revenues Signal Recession Risk

Adventures in Finance 16 - Having Reservations: US Restaurant Revenues Signal Recession Risk

What if restaurant sales could predict the next recession? According to Paul Westra, Senior Research Analyst at Stifel, decades of restaurant sales data accurately predicted the last two US recessions...

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Adventures in Finance 15 - Crises, Bubbles, Scandals: Financial History Uncensored (Part 1)

Adventures in Finance 15 - Crises, Bubbles, Scandals: Financial History Uncensored (Part 1)

"The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see", Sir Winston Churchill. Men and women of historical significance understood the importance of history. Tim Price, partner and...

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Adventures in Finance 14 - Feeding the Future: Debt, Demographics, & Dinner Plates

Adventures in Finance 14 - Feeding the Future: Debt, Demographics, & Dinner Plates

The agricultural industry sustains human life but is taken for granted and is subject to volatile cycles. Alan Boyce, former Soros Fund Management Director and Agtech investor, talks us through the bi...

5 Mai 20171h 8min

Adventures in Finance 13 - What Lies Beneath: Volatility in a Peaceful World

Adventures in Finance 13 - What Lies Beneath: Volatility in a Peaceful World

Volatility permeates markets, nature, and life. Yet, it is monumentally misunderstood, and often to ruinous consequences. Stephen Diggle, Founder of Vulpes Investment Management, and Chris Cole, Manag...

28 Apr 20171h 13min

Adventures in Finance 12 - Bass and Burbank, A Masterclass

Adventures in Finance 12 - Bass and Burbank, A Masterclass

Learn from hedge fund legends as Kyle Bass interviews John Burbank III to reveal insights and ideas that differentiate truly independent market thinkers from amateur speculators. In 'Things I Got Wron...

21 Apr 20171h 7min

Adventures in Finance 11 - Broken Promises: The Impending Global Pension Crisis

Adventures in Finance 11 - Broken Promises: The Impending Global Pension Crisis

The financial system will soon witness a collision between an unstoppable force and an immovable object. Pensions around the world are being crushed under the weight of trillions in unfunded liabiliti...

14 Apr 20171h 10min

Adventures in Finance 10 - Carson Block: Short-selling Legend and Market Vigilante

Adventures in Finance 10 - Carson Block: Short-selling Legend and Market Vigilante

Carson Block, Founder of Muddy Waters Research, single-handedly dismantles fraudulent companies and his research can cause stocks to plummet 90% in market cap. As one of the world's preeminent short-s...

7 Apr 201750min

Adventures in Finance 9 - Reflation: American Dream or Political Nightmare?

Adventures in Finance 9 - Reflation: American Dream or Political Nightmare?

Deconstruct the Trump Reflation Trade as unsightly political realities emerge from the shadows. In 'Things I Got Wrong', David Hay, CIO of Evergreen Gavekal, confesses to underestimating central bank ...

30 Mar 20171h 2min

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