Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks

Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: https://allin.com/events

(9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions

(27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements

(38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints

(53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch

(1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation?

Get tickets to The All-In Holiday Spectacular:

https://allin.com/events

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https://x.com/friedberg

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://allin.com/events

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/22/tudor-jones-is-long-gold-and-bitcoin-as-hedge-fund-titan-believes-all-roads-lead-to-inflation.html

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stanley-druckenmiller-says-hes-shorting-u-s-bonds-and-staying-out-of-china-1fcf751e

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/10/cpi-inflation-september-2024.html

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA

https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-tax-report-international/uk-budget-fears-push-owners-to-close-firms-to-avoid-tax-hikes

https://www.banque-france.fr/en/statistics/compagnies/business-failures-france-2024-09

https://www.reuters.com/markets/brazil-inflation-expectations-above-target-says-cenbank-director-picchetti-2024-10-23

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/14/more-than-half-of-gen-z-want-to-be-influencers-but-its-constant.html

https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/influencer-marketing-trends-report

https://www.longtermtrends.net/market-cap-to-gdp-the-buffett-indicator

https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/ruminating-on-asset-allocation

https://www.macrotrends.net/2577/sp-500-pe-ratio-price-to-earnings-chart

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/24/polymarket-trump-french-election-bet.html

https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968

https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/23/politics/video/border-wall-kamala-harris-cnn-town-hall-digvid

https://x.com/justintrudeau/status/1849467713711710699

https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968

https://awfulannouncing.com/barstool/dave-portnoy-turned-down-kamala-harris-interview.html

https://investor.starbucks.com/news/financial-releases/news-details/2024/Starbucks-Reports-Preliminary-Q4-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2024-Results/default.aspx

Episoder(360)

E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more

E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more

0:00 Jason's new "family office" and Sacks' new strategy 2:39 Understanding where all sides stand in the Russia/Ukraine War three weeks in 15:21 Sanctions risking a major food shortage: possible solut...

19 Mar 20221h 14min

E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more

E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more

0:00 David Sacks: Man for the people 0:50 Escalating tensions over Russia/Ukraine; nuclear scare; evolving forms of warfare 16:27 Assessing impact of economic sanctions: first, second and third-order ...

5 Mar 20221h 35min

E70: EMERGENCY POD! Russia invades Ukraine: Reactions, Putin's ambition, Biden's response and more

E70: EMERGENCY POD! Russia invades Ukraine: Reactions, Putin's ambition, Biden's response and more

0:00 Ukraine invasion: how should the US respond? 17:03 Importance of energy independence when dealing with Russia; solutions: Solar, Natural Gas, Nuclear, etc 32:51 Reflecting on the media coverage s...

24 Feb 20221h 11min

E68: Trudeau invokes emergency powers, Bitcoin vs. government, Tiger Global's new strategy & more

E68: Trudeau invokes emergency powers, Bitcoin vs. government, Tiger Global's new strategy & more

0:00 Sacks needs the ball 1:43 Trudeau invokes emergency powers to try and stop the truckers protest 13:45 Bitcoin's role in decentralizing currency away from potentially hostile governments 25:37 San...

19 Feb 20221h 29min

E67: Revisiting Rogan, Canadian truckers' protest, fusion breakthrough, $MSFT's savvy move & more

E67: Revisiting Rogan, Canadian truckers' protest, fusion breakthrough, $MSFT's savvy move & more

0:00 Bestie Intro: Phil Hellmuth found a new billionaire 1:30 Chamath's new camera positioning 3:58 Revisiting the Joe Rogan/Spotify situation, racism claims, and the video controversy 30:04 Canadian ...

12 Feb 20221h 24min

E66: $FB's major pullback, Rogan/Spotify mess, Xi/Putin meetup and understanding supply chain issues with Bestie Guestie Ryan Petersen (Flexport CEO)

E66: $FB's major pullback, Rogan/Spotify mess, Xi/Putin meetup and understanding supply chain issues with Bestie Guestie Ryan Petersen (Flexport CEO)

0:00 Sacks' shining moment 2:34 Bestie Guestie Ryan Petersen joins to break down the supply chain situation: core issues, solutions, things to look out for 45:49 $FB's major pullback: causes, headwind...

5 Feb 20221h 38min

E65: VC markup dynamics, Russia/US tensions over Ukraine, Altos Labs raises $3B, Stripe mafia & more

E65: VC markup dynamics, Russia/US tensions over Ukraine, Altos Labs raises $3B, Stripe mafia & more

0:00 Chamath's preferred cosplay 1:35 Reflecting on bad investment decisions and markup dynamics 15:20 Rising tensions between US and Russia over Ukraine, Putin's demands, NATO negotiations as the und...

29 Jan 20221h 14min

E64: Antitrust standards & enforcement, tech repricing, lab leak obfuscation, E63 reactions & more

E64: Antitrust standards & enforcement, tech repricing, lab leak obfuscation, E63 reactions & more

00:00 Cold Open 00:25 Besties react to last week's All-In E63 21:50 Implications of FTC Chair Lina Khan's approach to enforcing antitrust 42:21 "Superbubble," Multiple compression, Fed interest rates,...

22 Jan 20221h 37min

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