Has the FIRE Formula Changed? Why 100% Index Funds Isn’t the Answer

Has the FIRE Formula Changed? Why 100% Index Funds Isn’t the Answer

Is a 100% index fund portfolio no longer the FIRE formula? The market has changed, and maybe your portfolio allocation needs to change with it. With index funds at all-time-high prices and price-to-earnings ratios at an eye-watering 29, you might be feeling a bit worried about whether your FIRE will last or you’ll even make it to FIRE in the first place. You’re not crazy; Scott is feeling the same way, too. Recently, Scott decided to make a move much of the FIRE community would protest—he sold 40% of his index fund portfolio to reallocate to real estate. Why did he do it now, even as a strong index fund believer? On the other hand, why is Mindy sticking with her stock and index fund portfolio, ready to ride out whatever potential market downturn could be coming our way? Scott explains, in detail, why real estate is a better choice for him at the moment, the reason prudent FIRE chasers should question the conventional wisdom of a 100% index fund portfolio, and why his new rental property could act as a hedge against a significant market downturn. If Scott is selling his index funds, should you? In This Episode We Cover The historical price-to-earnings ratios making index funds a riskier bet How holding 100% index funds could throw your FIRE off by a decade The optimal portfolio for retiring early on the four percent rule Is real estate a safer bet than stocks in 2025? Real estate cash flow vs. selling stocks for income and why one is much easier to actualize And So Much More! Links from the Show Mindy on BiggerPockets Scott on BiggerPockets Listen to All Your Favorite BiggerPockets Podcasts in One Place Join BiggerPockets for FREE Email Mindy: Mindy@biggerpockets.com Email Scott: Scott@biggerpockets.com BiggerPockets Money Facebook Group Follow BiggerPockets Money on Instagram “Like” BiggerPockets Money on Facebook BiggerPockets Money YouTube Channel Personal Finance Club Get Early Access to Real Estate’s Biggest Event of the Year, BPCON2025 Get to FIRE Faster with “Set for Life” Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area BiggerPockets Money 599 - The Macro Analysis is Clear: Why We Are Reallocating (Away From Stocks) to Real Estate in 2025 Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/money-607 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Episoder(748)

How We Built a $1M Net Worth by 32 (Step-by-Step Breakdown)

How We Built a $1M Net Worth by 32 (Step-by-Step Breakdown)

Trevor and his wife reached a $1 million net worth by age 32 and are on track to achieve financial independence well before 40. In this episode of the BiggerPockets Money Podcast, hosts Mindy Jensen a...

3 Feb 55min

The 4% Rule Was Never Designed for FIRE’s Healthcare Reality

The 4% Rule Was Never Designed for FIRE’s Healthcare Reality

The 4% rule has a major flaw: it doesn't account for healthcare costs. If you're planning to retire early, health insurance premiums will rise sharply as you age—from your 30s through your 60s before ...

30 Jan 57min

The Major MONEY Milestones To Hit By EVERY Decade!

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Are you on track to achieve financial independence? In this episode of the BiggerPockets Money podcast, Mindy Jensen and Scott Trench outline the essential financial milestones for your 20s, 30s, 40s,...

27 Jan 47min

The Proven Path to Financial Independence by 44

The Proven Path to Financial Independence by 44

Should you retire the second you hit financial independence, or is there value in working just a little longer? Steven faced this exact decision at 40 and chose to work four more years. The result? He...

23 Jan 49min

How to Negotiate Your Salary and Reach Financial Independence Faster | Paula Pant

How to Negotiate Your Salary and Reach Financial Independence Faster | Paula Pant

Want to reach financial independence faster? The quickest path isn't extreme frugality—it's earning more. And that starts with salary negotiation. Paula Pant from the Afford Anything podcast joins Mi...

20 Jan 1h

Reached FI at 60: How to Switch from Accumulation to Drawdown with Bill Yount

Reached FI at 60: How to Switch from Accumulation to Drawdown with Bill Yount

You've hit financial independence—now what? How do you actually start spending the money you've spent years accumulating? Bill Yount reached FI at 60 after a 10-year journey, and he's figured out the ...

16 Jan 53min

Broke and in Debt at 50? How to Still Retire On-Time (Step-by-Step Plan)

Broke and in Debt at 50? How to Still Retire On-Time (Step-by-Step Plan)

You're in your 50s, $50,000 in debt, and retirement at 65 feels impossible. We made this episode for you. Today, Mindy and Scott spell out the exact step-by-step plan to go from $50K in debt to a mill...

13 Jan 1h 8min

How to Reach Coast FIRE (The Relaxed Way to Retire!)

How to Reach Coast FIRE (The Relaxed Way to Retire!)

What if you didn't have to save 70% of your income to retire early? What if you could hit a number in your 30s, ease off the gas, and still reach financial independence—without sacrificing your presen...

9 Jan 51min

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