A Green Light for Fed Easing? ft. Warren Pies & Andreas Steno

A Green Light for Fed Easing? ft. Warren Pies & Andreas Steno

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/467wxee Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, welcomes Warren Pies, founder and lead strategist at 3Fourteen Research, to examine where we're at in terms of inflation, Fed policy, and broader macro implications. They also dig into the construction cycle, commodities markets, the U.S. Dollar, and risk assets. This episode is brought to you by TOKEN2049 Singapore. Join over 20,000 attendees for the world’s largest crypto event: TOKEN2049 Singapore from 18 to 19 September. Balaji Srinivasan, Solana’s Anatoly, Arthur Hayes, and over 250 others will hit the stage, as TOKEN2049 takes over the iconic Marina Bay Sands in Singapore. With over 500 side events during TOKEN2049 Week, Singapore will transform into a crypto hub from 16 to 22 September, capped off by AFTER 2049, and the Formula 1 Grand Prix race weekend. Everyone will be there – this is the one event you can’t miss this year. 🔥 Visit www.realvision.com/token2049 for 15% off tickets, only with the code 'REALVISION’. Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Timestamps: (00:00) - Sponsor: Token2049 in Singapore. (01:03) - Introduction with Andreas Steno and Warren Pies. (01:37) - Discussion on the US economy and CPI report. (05:18) - Disinflationary tailwinds and shelter inflation. (10:11) - Goldman Sachs' prediction on rate cuts. (15:31) - Credit creation's role in bull markets. (17:11) - Sector rotation and Trump presidency impact. (17:50) - Political influence on market and tax policies. (18:49) - Spending and deficits impact on markets. (19:52) - Potential impacts of extending tax cuts. (20:28) - Construction cycle and employment trends. (21:36) - Multi-family and single-family housing trends. (22:07) - Housing employment model as economic indicator. (23:12) - Emerging slack in residential construction labor. (24:21) - Rate cuts' impact on real estate market. (25:22) - Controlled return of housing supply. (26:00) - Homebuilding stocks and inflation prints. (27:01) - Real estate market affordability and millennial demand. (27:41) - Divergence between gold and oil. (28:13) - Commodity super cycle thesis. (28:47) - Gold's role as a monetary commodity. (29:51) - Oil market dynamics and OPEC's influence. (30:56) - OPEC's actions and oil prices. (31:30) - Saudi Arabia's investment cuts and OPEC strategies. (32:35) - Long-term sustainability of OPEC's influence. (33:03) - Potential outcomes of a price war. (34:03) - Political influence on energy investments. (40:39) - Gold as a safe haven. (44:52) - Historical earnings growth in bull markets. (48:43) - Closing remarks and macro deep dive outlook. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(1997)

Adventures in Finance 61 - Crude Awakening:  The Yuan, the Dollar, and the Battle for Global Supremacy

Adventures in Finance 61 - Crude Awakening: The Yuan, the Dollar, and the Battle for Global Supremacy

China appears to be taking a major step to combat the dominance of the U.S. dollar. How significant could that move be, and what political, economic, and market changes might result? Luke Gromen, founder of research firm Forest for the Trees, joins for a deeply insightful discussion. Plus, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade Saudi leadership, California regulations, and flat-falling April Fools’ Day jokes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

6 Apr 20181h 24min

Adventures in Finance 60 - Look Out Below? David Rosenberg’s Stormy Outlook

Adventures in Finance 60 - Look Out Below? David Rosenberg’s Stormy Outlook

After a tumultuous first quarter for stocks, what will the rest of the year bring? Nothing good, according to famed economist David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff. He outlines what could be ahead for the economy and markets – and outlines some areas where investors might turn to safety. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade weight-losing poker players, sexy magazine covers and replying all. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

30 Mar 201850min

Adventures in Finance 59 - Anti-Social: Facebook, Privacy and Societal Shifts

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Will the Facebook-Cambridge Analytica fracas actually turn the tide of public opinion against the social media giant? Jesse Felder of The Felder Report and Peter Atwater of Financial Insyghts join to discuss. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade Jerome Powell, scientific research and predictive coffee-based drinks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

23 Mar 20181h 10min

Adventures in Finance 58 - Commercial Break: What the Ad industry’s struggles say about the economy

Adventures in Finance 58 - Commercial Break: What the Ad industry’s struggles say about the economy

Advertising behemoth WPP has run into massive troubles. Does this just reflect the flow of ad dollars into Google and Facebook, or does it suggest bigger problems with the global economy? Grant describes his findings, while Daniel Ives of GBH Insights takes the other side. Meanwhile in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade “King Dollar,” Russian airplane engineers and ETF-related class-action lawsuits. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Adventures in Finance 57 - Blue Steel: Tariffs, Trade and Trump

Adventures in Finance 57 - Blue Steel: Tariffs, Trade and Trump

What’s driving the modern movement toward protectionist tariffs and trade wars? Where will it all lead, and what lessons can we draw from history? Geopolitics consultant Peter Zeihan and historian Marc Palen discuss. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade airline seats, trend followers and Wu Tang Clan fans. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Mar 201859min

Adventures in Finance 56 - Digging Gold: The Case for Precious Metals

Adventures in Finance 56 - Digging Gold: The Case for Precious Metals

Will it soon be gold’s time to shine once again? Rick Rule of Sprott Global Resources, Simon Mikhailovich Tocqueville Bullion Reserve and Ronald-Peter Stoeferle of Incrementum AG weigh in. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade tennis, pant-ripping lasers and flighty models. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

2 Mar 20181h 16min

Adventures in Finance 55 - The Storm After the Calm: Is Market Volatility Back?

Adventures in Finance 55 - The Storm After the Calm: Is Market Volatility Back?

Stock market volatility has surged to levels unseen in years. So is the era of unusual market calm now over and done with? Or was this latest episode just a temporary bit of turmoil? Steve Diggle of Volpes Investment Management and Dennis Davitt of Harvest Volatility Management weigh in. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade Apple, mediocre Olympic athletes and Jennifer Lawrence. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

23 Feb 20181h 6min

Adventures in Finance 54 - Trump Whisperer: The Life and Times of Ken Kurson

Adventures in Finance 54 - Trump Whisperer: The Life and Times of Ken Kurson

Ken Kurson has been many things: A reporter, a rocker, a newspaper editor and a cryptocurrency evangelist. He’s also a supporter and occasional speechwriter for President Donald Trump. This week, he sits down with Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to discuss his varied careers – and to explain why he is a big believer in the current president. Plus, in the “Things I Got Wrong” segment, Nick Colas of DataTrek Research discusses the importance of having confidence at market turning points. And in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade Rolls-Royce SUVs, terrifying robots and mass-media volatility coverage. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

16 Feb 20181h 1min

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