Are We Still Heading for a Recession? w/ David Rosenberg

Are We Still Heading for a Recession? w/ David Rosenberg

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41tyn6M. David Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research, joins Ash Bennington to share his views on the current state of the economy, a growing disconnect between supply and demand, and what it means for the potential of a recession. David also discusses the bubble he sees forming in the stock market, and where he's spotting investment opportunities. Recorded on Thursday, June 20th. This episode is brought to you by TOKEN2049 Singapore. Join over 20,000 attendees for the world’s largest crypto event: TOKEN2049 Singapore on 18 to 19 September. 🔥 Visit www.realvision.com/token2049 for 15% off tickets, only with the code 'REALVISION’. Timestamps: 00:00 - Sponsor: Token2049 01:01 - Introduction of David Rosenberg 01:37 - David's perspective on the current economy 02:18 - Comparison to the 2007 economic outlook 03:33 - Recession pressures and the business cycle 04:11 - Impact of fiscal stimulus on the economy 05:25 - Credit card debt and delinquency rates 06:41 - Changes in consumer behavior and credit card balances 07:53 - The role of excess savings and stimulus checks 08:27 - San Francisco Fed report on excess savings 09:02 - Consumer revolt against high prices 10:06 - Discrepancy between current economic conditions and the Fed's statements 11:23 - Historical comparisons to 2008 and recession signals 12:34 - Overstated non-farm payrolls and data revisions 13:37 - Signs of a potential recession in various economic sectors 14:13 - GDP growth and economic activity slowing down 15:17 - Lack of catalysts for re-acceleration in growth 16:26 - Importance of supply and demand in forecasting inflation 18:11 - Expectations for disinflation and Fed rate cuts 19:20 - Discussion on current trend growth and productivity gains 21:04 - Labor force participation and its impact on the economy 22:15 - Disconnect between productivity gains and aggregate demand 23:26 - Impact of housing and consumer behavior on the economy 24:34 - Global economic conditions and their effect on US exports 25:40 - Outlook on inflation and interest rates without a recession 26:16 - Increasing unemployment rate and its impact on wages 27:23 - Supply curve dynamics leading to disinflation 28:43 - Capacity growth in the industrial sector 29:18 - Expectations for inflation to reach the Fed's target 30:26 - Implications for asset prices and the stock market 31:39 - Concentration risk and the impact of high-performing tech stocks 33:33 - Concerns about excessive valuations and investor behavior 35:08 - Importance of thematic investing and capital preservation 36:50 - Sectors with growth potential: Aerospace, defense, utilities, and healthcare 38:57 - Trading down and frugality trends among consumers 40:14 - Staples and essential sectors as investment opportunities 41:37 - Utilities as a growth area due to climate change and infrastructure needs 43:17 - The role of gold and gold mining stocks in a disinflationary environment 44:56 - Impact of passive indexation on market distortions 46:41 - Risks of bubble bursts and historical parallels 48:02 - Potential market corrections and investor psychology 50:13 - Advice on profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing 51:57 - Importance of capital preservation and conservative investing 52:36 - Final thoughts on the current market cycle 53:47 - Importance of historical context in investing decisions 54:33 - Sentiment and psychology driving market behavior 55:52 - Recommendations for protective strategies in investing Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2006)

Pro Crypto: 2025 Market Outlook by Coinbase ft. David Duong

Pro Crypto: 2025 Market Outlook by Coinbase ft. David Duong

👉 Ever wanted to explore the world of online trading but haven’t dared try? The futures market is more active now than ever and Plus500 Futures is the perfect place to start. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. 🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. Coinbase sees "transformative growth" for the crypto space in 2025—but what does that exactly mean? Ash Bennington asks David Duong, the crypto exchange's head of research at Coinbase Institutional, about his report into the crypto universe. They cover the macro landscape, bitcoin, altcoins, ETFs, stablecoins, tokenization, AI agents, and much more. Expect a chart bonanza and a detailed breakdown of insights from one of the world's largest crypto exchanges. You can read the whole report from Coinbase here: https://www.coinbase.com/institutional/research-insights 📣 This episode comes to you thanks to Plus500. Plus500 gives you access to a wide range of instruments—S&P500, NASDAQ, Bitcoin, Gas, and much more!  Explore equity indices, energy, metals, forex, crypto, and beyond. With a simple and intuitive platform, you can trade from anywhere—right from your phone. Deposit with a minimum of $100 and experience the fast, accessible futures trading you’ve been waiting for. See a trading opportunity? You’ll be able to trade it in just two clicks once your account is open. Not sure if you’re ready? Not a problem. Plus500 gives you an unlimited, risk-free demo account with charts and analytic tools for you to practice on. With over 20 years of experience - Plus500 is your gateway to the markets. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. Trading in Futures involves the risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Not all applicants will qualify 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Connect with Raoul Pal: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Newsletter: https://raoulpal.substack.com Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Jan 1h 5min

Are We Repeating the 1930s? A Global Warning from Victor Schwetz

Are We Repeating the 1930s? A Global Warning from Victor Schwetz

👉 Ever wanted to explore the world of online trading but haven’t dared try? The futures market is more active now than ever and Plus500 Futures is the perfect place to start. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. 🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. Ash Bennington sits down with Viktor Shvets, global strategist at Macquarie Capital and author of Twilight Before the Storm, to explore the striking parallels between the 1930s and today. From technological upheavals and extreme inequality to the rise of populism and the death of neoliberalism, Viktor outlines the root causes of our crisis culture and explains how a new global consensus can prevent a repeat of the chaos of the 1940s. 📣 This episode comes to you thanks to Plus500. Plus500 gives you access to a wide range of instruments—S&P500, NASDAQ, Bitcoin, Gas, and much more!  Explore equity indices, energy, metals, forex, crypto, and beyond. With a simple and intuitive platform, you can trade from anywhere—right from your phone. Deposit with a minimum of $100 and experience the fast, accessible futures trading you’ve been waiting for. See a trading opportunity? You’ll be able to trade it in just two clicks once your account is open. Not sure if you’re ready? Not a problem. Plus500 gives you an unlimited, risk-free demo account with charts and analytic tools for you to practice on. With over 20 years of experience - Plus500 is your gateway to the markets. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. Trading in Futures involves the risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Not all applicants will qualify 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Connect with Raoul Pal: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Newsletter: https://raoulpal.substack.com Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

14 Jan 1h 12min

Macro Mondays: What Happens If Trump's Dollar Playbook FAILS? ft. Raoul Pal & Andreas Steno Larsen

Macro Mondays: What Happens If Trump's Dollar Playbook FAILS? ft. Raoul Pal & Andreas Steno Larsen

👉 Ever wanted to explore the world of online trading but haven’t dared try? The futures market is more active now than ever and Plus500 Futures is the perfect place to start. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. 🔥 *Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report:* https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. Andreas is back with Raoul Pal  @RaoulPalTJM  our special guest to break it all down live… Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, welcomes Real Vision co-founder and CEO Raoul Pal to break down the strength of the US dollar, inflation expectations, and the role of liquidity in driving growth. 📣 This episode comes to you thanks to Plus500. Plus500 gives you access to a wide range of instruments—S&P500, NASDAQ, Bitcoin, Gas, and much more!  Explore equity indices, energy, metals, forex, crypto, and beyond. With a simple and intuitive platform, you can trade from anywhere—right from your phone. Deposit with a minimum of $100 and experience the fast, accessible futures trading you’ve been waiting for. See a trading opportunity? You’ll be able to trade it in just two clicks once your account is open. Not sure if you’re ready? Not a problem. Plus500 gives you an unlimited, risk-free demo account with charts and analytic tools for you to practice on. With over 20 years of experience - Plus500 is your gateway to the markets. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. Trading in Futures involves the risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Not all applicants will qualify Timestamps: 00:00 - Introduction: 01:32 - The Dollar Surge: What's Driving Currency Markets? 03:07 - Trump's Economic Strategy: Tariffs, Dollar Strength, and Negotiations" 05:20 - Monetary Policies in 2025: Echoes of 2016 and QE Predictions" 07:17 - Bitcoin and Markets: Parallels to 2017 and the Next Move 12:30 - UK Bond Market Troubles: A Canary in the Coal Mine? 15:43 - Inflation and Liquidity: Navigating the Economic Crossroads 20:40 - Retail Sales Boom: The Early Signs of Economic Revival 27:53 - Crypto’s Liquidity Role: How to Prepare for the Next Rally 33:07 - Closing Thoughts: Upcoming Events and Macro Strategies Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com/join Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Jan 42min

REKT Vision: Is The Banana Zone Over? ft. Raoul Pal

REKT Vision: Is The Banana Zone Over? ft. Raoul Pal

👉 Ever wanted to explore the world of online trading but haven’t dared try? The futures market is more active now than ever and Plus500 Futures is the perfect place to start. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. 🔥 *Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report:* https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe The REKT boys are back with Raoul to assess some analysts' fears and the recent pullback that the crypto markets have experienced in the first days of 2025. Is the Banana Zone over? Raoul Pal, CEO & Co-Founder of Real Vision answers... Canary Labs and rektguy co-founders Ovie "OSF" Faruq and Michael "Mando" Anderson, also the creator of the Mando Minutes newsletter, are back with Raoul Pal to discuss the narratives and themes driving the crypto market right now. On the latest REKT Vision, they discuss whether the narrative seen in some circles of this cycle already reaching its top is premature or warranted, how the AI agent theme will play out this year, which tokens are showing relative strength, and much more. 📣 This episode comes to you thanks to Plus500. Plus500 gives you access to a wide range of instruments—S&P500, NASDAQ, Bitcoin, Gas, and much more!  Explore equity indices, energy, metals, forex, crypto, and beyond. With a simple and intuitive platform, you can trade from anywhere—right from your phone. Deposit with a minimum of $100 and experience the fast, accessible futures trading you’ve been waiting for. See a trading opportunity? You’ll be able to trade it in just two clicks once your account is open. Not sure if you’re ready? Not a problem. Plus500 gives you an unlimited, risk-free demo account with charts and analytic tools for you to practice on. With over 20 years of experience - Plus500 is your gateway to the markets. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. Trading in Futures involves the risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Not all applicants will qualify Join our Discord channel and meet like-minded people: discord.com/invite/kYQY2Nd45Y Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com/join Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

10 Jan 1h 9min

Macro Mondays: Brace Yourselves, Liquidity Is Coming - Top Trades for 2025 ft. Andreas Steno Larsen & Mikkel Rosenvold

Macro Mondays: Brace Yourselves, Liquidity Is Coming - Top Trades for 2025 ft. Andreas Steno Larsen & Mikkel Rosenvold

👉 Ever wanted to explore the world of online trading but haven’t dared try? The futures market is more active now than ever and Plus500 Futures is the perfect place to start. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. 🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE Guide: https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. Bitcoin is back over 100K! Andreas & Mikkel discuss tariffs, QE, and market strategies for 2025. Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to on the key market drivers of 2025, from Trump tariffs to the recent crypto surge plus 5 trades they see working in 2025. 📣 This episode comes to you thanks to Plus500. Plus500 gives you access to a wide range of instruments—S&P500, NASDAQ, Bitcoin, Gas, and much more!  Explore equity indices, energy, metals, forex, crypto, and beyond. With a simple and intuitive platform, you can trade from anywhere—right from your phone. Deposit with a minimum of $100 and experience the fast, accessible futures trading you’ve been waiting for. See a trading opportunity? You’ll be able to trade it in just two clicks once your account is open. Not sure if you’re ready? Not a problem. Plus500 gives you an unlimited, risk-free demo account with charts and analytic tools for you to practice on. With over 20 years of experience - Plus500 is your gateway to the markets. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. Trading in Futures involves the risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Not all applicants will qualify 👉 Don't forget to get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

6 Jan 42min

Who Will Win the Fed’s Tug-of-War? ft. Jim Bianco

Who Will Win the Fed’s Tug-of-War? ft. Jim Bianco

🔥 *Get Raoul Pal's free PDF report:* https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, sits down with Ash Bennington to tie a bow on 2024's market dynamics and discuss what’s to come in 2025. Jim explains how the tug-of-war between Fed interest rate cuts and rising inflation expectations are influencing price action across bond markets, equities, and even crypto. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

31 Des 20241h 8min

 How to Digest the Fed Rate Cut ft. Cem Karsan

How to Digest the Fed Rate Cut ft. Cem Karsan

🔥 *Get Raoul Pal's free PDF report:* https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. Ash Bennington welcomes Cem Karsan, founder of Kai Volatility, back to RV to explore the widespread implications of yesterday's FOMC decision to cut interest rates by 25bps. Plus, Cem explains what the current market structure and options flows mean for year-end price action and shares his outlook for the economic landscape in 2025. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

30 Des 20241h 10min

From Inflation to AI: Diego Parrilla’s Framework for Market Survival

From Inflation to AI: Diego Parrilla’s Framework for Market Survival

🔥 *Get Raoul Pal's free PDF report:* https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. 👉 Ever wanted to explore the world of online trading but haven’t dared try? The futures market is more active now than ever and Plus500 Futures is the perfect place to start. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. Join Ash Bennington as he sits down with Diego Parrilla, Author "The Anti-Bubbles" and “The Energy World is Flat” as he dissects the structural fragility of markets, the impact of inflation, and the evolving role of central banks. Learn about his unique anti-bubble framework, portfolio construction strategies, and the implications of AI and geopolitics on global markets. 📣 This episode comes to you thanks to Plus500. Plus500 gives you access to a wide range of instruments—S&P500, NASDAQ, Bitcoin, Gas, and much more!  Explore equity indices, energy, metals, forex, crypto, and beyond. With a simple and intuitive platform, you can trade from anywhere—right from your phone. Deposit with a minimum of $100 and experience the fast, accessible futures trading you’ve been waiting for. See a trading opportunity? You’ll be able to trade it in just two clicks once your account is open. Not sure if you’re ready? Not a problem. Plus500 gives you an unlimited, risk-free demo account with charts and analytic tools for you to practice on. With over 20 years of experience - Plus500 is your gateway to the markets. Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. Trading in Futures involves the risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Not all applicants will qualify 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

24 Des 202448min

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