Top Traders Unplugged15 Jan 2025

OI13: The Art of Continuous Trading: Mastering Market Dynamics ft. Bill Gebhardt

Bill Gebhardt from 10Dynamics discusses the intriguing intersection of market efficiency and systematic trading strategies. He emphasizes the idea that while traditional views suggest markets are efficient, many hedge funds continue to find success using price-based strategies that should theoretically not work. This paradox leads to a fascinating exploration of the psychological aspects of trading, particularly how human behavior can create opportunities for systematic traders. Gebhardt shares insights on the operational complexities of running a nearly continuous trading process, utilizing intraday data, and employing a diverse range of signals. The conversation explores the risks of underfitting versus overfitting in trading models, ultimately advocating for a strategy that embraces empirical success without excessive optimization.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Moritz on Linkedin.

Follow Bill on X.

Episode TimeStamps:

02:17 - Introduction to Bill Gebhardt

06:35 - No pain, no gain

08:40 - Why are they called 10Dynamics?

10:08 - What is their philosophy behind how markets work?

12:24 - Are the signals that they run based on trend following?

13:47 - How they handle the operational complexity of their system

18:15 - How they assess the validity of their data

20:39 - Exploring the technical details behind the execution of their system

22:39 - How they approach trading times

25:07 - Combining short and long term trading

26:52 - How they avoid overfitting and underfitting

30:58 - How Gebhardt implements his experience from the energy space

33:54 - How many markets do they trade?

35:50 - Accessing the domestic futures markets

36:56 - Why are single name equities so special to 10Dynamics?

41:08 - How they approach VIX futures

43:39 - Their perspective on replication strategies

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

Denne episoden er hentet fra en åpen RSS-feed og er ikke publisert av Podme. Den kan derfor inneholde annonser.

Episoder(952)

IL51: Why Most Recessions Are Completely Misunderstood ft. Tyler Goodspeed

Why do recessions happen? Tyler Goodspeed joins Kevin Coldiron to challenge some of the most deeply held beliefs in economics. Drawing on more than three centuries of data from the United States and t...

29 Jul 1h 1min

SI410: The Next Evolution of Trend Following ft. Nick Baltas

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Nick Baltas explore how artificial intelligence, thematic investing and narrative momentum are beginning to reshape systematic investing. Alongside a review of recent CTA per...

25 Jul 1h 10min

OI23: Why Capital Efficiency Is the Next Edge in Investing ft. Charlie McGarraugh

Charlie McGarraugh joins Moritz Seibert to discuss how systematic investing is evolving beyond traditional trend following. Drawing on experience from Goldman Sachs, crypto and machine learning, Charl...

22 Jul 46min

SI409: Why Trend Following Is Changing Faster Than Ever ft. Yoav Git

Markets are evolving in ways that few investors fully appreciate. Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Yoav Git explore how changing market structure, the rise of retail options trading and new financial product...

18 Jul 1h 8min

GM105: The Billion-Barrel Shock Has Not Arrived Yet ft. Adam Rozencwajg

More than a billion barrels of expected oil supply have been removed from the market. Yet prices suggest the danger has passed. Adam Rozencwajg joins Cem Karsan and Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to explain wh...

15 Jul 1h 15min

SI408: Has Trend Following Changed Forever? ft. Alan Dunne

Markets continue to evolve, and so do the strategies designed to navigate them. Alan Dunne joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to explore why changes in market structure may have permanently altered short ter...

11 Jul 1h 3min

GM104: How the Dollar Quietly Took Over the World ft. Brendan Greeley

The US dollar has become so familiar that most investors rarely stop to ask how it became the world's dominant currency or why that dominance has endured. Brendan Greeley joins Alan Dunne to trace the...

8 Jul 55min

SI407: Why America Is Rewriting the Rules of Capitalism ft. Cem Karsan

Markets may be entering one of the most important regime shifts in decades. Cem Karsan joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to argue that the United States is moving away from traditional free market capitalis...

4 Jul 1h 1min