Tariffs & Q2 Growth Shock | Trade Maven Brad Setser on Trump’s Tariff Warpath, China’s Balance of Payments, and “Self-Induced Recession” Probabilities

Tariffs & Q2 Growth Shock | Trade Maven Brad Setser on Trump’s Tariff Warpath, China’s Balance of Payments, and “Self-Induced Recession” Probabilities

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Brad Setser is an expert on global trade and capital flows, having served as senior advisor to the United States Trade Representative from 2021 to 2022. The Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) joins Monetary Matters to explain why he thinks President Trump’s tariffs are likely to cause a growth shock in the second quarter. Recorded on March 20, 2025 Brad Setser piece on China’s Balance of Payments: https://www.cfr.org/blog/iphone-imf-and-chinas-balance-payments “The Evolution of Global Trade in 2024”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/evolution-global-trade-2024 Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Brad Setser on Twitter https://x.com/Brad_Setser Brad Setser on CFR: https://www.cfr.org/expert/brad-w-setser Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Episoder(244)

Could the Iran War Cause a New Oil Crisis? | FT's Chief Economics Commentator Martin Wolf

Could the Iran War Cause a New Oil Crisis? | FT's Chief Economics Commentator Martin Wolf

Martin Wolf, chief economics commentator at the Financial Times joins Jack for a frank and important discussion on the war with Iran. Jack and Martin delve into the economic consequences of a prolonge...

13 Mar 1h 1min

Joseph Stiglitz: Higher Oil and Food Prices From Iran War Risk 1970s-Era Stagflation

Joseph Stiglitz: Higher Oil and Food Prices From Iran War Risk 1970s-Era Stagflation

Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb Nobel Laureate in Economics Joseph Stiglitz (who holds highest #1 D-Index than all other Economists in the world) join...

11 Mar 1h 19min

Michael Howell: Markets On “Nervous Knife-Edge Equilibrium" As Global Liquidity Momentum Has Peaked

Michael Howell: Markets On “Nervous Knife-Edge Equilibrium" As Global Liquidity Momentum Has Peaked

Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm In this episode, Michael Howell of Capital Wars and Global Liquidity Indexes discusses why the global liquidity cycle has pe...

9 Mar 1h 46min

The Economic Effects of Technological Disruption & Artificial Intelligence | Nobel Laureate in Economics Peter Howitt

The Economic Effects of Technological Disruption & Artificial Intelligence | Nobel Laureate in Economics Peter Howitt

Recent Nobel laureate in economics Peter Howitt joins Jack to discuss his work on technological disruption and creative destruction. Dr. Howitt explains that technological advancement creates economic...

5 Mar 1h 16min

Jobless Growth, Euphoria, and a Manufacturing Recovery: How Iran Could Force a Macro Regime Change | Tian Yang

Jobless Growth, Euphoria, and a Manufacturing Recovery: How Iran Could Force a Macro Regime Change | Tian Yang

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-mat...

4 Mar 1h 1min

How Legendary Resource Investor Rick Rule is Investing for a 10-Year Bull Market

How Legendary Resource Investor Rick Rule is Investing for a 10-Year Bull Market

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_...

1 Mar 1h 10min

“A Huge Problem for Everybody” | Paul Krugman on Currency Devaluation, Artificial Intelligence, Kevin Warsh Nomination, & More

“A Huge Problem for Everybody” | Paul Krugman on Currency Devaluation, Artificial Intelligence, Kevin Warsh Nomination, & More

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_...

15 Feb 59min

The “Climax Top” In Gold & Silver | Milton Berg, Turning Point Master, on Precious Metals, Bitcoin, and Disturbing December Warning In Stocks

The “Climax Top” In Gold & Silver | Milton Berg, Turning Point Master, on Precious Metals, Bitcoin, and Disturbing December Warning In Stocks

Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm Recorded in February 6th 2026, technical analyst Milton Berg returns to discuss his market outlook after correctly predictin...

10 Feb 2h 17min

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